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	<title>Comments on: The Boredom Before the Storm (Time to Buy Volatility)</title>
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	<link>http://dollarcollapse.com/articles/the-boredom-before-the-storm-time-to-buy-volatility/</link>
	<description>Your Ringdside Seat for the Global Financial Crisis</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 06 Sep 2010 04:20:43 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: Robert O' Dougherty</title>
		<link>http://dollarcollapse.com/articles/the-boredom-before-the-storm-time-to-buy-volatility/comment-page-1/#comment-338</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert O' Dougherty</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Mar 2010 02:38:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dollarcollapse.com/?p=948#comment-338</guid>
		<description>Bruce and all, you are all right and alright, cant beat that with four aces. ;-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bruce and all, you are all right and alright, cant beat that with four aces. <img src='http://dollarcollapse.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: Robert O' Dougherty</title>
		<link>http://dollarcollapse.com/articles/the-boredom-before-the-storm-time-to-buy-volatility/comment-page-1/#comment-337</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert O' Dougherty</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Mar 2010 02:34:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dollarcollapse.com/?p=948#comment-337</guid>
		<description>Jason I agree, there are more than one theory about what will happen. That being said, and I realized it today when talking with a good friend who was speaking of the same thing, and seeing it for my own eyes. I think I will error on the side of caution, which means I will go long metals, but only to what I can pay for in my hand, the reason is simple. If and only IF, ALL assett classes are set for a upwards supercycle, what can that mean? it points to a problem with the currency, not there is a great demand for any one thing., especially in light of the economy. I am fearfull and greedy at this point. I hope I am wrong.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jason I agree, there are more than one theory about what will happen. That being said, and I realized it today when talking with a good friend who was speaking of the same thing, and seeing it for my own eyes. I think I will error on the side of caution, which means I will go long metals, but only to what I can pay for in my hand, the reason is simple. If and only IF, ALL assett classes are set for a upwards supercycle, what can that mean? it points to a problem with the currency, not there is a great demand for any one thing., especially in light of the economy. I am fearfull and greedy at this point. I hope I am wrong.</p>
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		<title>By: Jason Carter</title>
		<link>http://dollarcollapse.com/articles/the-boredom-before-the-storm-time-to-buy-volatility/comment-page-1/#comment-336</link>
		<dc:creator>Jason Carter</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Mar 2010 00:32:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dollarcollapse.com/?p=948#comment-336</guid>
		<description>I&#039;ve read a few articles by those who suspect the stock market rally is long in the tooth and is posed for a 2010 crash.  When looking at fundamentals and the next 2-year wave of foreclosures, that makes sense.  There&#039;s little doubt that we&#039;re experiencing a cyclical stock market rally in the context of a secular bear market.  P/E ratios using GAAP are destined for compression down to 10 or so for the stock market bottom.

If I&#039;m not mistaken, Martin Armstrong has mentioned that his PI-cycle has inverted recently and we could be looking at an even higher DOW into mid-2011 rather than the market bottom.  I believe there is a minor Kress-Cycle also that peaks in 2011 before the 60 and 120-year cycles bottom together in 2014.  I don&#039;t know how accurate these cycles are at predicting stock market movement but I would keep an open mind.  We&#039;re living in Alice in Wonderland times economically and politically.  So, before the end of 2014, we might be staring at a DOW of 5000 and gold of $2500.  But I wouldn&#039;t count on that to happen in 2010.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve read a few articles by those who suspect the stock market rally is long in the tooth and is posed for a 2010 crash.  When looking at fundamentals and the next 2-year wave of foreclosures, that makes sense.  There&#8217;s little doubt that we&#8217;re experiencing a cyclical stock market rally in the context of a secular bear market.  P/E ratios using GAAP are destined for compression down to 10 or so for the stock market bottom.</p>
<p>If I&#8217;m not mistaken, Martin Armstrong has mentioned that his PI-cycle has inverted recently and we could be looking at an even higher DOW into mid-2011 rather than the market bottom.  I believe there is a minor Kress-Cycle also that peaks in 2011 before the 60 and 120-year cycles bottom together in 2014.  I don&#8217;t know how accurate these cycles are at predicting stock market movement but I would keep an open mind.  We&#8217;re living in Alice in Wonderland times economically and politically.  So, before the end of 2014, we might be staring at a DOW of 5000 and gold of $2500.  But I wouldn&#8217;t count on that to happen in 2010.</p>
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		<title>By: Brutlstrudl</title>
		<link>http://dollarcollapse.com/articles/the-boredom-before-the-storm-time-to-buy-volatility/comment-page-1/#comment-335</link>
		<dc:creator>Brutlstrudl</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Mar 2010 22:46:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dollarcollapse.com/?p=948#comment-335</guid>
		<description>Rule number one. Don&#039;t lose money.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rule number one. Don&#8217;t lose money.</p>
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		<title>By: Brad Thrasher</title>
		<link>http://dollarcollapse.com/articles/the-boredom-before-the-storm-time-to-buy-volatility/comment-page-1/#comment-334</link>
		<dc:creator>Brad Thrasher</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Mar 2010 12:19:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dollarcollapse.com/?p=948#comment-334</guid>
		<description>Gentlemen:

I got out of the stock market in 1999 about six months ahead of the dot.gone bust. I have not bought a stock since. We moved our retirement into the G-fund and contribute to the TSP. We have some eagles, maple leafs and British sovereigns in our possession. Additionally we keep modest maintenance amounts in Bank of America checking/savings and our short term cash is in a local credit union.

Political differences aside, I am more than a tad curious as to why you even trust the markets.

All the best,
Thrash</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gentlemen:</p>
<p>I got out of the stock market in 1999 about six months ahead of the dot.gone bust. I have not bought a stock since. We moved our retirement into the G-fund and contribute to the TSP. We have some eagles, maple leafs and British sovereigns in our possession. Additionally we keep modest maintenance amounts in Bank of America checking/savings and our short term cash is in a local credit union.</p>
<p>Political differences aside, I am more than a tad curious as to why you even trust the markets.</p>
<p>All the best,<br />
Thrash</p>
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		<title>By: Bruce C.</title>
		<link>http://dollarcollapse.com/articles/the-boredom-before-the-storm-time-to-buy-volatility/comment-page-1/#comment-333</link>
		<dc:creator>Bruce C.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Mar 2010 03:13:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dollarcollapse.com/?p=948#comment-333</guid>
		<description>Robert,

I do think precious metals&#039; prices have inflated for the last year or so because of the liquidity splurge, and I would not be surprised to see them fall temporarily when stocks (and all other asset classes) deflate as the result of the carry trade unwinding. A great buying opportunity if one can time it right, because soon afterwards I think most investors - individual investors in particular - will finally understand that gold/silver are money and not just another commodity, and will realize that it is the only safe haven left to preserve their buying power. I would expect gold/silver to then sky rocket in price singularly in terms of the prevailing currency. I believe there are enormous forces at work to provide time for the insiders to position themselves with an exit strategy (i.e., dump assets to the dupes, buy gold and duck) and to establish the conditions for a one world currency and government. Sounds crazy I know, but such things have been discussed openly for decades now by the IMF (the likely the one-currency Reserve Bank), and Presidents Bush and Obama, among many others (listen to some of the interviews on KingWorldNews.com.) All of the fiat currencies in the world today are failing and so it will seem to be the only/best solution to the whole mess.  In the meantime, those with gold/silver should retain - if not gain - buying power after the dust settles. Unfortunately, I have no idea how long this will take to play out.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Robert,</p>
<p>I do think precious metals&#8217; prices have inflated for the last year or so because of the liquidity splurge, and I would not be surprised to see them fall temporarily when stocks (and all other asset classes) deflate as the result of the carry trade unwinding. A great buying opportunity if one can time it right, because soon afterwards I think most investors &#8211; individual investors in particular &#8211; will finally understand that gold/silver are money and not just another commodity, and will realize that it is the only safe haven left to preserve their buying power. I would expect gold/silver to then sky rocket in price singularly in terms of the prevailing currency. I believe there are enormous forces at work to provide time for the insiders to position themselves with an exit strategy (i.e., dump assets to the dupes, buy gold and duck) and to establish the conditions for a one world currency and government. Sounds crazy I know, but such things have been discussed openly for decades now by the IMF (the likely the one-currency Reserve Bank), and Presidents Bush and Obama, among many others (listen to some of the interviews on KingWorldNews.com.) All of the fiat currencies in the world today are failing and so it will seem to be the only/best solution to the whole mess.  In the meantime, those with gold/silver should retain &#8211; if not gain &#8211; buying power after the dust settles. Unfortunately, I have no idea how long this will take to play out.</p>
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		<title>By: In the Red</title>
		<link>http://dollarcollapse.com/articles/the-boredom-before-the-storm-time-to-buy-volatility/comment-page-1/#comment-332</link>
		<dc:creator>In the Red</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Mar 2010 23:03:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dollarcollapse.com/?p=948#comment-332</guid>
		<description>I&#039;ve been short the SPY and Russell (via the SPXU and the TZA) for the last few months, accumulating positions on rallies.  Needless to say, I&#039;m feelin&#039; the heat. One of these days, reality is going to catch up to the market and I&#039;m going to make a few bucks.  Until then, I&#039;m in the Red</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve been short the SPY and Russell (via the SPXU and the TZA) for the last few months, accumulating positions on rallies.  Needless to say, I&#8217;m feelin&#8217; the heat. One of these days, reality is going to catch up to the market and I&#8217;m going to make a few bucks.  Until then, I&#8217;m in the Red</p>
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		<title>By: Robert O' Dougherty</title>
		<link>http://dollarcollapse.com/articles/the-boredom-before-the-storm-time-to-buy-volatility/comment-page-1/#comment-331</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert O' Dougherty</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Mar 2010 22:26:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dollarcollapse.com/?p=948#comment-331</guid>
		<description>Im on the fence myself, the short term looks good in stocks, but for how long? If a pull back comes again in the next month, it may be a buy (options only for me) for a few months as people become emboldened by the lack of future bad times gives way to liquid driven markets. (maybe the explosion of inflation?) Im more worried how that may affect metals, if it is inflation they will go up? if good times speculation will they go down? should I wait on buying more metal or just do it now and faggetaboutit? Interesting times indeed! Happy St. Pat&#039;s to you too and all :-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Im on the fence myself, the short term looks good in stocks, but for how long? If a pull back comes again in the next month, it may be a buy (options only for me) for a few months as people become emboldened by the lack of future bad times gives way to liquid driven markets. (maybe the explosion of inflation?) Im more worried how that may affect metals, if it is inflation they will go up? if good times speculation will they go down? should I wait on buying more metal or just do it now and faggetaboutit? Interesting times indeed! Happy St. Pat&#8217;s to you too and all <img src='http://dollarcollapse.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: Bruce C.</title>
		<link>http://dollarcollapse.com/articles/the-boredom-before-the-storm-time-to-buy-volatility/comment-page-1/#comment-330</link>
		<dc:creator>Bruce C.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Mar 2010 18:13:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dollarcollapse.com/?p=948#comment-330</guid>
		<description>Of all the financial &quot;rules&quot; that I know, the one that has proven to be the most forceful is the admonition to &quot;not fight the FED.&quot; When the FED decided to inject liquidity into the economy in March &#039;09 to inflate asset values in order to counter the deflationary forces of the collapse in credit, there were some who said that stock prices were going to rise come hell or high water, and they were right. I underestimated the power of the FED and did not invest back then thinking it was an unstable sucker&#039;s rally. Now I&#039;m stuck in the uncomfortable position of still thinking the same way and perhaps being wrong again, or at least too early again.

Here&#039;s to a speedy resolution of the madness. Happy St. Pat&#039;s!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Of all the financial &#8220;rules&#8221; that I know, the one that has proven to be the most forceful is the admonition to &#8220;not fight the FED.&#8221; When the FED decided to inject liquidity into the economy in March &#8217;09 to inflate asset values in order to counter the deflationary forces of the collapse in credit, there were some who said that stock prices were going to rise come hell or high water, and they were right. I underestimated the power of the FED and did not invest back then thinking it was an unstable sucker&#8217;s rally. Now I&#8217;m stuck in the uncomfortable position of still thinking the same way and perhaps being wrong again, or at least too early again.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s to a speedy resolution of the madness. Happy St. Pat&#8217;s!</p>
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