The rules-based international order is maintained through an interlocking series of agreements between the US state department, intelligence community, defense department, and major corporations, pruning populist candidates to ensure acceptable election outcomes.
The 2024 presidential election is unprecedented, with Kamala Harris tied to the last silent generation president and Donald Trump as an unpredictable factor, creating a multi-polar game with new rules.
“Managed reality” refers to how media and intelligence communities shape public opinion by setting boundaries and topics of disagreement, with consequences for questioning official narratives.
“Retroactive continuity” is a literary device used in creative arts like screenwriting, where established facts are adjusted or contradicted, similar to how the Star Wars universe retcons facts.
The term “smark” describes a smart mark who is aware of their own deception, having a metacognitive perch to observe their duping while still agreeing to be deceived.
“Spackle” is a Hollywood concept where brief dialogue is added to make illogical plot points seem sensible, as referenced in the movie “Thank You for Smoking”.
String theory continues to receive funding despite criticism, potentially serving as a distraction from more pressing scientific issues.
Modern physics has become “boring and safe”, focusing on incremental progress rather than revolutionary ideas.
“Criticism capture” in academia leads to a narrowing of acceptable ideas and stifles innovative thinking.
Having public opinions has become increasingly exhausting due to potential backlash and the need for constant justification.
Developing “high agency” involves taking responsibility for one’s life and actively shaping one’s environment.
The internet is eroding the concept of the sacred, making it challenging to maintain reverence for important ideas or institutions.
Deep fakes and cheap fakes are making it increasingly difficult to discern truth from fiction in media.
The rise of AI technologies, such as AI girlfriends, is further blurring the lines between reality and artificial constructs.
Institutional investors are driving gold mining sector gains, with 76% of Agnico Eagle Mining and 60% of Newmont ownership held by institutions, indicating strong professional confidence in the sector.
Silver demand is surging, particularly in Africa and Asia, driven by the need for solar panels and cell phones, highlighting silver’s crucial role in industrial applications.
The 2024 US presidential election could trigger market volatility, with a University of Virginia poll showing 20-30% of likely voters believing violence is justified if the opposing side wins, potentially leading to stock market declines and gold outperformance.
The S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 may experience sharp declines if they fall 5% below current levels, potentially triggering structure breaks according to Momentum Structural Analysis.
While the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in September 2024, the market has already priced in this move, suggesting limited positive impact on equities.
Recent Comex margin changes, raising gold margins while lowering silver margins, signal rare bearishness in the gold market, according to Vince Lanci.
While central banks aren’t buying silver, sovereign wealth funds, nations, India, and China are purchasing large quantities, but this activity isn’t reflected in Comex data.
The stock market’s outperformance of gold is limiting capital flow into the precious metal, explaining why gold hasn’t ignited and silver hasn’t outperformed gold.
A potential 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed could cause stocks and gold to drop slightly, but if gold doesn’t decline, it might indicate a stronger economy and a possible gold breakout.
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is backstopping bullion banks as principal traders, effectively capping the gold market at various levels.
The BRICS Summit on October 20-22 and the US presidential election in November could trigger significant volatility in the gold market.
The Comex margin changes are historically rare, with simultaneous increases in gold margins and decreases in silver margins being an unusual occurrence.
The Fed’s actions appear indifferent as long as stocks are rising, suggesting a disconnect between market performance and broader economic indicators.
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