US stocks up, gold and silver near multi-week high. Brexit process begins. Protesters and police gearing up for Trump inauguration. Earnings season starting well for banks and miners. Global debt continues to soar, especially in China. Fake news debate rages. Trump and Merkel trade insults. Best Of The Web 3 things: returns, nothing but […]
Big names saying scary things. David Stockman, Axel Merk, Nomi Prins, Paul Craig Roberts on the risks for investors and hard times ahead for everyone else. Mike Maloney on how gold can help.
“The problem with police officers and firefighters isn’t a public-sector problem; it isn’t a problem with government; it’s a problem with the entire society. It’s what happened on Wall Street in the run-up to the subprime crisis. It’s a problem of people taking what they can, just because they can, without regard to the larger […]
Go through the late 2015/early 2016 articles published on this and similar sites and you’ll find a consensus that 2016 was going to be a really bad year. Corporate profits were falling, business inventories had spiked, and deflation was deepening in Japan and Europe. See More Ominous Charts For 2016 for a longer list of […]
What do the following headlines have in common? US wages grow at fastest pace since 2009 Euro area economy ended year with strongest growth since 2011 Surge in home prices is beating the one in mortgage rates Manufacturing in U.S. Expands at Fastest Pace in Two Years German Inflation welcomed back Obviously they’re all favorable, […]
One of life’s hardest-to-learn but most necessary lessons is that things usually take a lot longer to work out than you’d like them to. That’s where the sayings “Being too early is the same as being wrong” and “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent” come from. A current case in […]
The world has gotten so used to ultra-low interest rates that even economists and money managers seem to be shocked by what happens when rates start creeping back towards normal levels. Some of the mini-bubbles that formed in an essentially free-money environment are now starting to leak. Notably: US Housing While the action in this […]
US equities have entered the final, blow-out stage of their bull market. As in 1999 and 2006, investors have decided that it’s different this time and are willing to buy at pretty much any price. Like those previous bubbles, today’s will end badly, probably in 2017. Gold, on the other hand should do just fine.
It’s the same story every time: Imbalances build up during a recovery but most investors ignore them because good times have become the new normal and the uptrend seems bullet-proof. Then things fall apart and everyone wishes they’d paid attention to history. This series will cover a few of the more glaring examples of late-cycle […]
The Trump Christmas stock market rally has taken valuations beyond a point that in the past has signaled trouble, which in turn has generated a lot of cautionary press like the following: Market indicator hits extreme levels last seen before plunges in 1929, 2000 and 2008 (CNBC) – While the S&P 500 is reaching all-time […]
ECB Chairman Mario Draghi’s announcement of bigger and better QE this morning should have surprised no one. The fact is that the eurozone is coming apart at the seams and the only tool left to delay the inevitable is easier money. As the following chart illustrates, the euro has been declining since 2008, with the […]
Back in 2013 interest rates in the US and elsewhere started to rise, and the results were scary to put it mildly. Here’s an excerpt from a column that appeared here in July of that year: Interest rates soared again last week. This weekend a lot of people are running a lot of numbers and […]
It’s rare for the world to worry about Italy. But Sunday’s referendum has the global Establishment on the edge of its seat. The worst case scenario — from the Establishment point of view — is the vote going against the government, causing the Prime Minister to resign and be replaced by an anti-euro, anti-EU party […]
Good headlines just keep coming. The Chicago PMI index of Midwest economic activity jumps to its highest level in two years. The ADP employment report shows 216,000 new jobs added in November. US Q2 GDP growth is upgraded to a completely acceptable rate of 3.2%. Very nice numbers all. And – had the election gone […]
No rest for the wicked. With the shockwaves from Brexit and President Trump still reverberating around the world, the established order is bracing for more bad news. Next up is a December 4 Italian constitutional referendum that might end the reign of centrist prime minister Matteo Renzi and replace him with a bunch of anti-euro […]