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Top Three Videos – February 27, 2024

David Skarica: It was the Best of the Times (NVDA) and the Worst of Times (NEM) (February 26, 2024)

StockChartoftheDay...

Summary

 

The stock market is experiencing contrasting trends, with Nvidia performing exceptionally well while gold companies are facing challenges due to rising costs and low prices for precious metals.

 
  • The literary reference to “A Tale of Two Cities” highlights the historical and economic context of the stock market’s performance.
  • The stock of Newmont has reached its lowest level since 2019, indicating a long-term downward trend.
  • The cost of developing the mine and yearly cost of production have gone up, causing problems for gold companies even with gold at $2,000 an ounce.
  • Nvidia continues to be the darling of the market with a record quarter, representing the best of times for the company.
  • Nvidia’s value has increased nearly 20 times since 2019, raising questions about its sustainability.
  • Nvidia soaring in price while gold and precious medals are at maximum pessimism, representing two opposite ends of the spectrum.

Stansberry Research: Tactical Turning Points Are the Secret to Finding Winners (Feb. 26, 2024)...

Stansberry Research...

Summary

 

Understanding and identifying tactical turning points is crucial for finding winners in investing and trading in the stock market.

 

  • Trades can vary in length, with some lasting well over a year, highlighting the importance of patience and long-term strategy in trend following.
  • Tactical turning points in the market can be identified by looking at relative strength and the duration of a trend.
  • Commodities like wheat, sugar cane, soybeans, coffee, and cocoa are triggering more inflationary pricing, indicating potential shifts in the market.
  • When stocks break the long-term trend while relative strength is also breaking down, it’s a great time to avoid the position or even sell.
  • The key to successful investing is to have a disciplined process that adapts to the changing environment.
  • The idea that the technicals will start turning before the fundamentals makes sense, as the fundamentals are often months old and act as a rearview mirror.
  • Tactical turning points are the secret to finding winners in the stock market.
  • Property and Casualty names like Travelers or W Berkeley look excellent right now and continue to do so, making them solid sectors to rely on.
 

Tavi Costa: This Chart Shows Why $100 Silver Is Likely (February. 23, 2024)...

Liberty and Finance...

Summary

 
 

Investors should consider buying into the precious metal sector, particularly silver, as there are distress opportunities and potential for triple digit silver prices, with changing market correlations and central banks increasing their gold holdings.

 

  • Accumulating assets before breakouts can lead to incredible opportunities as metal prices increase and change the economics of projects worldwide.
  • “It wouldn’t surprise me to see Triple digit numbers in silver prices as we see this cup and handle unfolding here.”
  • In times of inflation, it’s crucial to buy hard assets and hard asset businesses.
  • The gold miners industry is neglected and could be one of the most profitable investments in the next decade.
  • It’s important to pay attention to the monetary dilution policies today relative to those in 1929.
  • The current market construction is reminiscent of the early 2000s technology bubble, which historically doesn’t end well.
  • Natural resource companies are likely to be doing very well in the market.
  • The FED is facing an inflation problem near term that it hasn’t faced in a very long time, causing them to raise interest rates to levels we haven’t seen in a long time.

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