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Top Three Videos – March 3, 2024

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This is a MUST-Read...

Brent Johnson: The Fed's Milkshake Brings All the Foreigners to the Yard (March 1, 2024)

The Human Action Podcast...

Summary

 

The future of the US dollar as the world’s Reserve currency is uncertain, with potential for both a rise and a collapse in its value.

 

  • The debate revolves around whether the dollar will still be the world’s Reserve currency by 2030, with opposing views from Michael Evy, Brent, and Jim Rickards.
  • The “dollar milkshake theory” predicts a rise in the dollar, gold, and US equities in the event of a currency and sovereign debt crisis.
  • The concept of the “dollar milkshake” suggests that the US will respond to crises by printing more money and doing bailouts, leading to a vicious cycle of higher dollar and lack of liquidity overseas.
  • The transition from the dollar being the global Reserve currency to not being the global Reserve currency would be accompanied by great volatility, potentially causing the dollar to rise rather than fall.
  • The world could be facing a dollar collapse, leading to a credit contraction and a higher dollar value.
  • The global bank run on the US dollar could lead to a dramatic rise in the dollar’s value against other currencies and assets.
  • In a debt-based monetary system, there is never enough money to pay off the debt systemwide, leading to a perpetual cycle of debt.
  • The ultimate chapter of the thesis is the US dollar losing global reserve currency status, leading to a much lower valuation.

Rafi Farber: The 1970s are Repeating for Silver Exactly, And It's Now 1978 (March 1, 2024)...

Arcadia Economics...

Summary

 

The speaker believes that silver is repeating the pattern of the 1970s, and that it is a great time to buy undervalued silver stocks as they are predicted to hit all-time highs, potentially reaching $240 and being remonetized by the public.

 

  • “Commercial real estate buildings are changing hands for $1 which isn’t a sign at all of the commercial mortgage back securities crisis currently ongoing but it actually is according to the Wall Street Journal.”
  • Silver stocks are at an all-time low relative to the silver price, signaling a potential repeat of the 1970s trend.
  • Interest rates have gone through the roof, with 30-year mortgages back at 7%, leading to the downfall of real estate investments.
  • The treasury is experiencing record-breaking auctions in size, with half of all record issuances for all denominations coming in 2024, indicating a need for money.
  • The recession in 15 European countries, including Germany, is a sign that they will need to print more money soon, leading to a potential crash.
  • As the dollar takes its final plunge of death, things are going to be repriced in silver terms, indicating a potential shift in the value of silver.
  • “This time I think the dollar will spiral completely out of control.”
  • The 1970s pattern is repeating for silver, and it’s going to end exactly when, I don’t know, but we are four years into this and the 1970s it took five years.

Chris Vermeulen: S&P Down 50%? - Prepare for Potential Crash (February. 29, 2024)...

Bloor Street Capital...

Summary

 

The speaker predicts a potential 50% crash in the stock market by May or June and advises diversifying assets to protect capital during market downturns.

 

Market Analysis and Predictions

 
  • Chris expects a serious correction in the stock market, possibly up to 50% by May or June.
  • The new all-time highs in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ are sucking everybody into the market, creating the illusion of a new massive bull market.
  • The market is driven by a handful of big tech companies, leading to a potential double top and a major correction similar to 2008.
  • Investors will go through an emotional roller coaster, from anxiety to panic to euphoria, as the market breaks down.
  • The market typically likes to pull back roughly anywhere from 38 to 61% based on these moves.
  • The current market situation feels similar to the late 90s and 2000, signaling a potential tech bubble and a multi-year bear market.
  • There’s still some time to suck in more people who haven’t been involved in the markets before the momentum and hype run out of steam.
  • Based on the huge pattern, Nvidia has just hit its top, indicating a potential downturn in the market.
     

Investment Opportunities and Trends

 
  • Bitcoin is in a very strong uptrend and if it can break through resistance, the next upside target is 60,000.
  • Gold’s performance in 2023 was only 10% compared to Bitcoin’s 160% increase, showing a stark difference in performance between the two assets.
  • The overall financial system needs to cleanse, and then we’ll see a wild movement in precious metals, offering the last opportunity to pick them up at incredible pricing before they take off hundreds and thousands of percent.
  • Active investing can be powerful if you understand the movements and technical analysis of the charts, allowing you to catch mega trends and retire early.
  • Silver and gold may have a strong rally in the near future, presenting a good opportunity for investors.
  • Uranium had a massive 2023, with a stock sector or the Sprat physical uranium trust seeing an 80% increase in the year.
     

Impact of Market Corrections on Asset Classes

 
  • The SP 500 is the global barometer, and if it goes into a bear market, everything gets liquidated and causes a ripple effect through most asset classes.
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