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so You'll Thrive and Profit, In Spite of It... "

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Top Three Videos – January 12, 2024

John Rubino: Bear Market, Recession, Layoffs: Lots Of Ways For 2024 To Get Worse (January 11, 2024)

Thoughtful Money...

Summary

 

The global economy is facing a looming crisis due to massive debt, potential currency collapse, and increasing inequality, leading to potential civil unrest and drastic responses from the population.

 

Global Debt and Monetary Policy

 
  • Massive global debt may make it difficult to fix the economy, even with easing and quantitative easing measures.
  • The lesson learned from cutting interest rates is that they cannot go back up again, and massive currency pumping and running deficits lead to double digit inflation.
  • Negative interest rates and a big jump in the money supply may lead to a crackup boom scenario, where people dump the currency and buy real stuff, causing inflation and a collapse of confidence in the economy.
  • Japan’s government would be flat out bankrupt if interest rates go up, leading to an immediate currency death spiral.
  • The potential for a broader Middle East war and conflict with China over Taiwan is a looming threat that could escalate emotionally and intellectually.
  • The potential confiscation of brokerage accounts and savings could lead to widespread civil unrest and a declaration of war on those with resources.
  • The possibility of civil unrest and resistance in the event of a major financial collapse and government overreach is a real concern.
  • The best gold and silver miners could be five Baggers, while the lottery ticket type companies in that space could be 10 Baggers, completely changing your financial life.
     

Financial Crisis and Unemployment

 
  • People are struggling to afford their lives despite historically low unemployment, indicating a looming crisis.
  • The official jobs numbers appear to be distrustful, and the economy is heading for very rocky times in the not too distant future.
  • Civil unrest is a normal part of a gigantic financial crisis, and we may see more drastic responses from the populous as people feel like the system is not working for them.
  • Populism is what happens when people are impoverished and debt impoverishes you, that’s just what it does.
     

Economic Inequality and Aristocracy

 
  • The modern economy is creating a divide where the rich get richer while the majority struggle to afford basic necessities, leading to a modern version of aristocracy harvesting the peasants.
  • Most major policies are designed not as a bug but with as a feature to enrich the already rich and impoverish everybody else.

Robert Sinn: Talking Gold, Silver, PM Stocks, Copper, and Copper Stocks (Jan. 10, 2024)...

The KE Report...

Summary

 

Investing in gold, silver, and PM stocks is speculative and uncertain for 2024, with potential for a surge in the copper market due to infrastructure and electric vehicle projects.

 

  • Gold is starting to be perceived as having a floor around the $2000 level, with longer-term chart factors stacking up.
  • The market is accepting the $2,000 gold price, and institutional players haven’t changed their view on gold or gold miners.
  • Gold is a hedge against monetary inflation, not consumer price inflation, and has consistently performed its role over the years.
  • Focus on mid-tier gold mining companies and expect more consolidation in the sector as majors eat up slightly smaller companies.
  • Copper may be set up for a better year in 2024, with China expected to reflate and global central banks easing, making it a favorable commodity.
  • The outlook for copper looks really compelling as the supply response is just not there and it’s not going to be there unless the price moves up a great deal.
  • The potential for Copper to boom lies in the ramping up of EV production and infrastructure projects.
  • The scale of 5 to 10 billion pounds copper equivalent is what is needed to attract major mining companies to a project.

Peter Zeihan: Chairman Xi Jinping Guts the Chinese Military (Jan.11 2024)...

Zeihan on Geopolitics...

Summary

 
 

Xi Jinping’s control over the Chinese military and his purges within the military leadership pose a significant concern for global security and stability.

 

  • The US Fleet is fully Blue Water capable, showcasing a significant advantage over China’s military.
  • Xi Jinping’s control over the Chinese military is a major concern for global security.
  • The defense Ministry is more of a glorified press secretary that deals with military diplomacy, not the decision makers.
  • Chairman Xi Jinping’s purges in the Chinese military have been ongoing for 14 years, leading to the disposal of the defense secretary and the appointment of a new defense minister.
  • Xi Jinping’s goal is to have all decision-making flow through Beijing and himself, in order to maintain control over the vast population of China.
  • The structural gutting of the Chinese military by Xi Jinping could have significant implications for global security and stability.

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