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Top Three Videos – August 18, 2024

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Dave Skarica: A V Bottom? or The Dreaded 55 Crash Day Unfolding? (Aug 16, 2024)

StockChartoftheDay...

Summary

 

The speaker is uncertain about the market direction and advises caution, suggesting potential strategies for navigating a possible downturn.

 

  • The question is now, is the 1929 87 55 days scenario intact?
  • So the question we have to ask ourself again is this kind of a V bottom. In 2018. It was a V bottom kind of in in February AR of 2018 and but the market even in 2018 the market didn’t go straight up.
  • India did get a little whack India’s right back to the recent highs.
  • The comparison to 1929 and 1987 market crashes raises concerns about a potential V bottom.
  • The S&P was almost back to 330, within three to four percent of the high in early October, taking many people by surprise.
  • The possibility of a V-bottom bounce or a scenario similar to 29 or 87 is something to watch out for in the market.
  • The NASDAQ, which was leading on the upside, also led the way on the downside, making it an interesting scenario.
  • It’s always interesting to consider different scenarios and be prepared for market fluctuations, whether it’s a V bottom or a potential crash.

David Hunter: The Next Crash will Force the Fed to Print 20 Trillion Dollars (August 15, 2024)

Palisades Gold Radio...

Summary

 

The speaker predicts a major economic downturn, with the potential for massive inflation and a significant increase in the price of gold.

Economic Predictions and Forecasts

 
  • “The probabilities are overwhelmingly on Gold’s side that is the best environment to see gold increase.”
  • The Fed may need to print 20 trillion dollars to catch up with the restrictive policy and inflation trending down.
  • The next crash could force the Fed to print 20 trillion dollars, causing real trouble.
  • David Hunter predicts a potential S&P high of 7,000, which is higher than most other predictions.
  • David Hunter predicts an 80% bear market, but it will likely be stretched out over 8 to 10 months with substantial counter-trend rallies.
  • David Hunter predicts the biggest and fastest downturn since the post-World War II era, surpassing the magnitude of the 2008 and 2020 crashes.
  • “What I think you could see is as much as 20 trillion coming out of the fed that’s what I think it’s going to take to stabilize the system.”
  • The massive increase in treasury debt and global debt, along with the printing of money, will lead to a total unwind of the Ponzi scheme that has been in place since the Great Depression.
  • The next big move in the miners is coming, with potential for more than doubles in ETFs like GDX and GDXJ.
  • David Hunter predicts a tenfold move from the bottom of the bust to a $20,000 gold price by the end of the decade.
     

Impact of Monetary Policy and Inflation

 
  • The Dollar’s coming down and I think it’s going to come down hard.
  • “We are going to see an inflation cycle that will blow away the early 80s.”
  • By the end of this decade, we could be looking at 25% inflation in the US, with interest rates upwards of 20%.
 

Luke Gromen: Is the U.S. Gov’t Secretly Rooting for a Gold Price Explosion? (Aug 12, 2024)

Market Disruptors...

Summary

 
 

The US government may be secretly hoping for a gold price explosion to address its fiscal crisis, combat the strength of the dollar, and potentially spur inflation to offset interest rate challenges.

 

  • The fundamental issue is that G has to be far enough above R, and there’s nobody with a balance sheet big enough to do that on $36 trillion in debt.
  • Mechanically cutting rates aggressively will slow growth, reduce the deficit, and have a disinflationary impulse on one hand, but ultimately be inflationary because the markets will read it as the US being in a form of fiscal dominance.
  • Global Central Banks have been buying gold for the past 10 years, accelerating since 2022, potentially signaling a shift in their view on the US dollar.
  • Inflation may be the easier choice for the government, but it could lead to severe political implications and a potential revolution in the future.
  • “This deflationary impact is fundamentally incompatible with a debt back system right. We have a system that is a debt back system and is highly levered and you are going to make the debt start to default and when the debt The Backs everything starts to default when you’re Den minator shrinks defaults.”
  • “Gold would probably replace it overnight and that’s pretty easy to do really like. Gold goes to 50,000 oun 20,000 ooun whatever that number is and you move on.”
  • The Chinese are using gold to increase their purchasing power and strengthen their economy, creating a virtuous cycle of growth.
  • The Achilles heel of the dollar system is the unallocated gold market centered in London, and at some point, the price of gold will have to rise.
  • The US government could revalue gold to $20,000 an ounce, injecting $5 trillion into the economy and causing massive inflation.

 

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