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Full Frontal Inflation

by John Rubino on September 10, 2014 · 28 comments

By now it’s an article of faith within the sound money community that most major countries have borrowed so much that they’re left with only two options: default on their debt through mass-bankruptcy and a new Great Depression, or inflate it away through stepped-up currency creation. This is an investment thesis, since a given country’s […]

It is by now generally understood, at least in the sound money community, that inflation is much higher than the government admits and that the true extent of the problem is being hidden in various ways. But the specifics keep getting more and more disturbing. Here’s a recent Phoenix Capital note (via Zero Hedge) on […]

They’re Lying To Us, Part 2: GDP

by John Rubino on June 25, 2014 · 24 comments

Today the US took its next-to-last stab at calculating First Quarter GDP, and the downward revision was impressive even by recent standards. It now appears that the economy, well, here’s how Bloomberg puts it: U.S. Economy Shrank in First Quarter by Most in Five YearsThe U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter by the most […]

Deflation Shock Coming?

by John Rubino on May 9, 2014 · 23 comments

While the US is celebrating a (supposed) recovery, other big parts of the global financial system are behaving as if some sort of deflationary crash is just around the corner. In Europe, for instance, interest rates are not just declining, they’re plunging. From a recent Sober Look blog: The Unprecedented Chase for YieldThe major market […]

Inflation is Raging – If You Know Where to Look

by John Rubino on November 25, 2013 · 40 comments

Most people – certainly most governments and economists – define inflation as a general rise in prices. But this is wrong. Inflation is an increase in the money supply, of which a rising general price level is just one possible result – and not the most common one. More often, excessive money creation shows up […]

The Money Bubble Gets Its Grand Rationalization

by John Rubino on November 20, 2013 · 34 comments

Late in the life of every financial bubble, when things have gotten so out of hand that the old ways of judging value or ethics or whatever can no longer be honestly applied, a new idea emerges that, if true, would let the bubble keep inflating forever. During the tech bubble of the late 1990s […]

Where Have All the (New) Dollars Gone?

by John Rubino on October 2, 2013 · 37 comments

A couple of comments on recent DollarCollapse posts have included a strange assertion, that the paper money in circulation in the US is all dated 2009 or before. Apparently there are no new bills: Suzanne, September 4 I’d like to point out something: Look at your cash… you won’t see any paper dollars of any […]

Velocity of Money and the Crack-Up Boom

by John Rubino on May 18, 2013 · 25 comments

Based on both recent history and mainstream economic theory the past few years should not have been possible. When you cut interest rates to near-zero, run deficits of 10% of GDP and buy up every government bond in sight with newly created currency, you get a boom, end of story. That’s just the way capitalism […]

Preparing For Deflation

by John Rubino on May 15, 2013 · 16 comments

Signs of a slowdown are spreading. Here in the US, despite all the happy talk about rising stock prices and falling deficits and the imminent unwinding of the Fed’s debt-monetization program, today’s numbers were ominous: Producer prices post big drop, factory activity weak (Reuters) – U.S. producer prices recorded their largest drop in three years […]

Based on the past few weeks’ stock market action, Japan’s decision to flood the world with yen looks like a raging success. It’s not of course. Here’s a cogent take on the subject from ex-hedge fund manager Bruce Krasting: Japan’s Gains Are Losses For Everyone Else My daughter called last night, she’s made her reservations […]

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