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Top Ten Videos – February 26, 2024

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Michael Oliver: Stock Market Will Top Amid Flood Into Gold (Feb. 25 2024)

Liberty and Finance...

Summary

 

The stock market instability and potential top may lead to a rise in gold prices, with smart money moving towards undervalued gold miners and a potential shift from the stock market to precious metals.

 

Gold as an Investment and Market Correlations

 
  • Gold is the most undervalued asset right now, and smart money is starting to make the move towards it.
  • The silver gold spread will shift, with silver beating gold during a surge in monetary medals.
  • Gold miners are set up for success, with a potential disconnect between the stock market and gold, making them an attractive investment during market downturns.
  • Gold has historically led the stock market, doubling in value from 2009 to 2011 while the stock market was making new lows.
  • The collapse of the dollar from the 2015 high to the 100 level coincided with the rally in gold, indicating a potential correlation between the two.
  • Getting back over 2100 for gold could signal the “lid coming off” and a potential surge in the market.
     

Market Conditions and Asset Allocation

 
  • Asset managers in the stock market are feeling nervous about the narrow leadership and bubble-like conditions, potentially leading to a reallocation of assets.
  • The stock market is expected to top amid a flood into gold.
  • Gold miners may see a flood of investment as people move their money out of the stock market amid potential wobbling.
  • The stock market is near a wobble point and could see a downturn in the near future.
  • The momentum in the stock market has really slowed down, despite the daily price continuing to go higher and higher.

Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart: Is The Ongoing Meltup A Gift? Or A Danger? (Feb. 25, 2024)

Thoughtful Money...

Summary

 

The ongoing market meltup and speculative positioning in stocks like Nvidia could lead to potential risks and consequences, including massive corrections, increased national debt, and potential issues with AI.

 

Market Speculation and Risk Management

 
  • The ongoing meltup in the market could be a danger if there’s a shift in the actual revenue growth of businesses.
  • Nvidia had the second largest market cap gain for a stock in a single day, showing a lot of excitement and speculative positioning in the markets.
  • Managing risk by taking money off the table and waiting for a correction before reinvesting in a stock like Nvidia.
  • The weak barrier to entry in building data centers using GPUs will lead to smaller companies using slightly inferior chips to create revenue, increasing demand for data centers.
  • History may repeat itself with companies like Nvidia experiencing massive corrections, similar to what happened during the dot-com bubble.
  • The impact of passive investing is fueling the insanity in the markets right now, with stocks being bought just because one stock is performing well.
  • Amazon’s large footprint is displacing competitors, but also provides opportunities for small businesses to self-publish and advertise.
     

Economic Consequences of Technological Advancements

 
  • The ongoing stimulus and debt forgiveness could lead to an increase in the national debt by another 10 trillion, creating potential long-term economic consequences.
  • The potential issues of AI going forward include biased inputs leading to biased outputs, as seen in the highly skewed Google image searches.
  • The risk of job displacement and economic displacement from AI is larger than from the advent of the internet and technology in terms of apps and computer programs.

David Morgan: Silver Bull Market (Feb. 24, 2024)

GoldSeek Radio...

Summary

 

Waiting for the exact bottom or top in the market is an amateur’s mentality, and aiming to get in near 20% of the bottom and out within 20% of the top makes you a pro.

 
  • Waiting for the exact bottom or top is an amateur’s mentality, aiming to get in near 20% of the bottom and out within 20% of the top makes you a pro.
  • More money is lost chasing tops and bottoms than anything else in the market.
  • The fundamental case for silver keeps getting stronger, with a big off take out of the comx, indicating a bullish trend.
  • Once gold breaks out above $2000 and stays there, it will become the new support level, leading to a potential rise to $2200 or $2400.
  • Silver’s price movement could trigger a momentum play for institutions and retail investors, creating three forces moving at the same time.
  • Buying silver at the right time can lead to substantial gains, as seen in the example of the breakout from the $19 channel formation to nearly $50.
  • The breakout could potentially lead to a $100 move, showing a high probability in the market.
  • “Once it goes through 50 Lord help us because it could be really crazy especially there’s no resistance.”

Radio Rothbard: They'll Never Pay Down the National Debt (Feb.22, 2024)

Radio Rothbard...

Summary

 

The national debt and annual deficit have reached unsustainable levels, and the government faces a significant financial challenge in addressing the massive unfunded liabilities of Social Security and Medicare.

 

  • The national debt and annual deficit have been getting bigger and bigger, and it’s no longer something that can be ignored.
  • The unfunded liabilities of Social Security and Medicare pose a significant financial challenge for the government.
  • The national debt doesn’t even include the massive unfunded liabilities of Social Security and Medicare, making the situation even more dire.
  • The huge deficit and 200 trillion dollar number raise questions about how the national debt will ever be paid off.
  • The first year of paying off the national debt involves paying a trillion dollars in interest, but only 696 billion in principal.
  • Paying off the national debt is a fantasy, as even after paying almost 10 trillion in interest, the debt hasn’t been reduced.
  • Inflation is the only plausible method of reducing the national debt, but it would have to be a pretty high rate of annual inflation.
  • The national debt is a trillion dollar problem that will only continue to grow if interest rates don’t return to low levels.

David Skarica: NVDA Blows out Earnings, Top 10 Stocks at Record Levels of the Market (Feb. 22, 2024)

StockChartoftheDay...

Summary

 

Nvidia has become the leading stock, surpassing even Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics.

 

  • Nvidia has become the leading stock, overtaking even Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft.
  • Nvidia’s parabolic rise may not be sustainable in the long run.
  • Nvidia is now bigger than all the energy stocks and S&P combined, indicating the massive shift in market dynamics in just two years.
  • The market is very top heavy with stocks like Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple near their highs, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics.

 

Grant Williams: A Return to Gold, Systemic Risk Increasing, Bitcoin Hesitations (Feb.22 2024)

Natalie Brunell...

Summary

 
The current financial system is broken, and individuals should consider holding their reserves in assets like gold and Bitcoin to protect their wealth from government and corporate control.
 

Systemic Risk and Currency Decline

 
  • “I’ve seen some wild things in my career in all kinds of different areas and different countries but the kind of General Euphoria that’s happening now and the kind of the rising tide that’s lifting so many boats and the pure fomo is a whole other level to me.”
  • Central Banks are seeking to reduce their dependence on the dollar and the Swift system by exchanging treasury bonds for a neutral Reserve asset, which is gold.
  • The pace of the dollar’s decline will inevitably pick up due to the US’s large deficits, and every dollar not purchased in treasury bonds has to be bought by the fed, which could lead to a quicker end, although it could still be another decade.
  • “The system’s been broken for a long time now and the system how would you define the Brokenness well. Let’s talk about money you know money has to have value and there is very little value in what we call money anymore.”
  • The lack of financial education in schools raises questions about whether there is a conspiracy to keep people in the dark about how the underlying financial system works.
  • “Show me the incentives and I’ll show you the outcome.” – Charlie Munger
     

Asset Preservation and Purchasing Power

 
  • “I want to own something that I can convert into other assets that’s going to maintain its purchasing power.”
  • Gold is a way to hold your reserve in something that will maintain its purchasing power and can be exchanged for assets for the long term.
  • The average annual return of gold in different currencies over the past 23 years has been around 9-10%, outperforming other assets in a period of zero annual returns.
  • Gold has performed well since 2008, with several years of double digit gains, averaging 9.3%.
     

Bitcoin and Government Challenges

 
  • “The attributes that Bitcoin have are unfortunately and very deliberately a massive challenge to the government hedging money over the issuance of money.”
  • The legitimization of Bitcoin by Wall Street regulators and the emergence of spot Bitcoin ETFs raise the question of why every transaction has to move through a government or corporate entity.
  • Bitcoin is a massive challenge to the government’s biggest Achilles heel because they are so broke and in debt.
  • The forces of Freedom tend to win out, and the borderless and global nature of Bitcoin allows for unprecedented optionality in protecting one’s wealth from oppressive governments.

1984 vs Brave New World - How Freedom Dies (Feb.16, 2024)

Academy of Ideas...

Summary

 

Modern societies are at risk of becoming dystopian, with increasing power concentrated in the hands of politicians and bureaucrats, leading to potential totalitarian dictatorships, as warned by George Orwell in 1984.

 

  • George Orwell’s quote “If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face – forever” reflects the fear of totalitarianism and loss of freedom in modern societies.
  • Orwell believed that a pre-condition for the rise of totalitarianism was the widespread adoption of a collectivist mentality, and all the totalitarian nations of the 20th century were organized based on some form of collectivist ideology.
  • Orwell believed that capitalism was doomed and would be replaced by some form of collectivism.
  • Nazi Germany and Soviet Russia adopted oligarchical collectivism, a totalitarian system that centralized power using force and deception.
  • The real enemy is not the lover of pleasure but the fanatic who is against pleasure, leaving the former defenseless against the latter.
  • Neil Postman contrasts the differing fears of Orwell and Huxley: “What Orwell feared were those who would ban books.”
  • “Orwell feared the truth would be concealed from us. Huxley feared the truth would be drowned in a sea of irrelevance.”
  • Orwell saw a hedonistic society as a temporary stage creating ideal conditions for a more brutal regime to seize control and impose its will on a society composed of weak and apathetic men and women.

Jordan Roy-Byrne: They Want the Gold Now, Just Like in 1971 (Feb.24, 2024)

The Daily Gold...

Summary

 
Gold market is showing signs of potential for a significant move higher, with increasing demand and potential for a return to a gold standard in the global economy.
 

Economic implications of the shift to gold

 
  • The shift to gold is part of a slow, long process of a financial reset, similar to the precursor to the bull market in the 1970s when the US went off the gold standard.
  • The shift from gold to paper money in the past century has created the problem of how to stop it, leading to the potential for gold to go parabolic and the need to raise rates to stop it.
  • The world is slowly waking up to the fact that there are a ton too many dollars out there and there’s no place that wants to hold on to them anymore.
  • The balance of sucking up dollars and causing a depression or not sucking them up at all and causing hyperinflation is a delicate dance that affects the price of gold.
  • Unless the East and West overnight and trust each other, gold must go higher in an orderly fashion or you could have something like a World War I or a depression.
  • City Bank predicts that the price of gold could easily average above the new all-time high and could potentially reach $3,000 if certain situations worsen.
  • The upcoming secular bull market may resemble the 70s more than the 2000s, potentially leading to a challenging economic environment.
  • The next move in the gold market is predicted to be explosive and impulsive, similar to the events of the 1970s going off the gold standard.
     

Investment opportunities in the gold market

 
  • The movement of gold against the stock market and the 6040 portfolio is significant for investors.
  • “It makes complete sense to have gold exposure now.”
  • Buying the next dip in miners after another leg down in gold could lead to a significant rally, as seen in previous market recoveries.
  • Miners will have the most leverage when they are oversold and gold breaks out, indicating a potential huge move higher in the next 12 months.
     

Global distrust and the demand for physical gold

 
  • The demand for physical gold is driving the price above $2,000, as countries and banks seek to acquire it outside of the Futures Market.
  • They want the gold now because they no longer trust the West with their goods, leading to a split in the world.
  • Central banks are now wanting the gold they trusted others with, after years of believing gold was not needed as money.

Russell Brand: People Dying At STAGGERING Rates - Now The Media ADMIT It (Feb. 23, 2024)

Russell Brand...

Summary

 

The media is finally admitting the high death rates and adverse events associated with COVID-19 vaccines, prompting the need for open-minded conversation about bodily autonomy and the pursuit of truth and freedom.

 

  • The largest ever multinational study has revealed that vaccines cause Adverse Events, raising questions about the impact of the covid-19 vaccine on health.
  • People are questioning the decline in their health after taking the covid-19 vaccine, raising concerns about its impact.
  • The evidence of vaccine injury is mounting at such a rate that it’s become unignorable.
  • “I think only a fool would say vaccines don’t have risks where was that kind of reasoned balanced conversation at the time forgive me.”
  • The media is reaching a point where personal autonomy and diligent inquiry are regarded as misinformation.
  • The study confirmed a three-fold higher risk for myocarditis, most commonly seen in young men, believed to be related to immune response triggered by the MRNA vaccines.
  • The global disaster of hypocrisy and corruption is being shut down after the damage has already been done.
  • The deliberate censorship during the pandemic period has hindered access to crucial information.

Nick Giambruno: The Illusion of Ownership - Why the Money in the Bank Isn't Yours (Feb. 16, 2024)

Pallisades Gold Radio...

Summary

 

The banking system is a facade and a scam, and people need to be proactive and prepared for potential banking crises and capital controls.

 

  • We live in a fantasy world. Now reality has been destroyed. This is the time that you really need to pay attention.
  • The banking system is a facade, a charade, and a scam.
  • When you deposit money in the bank, it legally becomes the bank’s money, not yours.
  • Banks are not required to have any money on reserve for depositors, which is insane.
  • The illusion of infallibility of high priests in the government and Central Bank is shattered by their numerous failures.
  • The bigger threat to most people is going to be bank failures, but capital controls are also a serious threat.
  • Being proactive and prepared for banking crises and potential capital controls is crucial, as there may be limited options once they are implemented.
  • The compounding of debt and interest creates an exponential situation, not a linear one.
  • “It’s totally impractical to ban if you can memorize 12 Words which is how many wallets back up their funds. If you can memorize 12 words or write down 12 words. You can store billions of dollars just in your head or on a piece of paper.”
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