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Another Monday, another set of “surprisingly” bad economic numbers. A few representative headlines: China manufacturing prices decline for 18th straight month Oil prices fall 5%
If 2015 was the year in which no investment strategy worked, 2016 is looking like the year in which all economic policies fail. Already, at
A too-strong currency is, in theory, supposed to make it harder to sell things to cheap-currency countries, thus crimping corporate profits and by implication pretty
Years (actually decades) ago I lived in a New York University grad student dorm that housed mostly elite kids from other countries. Sons of African
One of the questions on analysts’ minds lately is whether stock prices can keep moving up when corporate sales and profits are falling. But the
Next week we’ll find out if the longest-ever will-they-or-won’t-they drama involving a virtually insignificant quarter-point interest rate change will amount to anything. But either way,
For about a decade there, Brazil was the Latin American country that got it right. Under a socialist but apparently reasonable government they kept their
A month ago China’s stock bubble was bursting and Greece was imploding. Yet the US Fed, in a violation of both headline sentiment and common
The dollar soars by a record amount versus the euro and the yen in 2014. And economists predict strong growth in 2015. Really? If a
Most talk of currency war focuses on the problems caused by countries devaluing their money. This does indeed cause a lot of problems, especially long-term
David Stockman just published a chart so compelling that he didn’t feel the need to add any commentary. But there are a few things to
As the saying goes, you can know a person by the quality of his or her enemies. This is also true of societies, where moral
Government statistics are always suspect, for at least one obvious reason: Modern economies are way too big and complex to measure in real-time. So virtually
One of the defining traits of financial bubbles is the willingness of traders and investors to interpret pretty much everything as a buy signal. Rising
In a fiat currency system, perception is, by definition, everything. Paper money has no intrinsic value. So the people saving it and accepting it in