Russia’s strategic partnership with Iran aims to secure oil and gas supplies while preventing Iran from aligning with the US, potentially exposing Russia’s southern border to US military action.
China’s suspension of rare earth mineral exports, crucial for EV batteries and military technology, highlights escalating economic tensions with the US and America’s domestic production vulnerabilities.
The US’s 2022 effort to equip Ukraine against Russia was a strategic misstep that prompted China to align with Russia and accelerate its military modernization.
Iran is willing to reduce uranium enrichment to 5% under a long-term agreement with Russia and China, but refuses to eliminate its missile technology or support for Hamas, Hezbollah, and Houthis.
China’s political system allows it to blame external factors like US tariffs for economic issues, resonating with citizens who view these as attacks on China.
The Russia-Ukraine conflict shows potential for a Russian victory by June, given Russia’s military advances and Ukraine’s significant casualties and equipment losses.
The US Treasury can issue new debt to pay off maturing debt without increasing overall debt, according to JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs reports.
Treasury can continue rolling over existing debt as it matures but cannot issue new debt to pay non-debt expenses, per CBO and JP Morgan reports.
Congressional Budget Office estimates government could run out of money to pay bills by August if debt limit isn’t raised, a near-zero probability event.
CBO is monitoring the dramatic rate of change in Treasury’s cash position, projecting a zero cash balance at some point.
US government uses taxpayer dollars to fund the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, which has been ineffective in reducing debt, according to George Gammon.
The debt ceiling is a limit on increasing debt, not on issuing new debt to pay off maturing debt, allowing Treasury to continue rolling over existing debt.
The end of a monetary era signifies a currency collapse, historically reflected by gold’s nominal value increase, indicating we’re entering a critical economic phase.
Inflation and interest rate curves reversed in 2021 after a 40-year decline, signaling rising inflation and potential currency debasement.
The US debt crisis is fundamentally a liquidity crisis, with $37 trillion public debt and a 125% debt-to-GDP ratio, making the nation unable to absorb significant economic measures.
Tariffs act as a catalyst, not the cause, for market collapse in an already dramatically overbought market primed for correction.
The VIX at 53 indicates extreme market volatility, mirroring the instability in the Trump White House and global markets’ inability to absorb unprecedented fluctuations.
Unlike in 2008, gold is not expected to fall with the market this time, positioning it as a perfect safe-haven asset in the current economic climate.
A revaluation of gold by multiples is anticipated, as investors will need to pay up to acquire gold in quantity, leading to significantly higher prices.
The dollar is no longer US-centric, and the US Treasury is now weaponized, indicating a shift in global economic power towards eastern and BRICS countries.
Western central banks are not buying gold, while eastern countries are accumulating it, signaling a significant shift in global economic power.
The American debt-based economic model is unsustainable, as warned by the Austrian school of economics, which is notably absent from mainstream American education.
The impending economic reset will likely be chaotic, as global powers, particularly in the east, are unlikely to accept an American-led revaluation of gold to boost their balance sheet.
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