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Top Three Videos – April 4, 2024

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This is a MUST-Read...

Piepenburg: The Soft Landing Farce as Stocks Rip (April 3, 2024)

Von Greyerz...

Summary

 

The decline in the M2 money supply is a clear indicator of a recession, despite the strong labor markets and recent economic numbers.

 
  • A 4% year-over-year decline in the M2 money supply is a neon flashing sign of a recession, despite the strong labor markets.
  • The hard landing has already happened, with casualties on the runway and burning wreckage, so why should we be cheering the most recent numbers?
  • The correlation between the markets and the economy is evident in the increase in bankruptcies and layoffs at major companies.
  • The reason Powell is raising rates and reducing the balance sheet is because he sees a recession already here and getting deeper.
  • The evidence of a hard landing is pretty obvious when the fuselage is on fire, the luggage is over the runway, and the engine’s somewhere in the grass behind the plane.
  • The decline in M2 money supply always indicates deflation and a recession, not just a temporary fluctuation.
  • The higher for longer pain of higher interest rates on credit cards and Carlon which are defaulting at rates higher in great financial crisis.

Dave Skarica: US Dollar Remains Strong. Will it Continue to Rally? (April 3, 2024)...

StockChartoftheDay...

Summary

 

The US dollar is expected to rally back to its highs from last year due to market flexibility and potential interest rate cuts in other countries, making it the “cleanest dirty shirt” in the market.

 

  • The US dollar is expected to rally back to its highs from last year due to the flexibility in market views and potential interest rate cuts in other countries.
  • Predicting that the fed will have to raise rates to 4-5% due to high inflation, contrary to the initial expectations of a lower increase.
  • The US dollar remains strong compared to other currencies, making it the “cleanest dirty shirt” in the market.
  • The Canadian dollar could fall back to the lows of 72 cents due to the housing bubble, potentially leading to more aggressive rate cuts.
  • The strong US dollar is causing unusual market trends, such as strong gold and commodity prices despite weak bonds and a strong stock market.
  • Paul Tudor Jones predicted the 1987 crash by correlating the 20s boom and the 80s boom in stock prices.

Peter St. Onge: Jobs Overstated by 800,000! (April 3, 2024)...

Wall Street Silver...

Summary

 

Government statistics on jobs are being overstated by 800,000, leading to a significant disconnect between public perception and reality.

 

 
  • Media’s portrayal of the Biden Miracle as healthy job growth is contradicted by the actual numbers, with 23 States actually losing jobs in that period.
  • The BLS is overstating jobs by 800,000, implying that the unemployment rate is not as low as official numbers suggest.
  • Government numbers are mostly made of Statistics adjustments like seasonal adjustment or so-called company birth death models, rather than actual counting of data.
  • The lies will get worse as the economy gets worse.
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