Mining sector shows zero major discoveries in the last two years while maintaining flat production for copper, gold, and silver, combined with low capital spending and inefficiencies in development phases creating severe supply constraints ahead.
Mining companies remain undervalued relative to metal prices despite generating excess cash, with M&A activity concentrated in senior producers expected to drive the entire industry higher as institutional capital eventually returns.
US administration likely to enable mining companies to compete with sovereign wealth funds for metal acquisitions, as buying a mine and producing represents the cheapest path to secure metals versus purchasing in open markets.
Energy presents asymmetric opportunity comparable to emerging markets 1-2 years ago and mining 4 years ago, driven by bearish positioning, declining US drill rigs, and Saudi production cuts positioning oil prices higher.
Current metal market behavior mirrors hyperinflationary environment characteristics with monetary debasement driving prices, suggesting potential for out-of-hand inflation as financial repression becomes more likely.
Latin America emerging as investment opportunity focused on long-term trends and asymmetric opportunities currently in awareness phase, requiring technical knowledge but positioned to benefit from major capital rotation into hard assets.
Economic statecraft unifies fiscal, monetary, FX, trade, and energy policies into a strategic framework asking “What is GDP for?” to use GDP as a “big stick” for achieving geopolitical objectives rather than treating it as merely a statistical measure.
US reindustrialization strategy parallels Adam Smith and David Ricardo’s principles of industrializing domestically and trading, rejecting the model of investing capital in cheap foreign countries and becoming consumers rather than producers.
Trump’s factory rebuilding plan requires radical Fed and market control toward a command economy on the production side while maintaining the consumer side, avoiding the collapse seen under Gorbachev’s reforms in the Soviet Union.
The Office of Strategic Capital within the Department of War coordinates public and private resources to fund critical industries like innovation, manufacturing, and defense as national security issues, representing one of the biggest market tailwinds in the next 5-10 years.
US is reclaiming its sphere of influence through a modern Monroe Doctrine in the Americas, Asia, and Europe, holding territory and borders like the board game Risk to prevent China and Russia from gaining power.
Trump’s Venezuela intervention was a high-risk political move without congressional approval, putting boots on the ground in a country allied with US adversaries where harm to service members could have been catastrophic for his presidency.
US prioritization of the Western Hemisphere enables more effective power projection globally when chosen, not representing global abandonment but strategic focus on domestic neighborhood for enhanced geopolitical positioning.
US is cutting off China’s energy supply by controlling Venezuela and Iran, preventing China from accessing these resources even without selling the oil itself, implementing “physical censorship” in the global energy market.
Potential return of letters of marque could incentivize private sector to seize Russian oil tankers with rewards like 50% of cargo or profits, achieving geopolitical goals more efficiently than state action alone through legalized privateering.
Dollar stablecoins function as a stealth weapon undermining local authorities’ control over economies in countries adopting them instead of national currencies, entrenching US power globally without traditional dollar hegemony constraints.
US could use stablecoins to drain capital from other countries’ banks into a new network, maintaining dollar hegemony without the Triffin paradox, effectively creating new Eurodollars that move faster and reach the unbanked population.
Digital currencies are weaponized to “steal sovereignty” from competing nations as detailed in Santiago Capital’s special report on Stablecoin Sovereignty, representing a key pillar of economic statecraft strategy.
US economic system undermines its military power due to lack of domestic manufacturing for military goods, creating vulnerability despite leveraging military and economic dominance, potentially leading to US-China clash and split world order.
Directed energy weapons, referenced in Havana syndrome attacks on US diplomats, could provide geostrategic advantage with potential undisclosed capabilities that strengthen US positioning beyond publicly acknowledged technology.
Trump’s 10% credit card interest cap would likely reduce available credit and force consumers to live within their means, but represents politically driven intervention that picks winners and losers rather than addressing root causes
Most favored nation drug pricing proposal to limit US drug prices to G7 country averages contradicts itself since government is already the largest buyer through Medicaid and Medicare, making their involvement in pricing negotiations redundant
50-year and portable mortgages with assumable lower interest rates could unfreeze the real estate market but require new bureaucracy to monitor portability, essentially replicating car financing models for housing
Allowing 401(k) withdrawals for home down payments ties retirement funds into potentially illiquid McMansion investments, supporting housing demand without increasing supply in an already bubble-prone market
Health savings accounts enable tax-deductible contributions for eligible medical expenses, providing self-insurance alternative to bureaucratic insurance companies and reducing intermediary costs
Rental properties offer significant tax benefits through depreciation write-offs that can substantially sway investment decisions depending on personal tax situations and benefit substantiality
Mining companies could pay dividends in physical gold using systems like Tether Gold for gold-backed tokens during periods of monetary uncertainty, replacing dollar-denominated payouts with hard assets
Gold mining stocks are currently underpriced relative to gold and silver spot prices, expected to rise regardless due to cheap valuation compared to underlying metals they extract
Housing market bubble rests on borrowed money, making it innately leveraged and dangerous—defaults and forced sales will establish a market clearing price below current levels
Underwater mining becomes increasingly viable as gold prices and technology improve, though politically challenged by environmental concerns, representing profitable investment opportunity in junior mining sector
Crisis Investing newsletter subscribers access recommended junior mining stocks primarily on Vancouver exchange with some American listings, providing specific actionable investment opportunities
Free Experts Roundtable YouTube series features interviews with mining company executives, delivering education on evaluating junior mining companies and industry insights unavailable through traditional financial media
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