Summary
Tiggre stresses he is “absolutely not predicting the crash of 2026” but estimates the risk of a “major waterfall event” has risen from a baseline 5% to roughly 20-30% this year, driven by White House-induced volatility, two hot wars, and “nosebleed” valuations (trillion-dollar IPOs), so he has raised cash to an unprecedented ~80% of his portfolio by selling all his gold and silver mining stocks (not bullion) to be liquid like his mentor Rick Rule. His base case for gold remains consolidation between $4,000-$5,000 followed by a move higher that he thinks easily doubles to $8,000-$10,000 within a year of breaking out, exceeding the “too modest” $6,000-$7,000 bank targets, but he warns “spooky” chart similarities to the 1980 and 2011 peaks and silver having finally caught up to gold (the classic end-of-bull-market signal) mean a 50% retreat to sub-$3,000 gold is possible. Tiggre is most bullish on uranium (his current portfolio is almost entirely uranium plus some copper), sees silver as the “win-win metal” with monetary, industrial, and space/AI uses, and is sitting on instantly deployable cash to pounce on whichever commodity gets “stupid cheap” from war-related or headline-driven mistakes.
Top 5 Key Topics
80% cash and the waterfall-event thesis: Tiggre raised cash to an unprecedented ~80% (he normally feels “antsy” above 50%) after selling stocks with large unrealized gains, lifting his average completed-trade gain from ~40% to ~80%. He frames the elevated 20-30% crash risk around the current “agent of change” in the White House using a “DOGE chainsaw,” two hot wars, and magnificent-seven valuations.
Gold base case vs. bearish scenario: His base case is gold fluctuating $4,000-$5,000 (a 20% swing he calls normal for commodities, like the three-year post-2020 consolidation) before a move he thinks doubles to $8,000-$10,000 within a year of breakout. His bearish scenario is a 50%-style retreat to sub-$3,000 (high $2,000s), matching the mid-1970s and post-2011 patterns, which he’d treat as a “once in a generation” buying opportunity.
Selling miners, not bullion: Tiggre clarifies he hasn’t sold an ounce of physical gold, only mining stocks and gold ETF positions, selling on two criteria: huge unrealized gains or specific concerns like political risk. He notes he timed his late-January sell talk at the Vancouver Resource Investment Show two days before the peak, right after Rick Rule announced selling 80% of his physical silver.
Silver as the “win-win metal”: He sees more upside in silver than gold despite silver outperforming since the 2015 bottom, citing monetary, industrial, and critical-mineral demand including nuclear power plants, solar, and potential orbiting AI data centers (silver being more conductive than gold and more heat-conductive, with no oxidation in space). He’d expect a 70-90 range until the next move and would “back up the truck” only if silver got “stupid cheap” around $30.
Uranium and copper as top picks: Uranium is his highest-conviction holding (nearly his entire portfolio), driven by China’s plan to double its reactor fleet by 2050 and chronic supply shortfalls, and he’d buy more “tomorrow” rather than wait. On copper (up ~48% since their last talk to ~$6.5/lb), he’s structurally bullish on supply deficits and AI/electrification demand but is waiting for a war-driven pullback, watching June 30th as the key date for potential US copper tariffs.