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volatility

So That’s What Volatility Looks Like

2017 was literally the smoothest stretch of highway that US stocks have ever traveled. Rising almost every day and seldom falling hard, they made it

The US Has Already Tightened — Which Explains A Lot

Next week we’ll find out if the longest-ever will-they-or-won’t-they drama involving a virtually insignificant quarter-point interest rate change will amount to anything. But either way,

Real Interest Rates and Future Chaos

The folks at Gresham’s Law just published a nifty interactive chart of real (i.e., inflation-adjusted) interest rates since the 1960s that explains a lot about

Time to Buy Volatility Again?

The following chart tells two stories. The first is that the deficit spending and debt monetization of the past few years has calmed the markets.

Time To Buy Volatility Again?

In market parlance, volatility is another word for fear. That’s why a volatility index like the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures — aka the VIX

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