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Top Three Videos – March 21, 2024

Dave Skarica: Are Commodities About to Outperform Equities (March 19, 2024)

StockChartoftheDay...

Summary

 

Commodities may be on the verge of outperforming equities, signaling a potential shift in market dynamics and a prolonged move where commodities outperform stocks.

 
  • Commodities may be about to outperform equities, marking the start of another commodity move.
  • Commodities have basically flat in the 10 years and stock market’s gone crazy.
  • The historical comparison of S&P trading with CRB shows a potential shift in the market dynamics, indicating a possible upcoming prolonged move where commodities outperform stocks.
  • Oil bottomed at around 70 and is now moving higher, indicating a potential rally in Commodities.
  • The anticipation of a devalued dollar, higher inflation, and supply problems are driving the potential outperformance of commodities over equities.
  • Junior mining index is down over 50% and almost 80% from its all-time highs, making it the worst market in almost 30 years.
  • Commodities have now underperformed stocks for a long period of time, but this could potentially shift in terms of an outperformance.

Michael Pento: Inflation DESTROYS All Economies, Here's Why (March. 19, 2023)...
Liberty and Finance...

Summary

 

The speaker anticipates a significant negative impact on the stock market and economy due to overvaluation, inflation, and potential bursting of multiple bubbles.

 

Risks of Inflation and Market Bubbles

 
  • Anticipating a liquidity impulse that will have a greatly negative impact on the stock market, similar to the watershed moment of March 12th.
  • The stock market is still 40% overvalued, and I expect reality to come.
  • The stock market is at 185% of GDP, which is unprecedented and a cause for concern.
  • “Inflation has destroyed every economy since Roman times, pursuing an intractable degree of inflation destroys the economy.”
  • The combination of stock, home, corporate debt, and high yield bond bubbles could burst concurrently, causing even more damaging effects.
  • Starting with a $34 trillion national debt and trillion dollar interest payments at 25% of GDP is a dangerous position to be in.
  • Inflation can lead to multiple bubbles bursting at the same time, causing harm to the stock market, real estate, and bond market.
     

Economic Impact of Commercial Real Estate

 
  • We have $1.5 trillion in commercial real estate loans coming due in the next two years, putting tremendous stress on the banks.
  • The plunge in occupancy rates has led to a 40% drop in loans attached to commercial real estate, signaling a major economic impact.
  • “They will dump these homes with Reckless abandon in my opinion and that’s a lot of Supply coming on the market where when where prices really need to come down significantly some somewhere around you know 30%.”

Bob Moriarty: The World Moves from Financial to Tangible Assets (March 20, 2024)...

Gold Seek Radio...

Summary

 

There is a potential for a significant rally in gold and silver, with silver potentially reaching $100-$150 in the future, and caution is needed as resistance at $28 and $30 must be cleared.

 
  • Bitcoin and the stock market are in the topping phase, while gold and gold shares are expected to go up.
  • “The rally is real Gold’s going to go higher silver is going to go higher and the resource stocks are going to go a lot higher.”
  • Resource stocks and hard assets like silver, platinum, and X Hui are about to break out, signaling a shift in sentiment away from paper assets.
  • Holding above $28 on a weekly and monthly basis could pave the way for further upward movement in the gold market.
  • The pattern and inverted head and shoulders in an uptrend is wildly bullish, adding in the cup and handle makes it even more bullish.
  • “1980 silver hit high at $502 an ounce, adjusted for inflation it would really mean probably $100-$150 silver so silver at $40-$50-$75 is not particularly expensive.”
  • The value of silver stocks could increase three or 400% with a $28 or $30 silver price, making them “absurdly cheap” at the moment.

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