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Top Three Videos – March 20, 2024

Dave Skarica: $17 Trillion in Government Debt to Be Rolled Over? What Does it Mean for Rates (March 17, 2024)

StockChartoftheDay...

Summary

 

The potential rollover of $17 trillion in government debt could trigger a stock market meltdown due to a spike in short-term treasury yields, leading to inflation and higher interest rates.

 

  • The market is facing the problem of increased interest expenditure, potentially adding 2% of GDP to the deficit.
  • The US national debt is 34 trillion, with the FED monetizing around 6 to 7 trillion of it, leaving the rest held by foreigners or individuals in the 27-28 trillion range.
  • The setup is there for inflation to re accelerate in 2025 and 2026.
  • The combination of the Fed not buying the debt and the huge supply coming on the market at higher yields could lead to the market being unable to absorb it, causing concerns about inflation.
  • A 50% move in treasury yields caused a crash in the market, raising concerns about a potential repeat.
  • The government missed an opportunity to issue trillions of debt at lower rates, potentially avoiding the need to roll them over for 10 years.

Peter St. Onge: Japan enters Stagflation! (March. 18, 2023)...
Wall Street Silver...

Summary

 

Japan is currently experiencing stagflation due to a weak economy, low interest rates, crashing Yen, and wage hikes, which could potentially lead to inflation and recession, and may have global financial implications.

 
  • Japan is in stagflation, stuck between a weak economy and crashing Yen, posing a threat to the financial system and causing price hikes for families.
  • The Bank of Japan had been trying to carefully maneuver between the two, a little stimulus here a little jaw boning there so the public does not notice what’s happening.
  • After 30 years of stagnant wages, Japan’s large companies granted 4% annual pay hikes, while small and median companies went as high as 6%.
  • Japan is already in recession and facing 50% price hikes, creating a challenging economic situation.
  • Japan’s government debt is roughly $60 trillion, raising the odds of a stagflationary Japan sparking a global financial crisis.
  • Government spending and inflation are growing, returning resources to the private sector is not happening, and we could be headed for a 1970s-style crisis.

Peter Schiff: Exposes the Weak Dollar and Financial System (March 18, 2024)...

Financial Survival Network...

Summary

 

The FED’s inability to fight inflation due to the national debt, the impending end of runaway spending, and the unsustainable levels of debt and lack of savings among Americans will lead to a recession, and the irrational exuberance in the Bitcoin and crypto market is unprecedented.

 

  • The FED’s responsibility for the debt makes it impossible for them to fight inflation, and investors haven’t figured that out yet.
  • Our ability to kick the can down the road with runaway spending and deficits is going to come to an abrupt end, and it’s probably one day soon at this point.
  • “You got a $34.5 trillion do deficit um. You know. We’re Rising 3 to four trillion per year in the national debt and that’s going to accelerate as uh you know.”
  • The inflation numbers that came out this morning were hotter than expected as I expected they’ve been that way for a while now.
  • Americans are drowning in debt and have no savings, dependent on a government-run py scheme for their retirement.
  • “If you actually had a real inflation number figured into these elusive GDP numbers, we’ve been in a recession for years already.”
  • The irrational exuberance and arrogance in the Bitcoin and crypto market is unprecedented, with smart people saying so many dumb things.
  • Gold prices will have to go a lot higher to satisfy the demand from central banks, retail, and institutions, as gold mining companies aren’t producing enough.

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