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More Ominous Charts For 2016

January 2, 2016 18 Comments

If 2015 was the year in which no investment strategy worked, 2016 is looking like the year in which all economic policies fail. Already, at

The End Of The Recovery, In One Chart

November 20, 2015 15 Comments

One of the questions on analysts’ minds lately is whether stock prices can keep moving up when corporate sales and profits are falling. But the

The US Has Already Tightened — Which Explains A Lot

September 11, 2015 15 Comments

Next week we’ll find out if the longest-ever will-they-or-won’t-they drama involving a virtually insignificant quarter-point interest rate change will amount to anything. But either way,

Bye Bye Brazil

September 4, 2015 41 Comments

For about a decade there, Brazil was the Latin American country that got it right. Under a socialist but apparently reasonable government they kept their

US Factories Crushed By Strong Dollar

April 24, 2015 6 Comments

Government statistics are always suspect, for at least one obvious reason: Modern economies are way too big and complex to measure in real-time. So virtually

When All News Is Bad News

April 21, 2015 3 Comments

One of the defining traits of financial bubbles is the willingness of traders and investors to interpret pretty much everything as a buy signal. Rising

Is The Credibility Bubble Bursting?

April 19, 2015 15 Comments

In a fiat currency system, perception is, by definition, everything. Paper money has no intrinsic value. So the people saving it and accepting it in

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