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Top Three Videos – February 17, 2024

America's Growing Banking Crisis (February 15, 2024)

Radio Rothbard...

Summary

 

The banking industry is facing a looming crisis due to issues with bank balance sheets, commercial real estate maturities, and a struggling economy, leading to potential financial losses, job repercussions, and the disappearance of local banks.

 

Real estate market impact on banking

 
  • Real estate developers and investors took advantage of the FED’s experiment with zero interest rates, borrowing money at incredibly low rates, potentially leading to financial instability.
  • The future of office buildings in major cities like New York and San Francisco is uncertain as tenants are reluctant to return to the office, impacting the commercial real estate market.
  • Nearly a billion dollars of loans maturing this year could lead to developers needing to come up with more cash at a higher interest rate, potentially causing big real estate operators to walk away from properties.
  • Rising interest rates on loans are causing real estate projects to become unviable, impacting smaller banks that heavily rely on real estate lending.
  • Silicon Valley Bank experienced a 48-hour run when high power clients moved their money to JP Morgan Chase, leading to a banking crisis.
     

Banking industry consolidation and risks

 
  • The gradual consolidation of the banking industry raises concerns about the relationship between the FED and bigger banks.
  • The gradual consolidation of banks in the US, from 15,000 to 4,000, is inevitable due to underlying stresses.
  • Modern technology has increased the risk of bank runs, as customers can effortlessly move their money to larger banks in the event of issues with their institution.
  • The central bank’s efforts to keep liquidity in the banking sector through programs like the bank term funding program raise questions about their long-term strategy and the potential impact on the economy.
  • The banking crisis is a slow-motion train wreck that will continue to unfold over the coming years.

Gary Gerstle: Rise and Fall of the Neoliberal Order (Jan. 1, 2024)...

Hidden Forces...

Summary

 

The rise and fall of the neoliberal order in the US can be understood through historical perspectives on the shift in political imagination and economic principles from the 1990s to the 21st century.

 

Historical Origins and Evolution of Neoliberalism

 
  • The conviction settled in the 30s that capitalism could not distribute wealth to enough people to generate long-term support for the system.
  • The redefinition of liberalism by Roosevelt in the 1930s shifted the focus to providing economic security and opportunity, rather than just freeing people from government constraints.
  • Roosevelt used language in the 1930s that directly drew on the founding story of the American Republic to emphasize the concentration of wealth and power as a kind of tyranny that the American Revolution was meant to eliminate.
  • The conviction at the heart of Communism was that capitalism could never be reformed in the public interest, leading to the belief that it had to be eliminated and supplanted by a radically different system.
  • The origins of the neoliberal order can be traced back to the 1920s and 1930s, showing that these ideas were not new in the 1970s and 80s.
  • The spread of neoliberal ideology was diligently carried out by influential figures in exile, leading to the formation of organizations like the mount Pellerin Society.
  • The rise of neoliberalism was a response to the failures of the New Deal and the Great Society.
     

Impact and Legacy of the New Deal

 
  • The core idea of the New Deal was that capitalism left to its own devices was destructive and chaotic, leading to economic inequality and instability.
  • The key decade of Triumph of the neoliberal order is not the 1980s, but the 1990s, when the principles of the New Deal became so dominant that they compelled acquiescence by the opposition political party.
  • The neoliberal movement led by Reagan becomes so dominant that it influences policymaking not just in the Republican party, but the Democratic party as well.
  • The New Deal provided Americans with security, opportunity, educational advancement, and workplace rights, positioning them to cultivate their individuality.

Piepenburg, Williams, Schectman & Martin: The World Is Dramatically Shifting, Gold is Essential (February. 16, 2024)...

Vancouver Resource Investment Conference...

Summary

 

The world is moving away from the US dollar as the primary world reserve currency, leading to an increase in gold buying by central banks and a shift in global investment strategies.

 
  • The world is trending away from dollars as the primary and exclusive world reserve currency in terms of global trade and reserves.
  • The world is shifting away from dollarization, leading to record volumes of gold buying by central banks as a neutral reserve asset.
  • The world is pushing back against the hegemony and coercion, seeking safety in a group of countries that represents the majority human population.
  • Gold has outperformed the bond market, with a 7.8% annual increase since the beginning of the century, making it a safer investment option.
  • The politicization and weaponization of the US dollar has led to distrust, prompting central banks to seek alternative reserve assets like gold.
  • The world is heading towards the end of the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency, but the tipping point is uncertain.
  • It’s important to think critically and understand when things shift in either direction, as it can have an outside effect on your portfolio.
  • Geopolitical considerations are crucial in shaping investment portfolios in the current global landscape.
  • The world is dramatically shifting, with conflicts breaking out around the world involving major players in multiple major conflicts.

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