Debt-to-GDP ratios above 100% historically lead to credit crises, economic instability, inflation, and social unrest, as evidenced throughout history.
The wealth gap has drastically widened since 1965, with CEO compensation increasing by 940% compared to worker compensation rising only 12% since 1978.
Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), despite its name, is neither modern nor a viable theory, having been attempted and failed repeatedly since 1720.
The Federal Reserve’s true mandate is serving Wall Street and smaller banks, not managing employment and inflation, often resorting to currency debasement at the expense of citizens.
A monopolistic alignment of power exists between government, tech, and the military-industrial complex, creating a polycrisis that requires disciplined understanding to navigate.
Regulatory agencies in America are often led by former CEOs of the companies they’re meant to regulate, exemplifying a “foxes guarding the henhouse” scenario.
The unregulated derivative market is a potential “weapon of mass destruction” due to its illiquidity and extreme leverage, posing significant systemic risks.
Gold serves as a store of value rather than an investment, with central banks increasingly favoring it over US treasuries, potentially driving its price 4-5x higher as allocations increase to 2-4%.
Gold and silver prices are expected to surge dramatically in the next 5 weeks, with silver potentially reaching $55 and gold $3,000-$3,200, based on technical analysis and momentum charts.
Gold miners (GDX) are projected to outperform big miners (GDXJ) short-term, but junior miners will eventually surpass both as asset managers shift from stocks to gold mining for safety.
The bond market shows stress signs, particularly in short-term bonds, while long-term bonds maintain an uptrend despite a negative very long-term trend according to technical analysis.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 exhibit dark technicals with quarterly momentum at a floor, potentially triggering a stock market panic and causing asset managers to flee to bonds and gold.
The dollar index nears a critical support level of 100, with a break below potentially triggering a 30-year trend line break, leading to a significant decline and boosting gold and silver prices.
The war cycle is approaching its peak, with China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran poised to attack an unprepared West that is undermining itself.
The US mainland faces potential first-time attacks, with China and Iran posing greater threats than the West’s current focus on Russia.
A major recession is predicted until 2026-2027, potentially surpassing the 1929 crash, with the US already in recession since Q4 2023.
The US dollar may drop 25% to 102 on the DXY, triggering significant inflation and increasing long-term interest rates.
The overvalued housing market is expected to decline for 3-4 years, with a recommended strategy of buying puts on Toll Brothers or Lennar for 1-2 years at $2-3K to hedge against a potential crash.
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