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Top Ten Videos – August 19, 2024

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Andy Schectman: BRICS Gold Rush & Election: Precious Metal Shortages Ahead (Aug 14, 2024)

Liberty and Finance...

Summary

 

Central banks are accumulating gold at unprecedented rates, indicating a potential gold rush and precious metal shortages in the future, leading individuals to take action to protect themselves and potentially clear the shelves of the retail bullion market.

 

Precious Metal Shortages and Gold Rush

 
  • With the BRICS meeting and the upcoming election, this year is predicted to be the hardest year ever for precious metal shortages.
  • Central banks have changed their tune and are accumulating gold, which may lead high net worth individuals to take action to protect themselves and potentially clear the shelves of the retail bullion market.
  • BRICS countries are buying truckloads of gold, indicating a potential gold rush and precious metal shortages in the future.
  • “The central banks are buying more gold than at any time ever, indicating a potential shortage of precious metals in the future.”
  • Major central banks are acquiring more gold than ever before, indicating a potential gold rush and precious metal shortages in the future.
  • The global suppression of interest rates and incentivizing of debt has created a situation where there are very few outs, leading to the choice between succumbing to inflation or letting the system blow up.
  • “We are destined for much higher inflation as a result of a lower dollar and lower interest rates.”
  • “It’s hard to believe, but the world is beginning to lurch toward a gold-based monetary system, despite the fact that the historical gold standard is held in almost Universal contempt by economists and financial officials.”
     

Central Banks and the Importance of Physical Gold Ownership

 
  • “Our gold reserves are a matter of Financial Security and stability. Gold will retain its value even when someone cuts off the power to the Global Financial system destroying traditional assets based on electric accounting records.”
  • “You don’t own it if you don’t hold it” – the speaker emphasizes the importance of physically possessing gold as a form of ownership.
  • It is important to take a practical and honest look at the state of the world and consider alternative perspectives, rather than solely focusing on mainstream narratives.
 

Marc Faber: Democracy Dying Under Reckless Debt and Tyrannical Bureaucrats (August 16, 2024)

Commodity Culture...

Summary

 
 

The US stock market is disproportionately high, leading to concerns about financial bubbles, corruption within the SEC, and potential inflation caused by excessive government spending and central bank actions.

 

Economic Outlook and Government Debt

 
  • The rest of the world, with its rapidly growing economies, holds significant potential for investment opportunities.
  • Central banks made a mistake by boosting asset prices and now they can’t tighten monetary conditions without causing significant damage.
  • “The US has a federal debt of something like $35 trillion dollars…the deficit annually is huge, two to three trillion dollars.”
  • “Inflation caused by excessive government spending is the option that governments throughout history have always embarked upon.”
  • “Governments choose the inflation option because it’s much easier to sell to the population and blame it on some outside source.”
  • Holding gold instead of cash is a desirable measure to take in an environment of money printing and government control.
     

Political Concerns and Democracy

 
  • Government officials never admit their mistakes and are not held accountable for their actions, causing inflation and negatively impacting ordinary people.
  • “In a democracy, the president doesn’t want the collapse to occur under him, so they keep the system alive through monetary inflation.”
  • The current state of affairs in the West, including a nearly assassinated presidential candidate and a candidate dropping out of the race, is concerning and reflects the craziness happening.
  • The Western Empire is deteriorating considerably and may collapse faster than the Roman Empire did, due to worsening conditions.
  • “America stands the best chance of getting out of this mess simply because of the way that states have autonomy and how it feels like around 50% of Americans are very pro-Freedom Pro personal choice and not necessarily anti-government but anti-government overreach into their lives.”
  • Democracy is dying under reckless debt and tyrannical bureaucrats.

Bob Moriarty: Gold in the Midst of Chaos (August 15, 2024)

Kinvestor...

Summary

 
 

The current global conflicts and market tremors may be indicators of an impending financial system reset, and holding onto gold and silver for the long term can lead to significant gains.

 

  • “We are at the most interesting time in history.”
  • The most dangerous thing that’s going to happen between now and January 20th is the potential start of World War III in Ukraine, and conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran.
  • “Before there’s a giant earthquake, there’s always a lot of Tremors in advance.” – Bob Moriarty suggests that the recent market crashes and tremors may be indicators of an impending financial system reset.
  • “At every Market top there are 100 reasons to buy, and at every Market bottom there are 100 reasons to sell.” – Bob Moriarty
  • “There’s a worldwide conflict going on right now between the debt based system of the West. The resource-based system of the East uh China and India and Brazil and Russia have a far better clue as to what money is and what the value of gold is and I I think you could see some sort of gold back currency out of the bricks.”
  • “I don’t want to own a dollar bill when it’s only worth 80 cents.” – Bob Moriarty highlights the devaluation of fiat currency compared to the value of gold and silver.
  • Despite fluctuations in the market, holding onto gold and silver for the long term can lead to significant gains, as seen in the example of selling a silver bar for $42 an ounce after purchasing it for $525.
  • Contrarian investing, buying low and selling high, is a key strategy for success in the market, even when your instincts may tell you to do the opposite.
 

Mark Thornton: Population (August 16, 2024)

Unanimity...

Summary

 

Population growth is a natural and positive sign for society, and addressing related problems requires understanding the causes and effects of population growth.

 

  • The origins of human society are estimated to have begun around 10,000 years ago, marking a significant milestone in our history.
  • The absence of population control or increased food production could lead to a Malthusian catastrophe with widespread premature death.
  • Malthus believed that the increase in human population would surpass the limited resources available for sustenance, highlighting the importance of balancing population growth with the means of subsistence.
  • The population has increased rapidly, challenging the notion of overpopulation and mass death.
  • Low-income households in developed economies today have higher standards of living and longer lifespans than royalty in the past, debunking Malthusian predictions of human devastation due to increasing population.
  • Professions and disciplines become more specialized over time, leading to advancements in various fields such as medicine and economics.
  • The real issue in highly developed economies is declining population, not the fear of running out of resources or overcrowding.
  • Capitalistic development produces wealth creation, technological improvements, and normal migration patterns, which are key ingredients for resolving demographic crises.

Ronnie Stoeferle: Gold at $2400 is DIRT CHEAP (Aug. 16, 2024)

VRIC Media...

Summary

 
 

Gold is undervalued at $2400 and has the potential to reach $4800 by 2030, making it a good investment to hedge against potential economic instability and inflation.

 

Gold as an Investment

 
  • “Gold at $2400 is DIRT CHEAP.”
  • Despite rising interest rates and decreasing inflation numbers, the price of gold remains close to all-time highs, indicating a shift in the gold market that investors should take note of.
  • “Investors should abandon the tradition of bond-dominated portfolios and embrace the new gold playbook.”
  • Gold should be seen as an insurance asset rather than something to be monitored daily, with additional potential for performance through silver, mining stocks, commodities, and Bitcoin.
  • “What’s going to happen in financial markets if we go to zero interest rates again and perhaps that’s when the conventional Playbook would come back in for gold and silver as well.”
  • Gold is undervalued at $2400, as it is a means of financial repression in the western world.
  • Gold is still undervalued and has a strong potential to reach $4,800 by the end of the decade, with a 2.4% probability of exceeding $12,500 by 2030.
  • “Gold trading at $2,400 is Dirt Cheap.” – Ronnie Stoeferle believes that the current price of gold is undervalued and presents a buying opportunity.
  • Gold prices have the potential to double in the next few quarters due to factors such as the Federal Reserve’s monetary policies and the consolidation pattern that has been broken.
     

The Role of Gold in the Financial Market

 
  • The speaker believes that the growth of the solar industry will eventually have a significant impact on the demand for silver, but acknowledges that it may take time for these forces to gain momentum.
  • The weaponization of the US dollar has caused its share of global foreign exchange reserves to fall, raising questions about the longevity of its exorbitant privilege.
  • There is a divergence in the perception of gold between the Western world and emerging markets, with the latter seeing gold as monetary insurance and something very positive.
     

Comparisons between Gold and Other Assets

 
  • “Donald Trump compared Bitcoin to the steel industry of a hundred years ago and said Bitcoin will probably overtake gold one day in terms of market cap.”
  • “For an asset to remain money, the public perception must not anticipate its rapid and unstoppable increase in quantity.” – Gold and Bitcoin’s market caps are compared, highlighting the importance of public perception in maintaining an asset’s value as money.
  • “We’ve got an investment process that uses the enormous volatility of Bitcoin, harvesting the volatility by the options market, and a rebalancing strategy to cut down assets that go too high and reallocate.”

John Rubino: World War 3 (August 15, 2024)

Financial Survival Network...

Summary

 
 

The world is facing increased risks of World War III, economic instability, and potential civil unrest, and it is important to stay informed and prepared for these potential challenges.

 

  • The possibility of a shooting war with nuclear powers is a concerning reality.
  • The proxy war in Ukraine has the potential to escalate into a full-scale invasion by Russia, posing a significant threat to global security.
  • The US is on the verge of involving itself in a major broad-based Middle Eastern war, and China is surrounded by military bases, putting us in grave danger of a three-front war involving nuclear powers.
  • Trump’s opposition to starting another war is seen as a major sin by the establishment, as it disrupts the flow of money and power within the military-industrial complex.
  • The global situation is becoming increasingly unstable, with potential political assassinations and terrorist attacks on the horizon.
  • Financial assets have been artificially elevated for 30 or 40 years now, so when the revaluation to actual intrinsic value happens, it’s going to be pretty brutal.
  • A trillion dollars will be a rounding error when the actual crackup boom happens, with tens or more trillions of dollars of financial assets blowing up at once.
  • The potential consequences of World War III are a major concern, and it’s important to consider the unseen factors that could impact global stability.
 

Bob Murphy & Peter St. Onge: The Collapse of the Yen Carry Trade: Impending Recession? (August 16, 2024)

Human Action Podcast...

Summary

 
 

The collapse of the Yen carry trade and loose monetary policy could potentially lead to a recession, with the outcome of the November election playing a significant role in determining the economy’s trajectory.

 

Impact of the collapse of the yen carry trade

 
  • The collapse of the Yen carry trade can pose a problem for hedge funds if the Japanese Yen strengthens, potentially leading to significant losses for those who have borrowed in Yen.
  • The collapse of the yen carry trade can lead to a chain reaction where investors are forced to sell off their assets and repay their loans, potentially causing a recession.
  • The collapse of the yen carry trade caused the yen to strengthen, leading to a catastrophic drop in the Japanese stock exchange.
  • The spike in market volatility, measured by the VIX, reached unprecedented levels not seen since the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • The Japan move to hike interest rates, although small, signaled the end of the zero interest rate policy that has been in place for 20 years, potentially impacting the yen carry trade.
  • Exiting the carry trade is causing a surge in the value of the yen, exacerbating the situation and potentially leading to a catastrophic outcome.
     

Similarities to the 2008 financial crisis

 
  • The 2008 financial collapse was sparked by the Lehman collapse, and despite initial crashes, Wall Street ultimately got bailed out.
  • The unprecedented levels of debt and deficits, along with low productivity and economic growth, suggest that the current situation may resemble the 2008 financial crisis.
  • The speaker’s observation of the correlation between the S&P 500 and the Fed’s balance sheet highlights the close relationship between monetary policy and the performance of the stock market.
  • Every recession in the past 40 years has led to an increase in the deficit, with inflation-adjusted deficits reaching around 23 trillion dollars, due to collapsing taxes and increased social spending.

Charles Nenner: HUGE Economic & War Cycles Spell DISASTER (August 16, 2024)

CapitalCOSM...

Summary

 
 

The global economy is facing a potential crisis, with predictions of a recession in October and the end of the dollar as the reserve currency, as well as potential war outbreaks in various regions.

 

  • Knowing the facts is not enough, understanding the interpretation of the facts is crucial in making profitable investment decisions.
  • “Waiting for the number is too late, even people with PhDs from Harvard had a problem understanding the different way of approaching markets.”
  • “In October we should see that we’re in a recession and probably much worse than recession…it’s going to be big trouble.”
  • “In every second decade of a new century, there’s a big war.” – Charles Nenner suggests that historical war cycles indicate the likelihood of major conflicts occurring in certain time periods.
  • The upcoming months of September and October are predicted to mark a major economic downturn, with cycles resembling those leading up to the 1929 crash.
  • The combination of multiple cycles, both long-term and short-term, reaching their bottoms in the coming years suggests a worsening economic and war situation.
  • “I personally think that we’re going to be in a big war war.”
  • “Once one theater of war pops open, you do have the potential for a domino effect between different regions, such as Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Taiwan and China, and North and South Korea.”
  • “These are very serious times and you have to understand that the slightest thing that happens can cause the whole market to crash, as people suddenly wake up to existing problems when the cycle turns down.”
 

Bob Hoye: Gold's Strength in Current Conditions (August 16, 2024)

GoldSeek Radio Nugget...

Summary

 

Gold is expected to strengthen and the US dollar may also strengthen due to potential recession, leading to increased demand for both gold and the dollar, and investors should consider long-dated treasuries and good grade corporate bonds to avoid price risk.

 
  • “The problem ahead is of course the US dollar and going into a recession should be noticeable by later in the year, the dollar can go up…so then you’re going to have a bid for gold and you’re going to have a bid for the dollar.”
  • The proxy of the CRB (Commodity Research Bureau) has shown a 40% decline, suggesting that mining costs, represented by crude oil, are decreasing in relation to the price of gold.
  • “There’s a whole lot of debt out there that is going to be unsupportable, so when it starts to crash and fall, it’s going to be pretty brutal.”
  • “The macroeconomic situation, including US equities, is highly connected to the current strength of gold.”
  • “We’re looking at it as not just the best for the year but probably the best for the bull market.”
  • “Long dated treasuries can go into the tank and Brilliant lately junk bonds have been…there are times when there’ll be no bid and there’ll be many of these corporate junk bonds that’ll fail the companies fail.”
  • Following a global financial bubble, there is a high likelihood of a depression occurring four out of five times.

Thomas Sowell: Price Control is the Formula of Socialism (January 6, 2024)

Thomas Sowell...

Summary

 

Studying history can help us understand the consequences of price control and utopian policies, and how they can lead to disastrous results.

 

  • Studying history makes you realize how long people have been doing the same foolish things with the same disastrous results.
  • Price control can have devastating consequences, as seen in the aftermath of World War II.
  • Price control can lead to unintended consequences, as seen in international naval agreements limiting the size of battleships.
  • Utopian feel-good policies led to even worse horrors in the second world war.
 

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