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Top Ten Videos – July 22, 2024

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Lyn Alden: "There's Nowhere Else To Kick The Can" (July 19, 2024)

Liberty and Finance...

Summary

 

The current economic environment, characterized by potential stagflation, fiscal dominance, and inflation, requires investors to consider hard assets and energy producers as attractive investment options for protecting against ongoing economic problems.

 

Economic impacts of government policies and central banking

 
  • Rate hikes negatively impact small businesses and industries with shorter duration bank loans and commercial real estate, while rate cuts may not be particularly impactful for many economic entities.
  • The potential for a stagflationary regime in the housing industry, with little economic activity but persisting higher prices, is a significant risk.
  • The expansion of government currency and debt availability can lead to more rapid inflation, impacting the overall economy.
  • High public debt can lead to fiscal dominance and disinflationary effects, as seen in Japan’s slow broad money growth despite massive deficits and public debt.
  • “Rate hikes become a less effective tool at dealing with inflation because a rate hike increases the deficit by a bigger amount than it slows down private sector Bank lending.”
  • China’s use of currency interventions and repatriating assets could have significant implications for global markets and economies.
  • The shift towards Central Banking and the end of the gold standard in 1971 led to a significant increase in CPI, causing a hockey stick growth in inflation.
  • The 2020s are similar to the 40s in terms of inflation and fiscal dominance, with most money supply growth coming from fiscal deficits.
     

Investment opportunities in energy and hard assets

 
  • Hard assets are a big component of where you want to be when trying to protect yourself from ongoing problems in the US and other developed markets.
  • The bigger issue to worry about is long-term debasement in regards to relying on real assets to carry you through economic environments.
  • Energy producers, especially oil and gas companies, are currently inexpensive and have good balance sheets, making them an attractive investment option.
  • Despite efforts to replace coal usage with solar cells, developing countries like China and India still use a much lower per capita amount of energy compared to the developed world, leading to long-term bullishness on the usage of coal, oil, gas, and uranium.

John Rubino: What If A Coming Recession & Bear Market Are The LEAST Of Our Worries? (July 16, 2024)

Thoughtful Money...

Summary

 

The global fiat currency fractional reserve banking system is on the verge of catastrophic failure due to rising debts and interest costs, leading to bankrupt governments and currency failure, but there may be opportunities for those who are aware and positioned prudently.

 

Economic Collapse and Debt Crisis

 
  • The fiat currency fractional Reserve banking global Military Empire experiment that started in the 1970s is finally going to fail catastrophically due to rising debts and interest costs, leading to bankrupt governments and currency failure.
  • “In a recession, government spending normally goes way up which means deficits will expand from their crisis level deficits right now in the US $2 trillion a year to 4 trillion in the next recession.”
  • The next round of bailouts and currency creation could lead to another $50 trillion of debt, making the system more likely to break.
  • The government’s debt is growing at an exponential level, and there’s no way to moderate it without causing economic problems.
  • There is a risk that a lot of people could get very damaged financially by what is ahead, but for those who are aware and positioned prudently, there may be opportunities to vastly improve their situation.
  • John Rubino believes there will be great shorting opportunities in the market in the next couple of quarters.
  • Employment has served as a bullwark between the economy and recession, but it is now showing signs of wobbling, causing concern.
     

Commodities and Resource Demand

 
  • The demand for electricity to run AI server farms and electrify the world will require much more copper than has been mined in all of human history up until now.
  • John Rubino suggests shifting towards physical ETFs for a relatively safe way to play commodities in a world where commodity mining is less safe than it used to be.
  • The demand for materials tied to the electrification of our transport grid and building new green energy systems is gargantuan, requiring a multiple of all the copper mined in history over the next decade.
  • The underlying cost of commodities is going to have to go up based on the fact that we’re going after harder and harder to get deposits.
     

Global Financial System Vulnerabilities

 
  • Japan’s government debt has been going up, making it the most indebted government in human history, and they are facing problems with rising interest rates and plunging currency exchange rates.
  • Japan’s financial system is in a box that they can’t get out of, and the rest of the world, including the US, is heading in that direction.
  • The fragility of the global economy is illustrated by the small number of stocks that the US financial system depends on, which are wildly overvalued.

Whitney Webb & Mark Goodwin: The REAL Reason Behind J.D. Vance’s VP Pick (July 19, 2024)

TFTC...

Summary

 

Powerful entities, including intelligence agencies and influential figures, are using social networks, surveillance technology, and financial systems to manipulate and control people, creating a world of surveillance and control.

 

  • Social networks are being used to manipulate and direct specific groups of people, regardless of their political beliefs.
  • Palantir, a CIA contractor, decides who is labeled as subversives and has been involved in targeting Trump supporters.
  • Private sector companies with ties to intelligence agencies can manipulate and manufacture consent using data collected from surveillance technology, creating perverse incentives.
  • The framing of digital ID as a key to banking and credit history is part of a larger agenda backed by influential figures like Bill Gates and the Rockefellers.
  • The implementation of brain machine interfaces and invasive smartphones will make it much easier for them to impose control and surveillance, creating a much easier sell for their agenda.
  • The push to move into natural Capital and securitizing natural resources is creating unprecedented efforts to create new markets where markets have not existed before.
  • The private and public sector is now one world under blackmail, buying up all of our data with debt, which is incredibly disturbing.
  • The CIA can be framed as Wall Street’s secret police, answering to the moneyed people in the United States and backing Silicon Valley Titans. 

David Gosselin: Elites Creating New Cult Religion for Top-Down Control (July 13, 2024)

Geopolitics & Empire...

Summary

 

The elites are creating a new cult religion for top-down control and are using various tactics such as new age movements, psychedelics, and sustainable development goals to indoctrinate and control the population.

 

Elite manipulation and control through new cult religion

 
  • David Gosselin discusses the spiritual roots of global government and the creation of a new world religion.
  • The connection between new age movements and theosophy funded by elites like Lawrence Rockefeller raises questions about the true intentions behind these movements.
  • Psychedelics and drugs are seen as a way to open the doors of perception to new realities, contributing to the concept of a new cult religion.
  • The elites are pushing for a de-industrialized society and bringing people into a new age mystical cult to gain top-down control.
  • The elites are using new cult religions to control and indoctrinate people into accepting a global scientific dictatorship.
  • The elites are creating a new cult religion for top-down control, with practices that include controlling heart rate and breathing to slow down the mind and read thoughts.
  • The idea of elites creating a new cult religion for top-down control is a controversial and thought-provoking concept.
  • The climate cult is giving more rights to animals than humans, pushing a oneism worldview where all is one.
  • The coalescing of sustainable development goals, mindfulness, and psychedelics is part of an agenda by the elite to control and divert the population.
     

Spiritual and philosophical implications of new age movements

 
  • Embracing the whole of life, including sacrifice and suffering, is seen as a way to free oneself from the limits imposed by strict metaphysical systems like Christianity.
  • The battle across the ages against this kind of thing is an opportunity for us to get back in touch with the true history and to investigate the beauty and mystery of creation.
  • “God is the absolute absence of all contradictions, so every time we resolve a paradox, we’re getting closer to the truth which is absolute and transcendent.”

Grant Williams: "Recession Is Coming", "I've been buying GOLD" (July 18, 2024)

Soar Financially...

Summary

 

The speaker believes a recession is coming, and the response to it will be more stimulus, leading to inflation and driving commodity prices significantly higher, making gold a valuable asset to own.

 

  • The response to recession will be more stimulus, leading to inflation and driving commodity prices significantly higher.
  • He shares his personal story of buying gold in 2003 and continues to buy it, highlighting the long-term perspective of owning gold.
  • Central banks have become voracious buyers of gold in the last two to three years, putting a floor under its price and making it very interesting.
  • Expectation of recessionary conditions metastasizing around the world, leading to more stimulus and inflation kicking in, driving commodity prices significantly higher.
  • Every recession in history starts before it was called, that’s just how it works.
  • “I suspect recession is coming and the danger with this one is that all the kind of past sins of absolution that have been thrown at markets to try and stop previous recessions. They may all bear out in this next one so the next one could be a doozy.”
  • It’s not about being right about the recession, it’s about either making money or not losing money depending on your particular aim.
  • “I’ve been buying gold for 23 years and it’s performed incredibly well for me right and I’ve been accumulating it.”

Jordan Roy-Byrne: Gold Breakout & This Warning Signal is Approaching Code Red (July 16, 2024)

TheDailyGold...

Summary

 

The warning signals for the economy and stock market are approaching code red, with potential flag breakout targets and rate cuts indicating potential economic instability and a significant upcoming breakout in the bull market for precious metals.

  • The warning signal for the economy and stock market is approaching code red.
  • The potential flag breakout target is at least 2,900, with the cup and handle target going back 13 years being about 2,900 to 3,000.
  • The target for gold tends to be reached 6 to 12 months after the measured upside, making the potential breakout very exciting.
  • The market has now priced in a rate cut in September that’s 100% priced in, indicating potential economic instability.
  • The steepening in the yield curve is a warning signal for a recession and bear market.
  • Rate cuts are coming and historically correlate with a top in the stock market.
  • Gold tends to outperform the stock market when there is a steepening and rate cuts, indicating a potential upcoming breakout.
  • This move is going to be so powerful for the bull market in precious metals that it is going to be extremely significant.

Stansberry Research: 250 Million Americans Could Die If the Power Grid Goes Down (July 15, 2024)

Stansberry Research...

Summary

 

The vulnerability of the power grid poses a significant risk to national security and the potential impact of a power grid failure on millions of Americans is a frightening scenario that needs to be addressed.

 

  • The vulnerability of our power grid is a major concern, with potential geopolitical implications.
  • The potential impact of a power grid failure on 250 million Americans is a frightening scenario that needs to be addressed.
  • The threat to the power grid is massive, with just nine substations going down potentially taking out half the grid.
  • Tens of millions of people could die from starvation and water deprivation if the power grid goes out for an extended period of time, highlighting the critical importance of access to water and food in such a scenario.
  • The United States’ infrastructure is not as great as it’s made out to be, and the lack of preparedness for a potential power grid failure is a big problem.
  • Our adversaries are already in the grid from a Cyber attack standpoint with malware or Trojan Horse software, posing a significant threat to the power grid.
  • The potential threat to the power grid from natural events like the Carrington event in 1859 is a real and serious concern.
  • The susceptibility of the power grid poses a significant risk to the entire country’s safety and security.

 

Mark Thornton: Why Economic Inequality Is a Good Thing (July 20, 2024)

Unanimity...

Summary

 

Economic inequality has been a driving force behind economic progress and has led to an increase in the standard of living for all, not just a few.

 

  • Economic inequality is a good thing and goes hand in hand with economic progress for all, not just a capitalist trick.
  • The economic condition for early humans was usually extreme poverty, with no clothing or shelter in the modern sense.
  • The emergence of economic inequality led to the development of valuable skills, trade, and technologies that increased everyone’s economic status for the first time.
  • The wheel is considered the most important invention in human history precisely because it is associated with trade, but the wheel also helps with production and productivity.
  • Along with the increase in economic inequality, there has been an unprecedented increase in the standard of living.
  • The lowest economic status group in the most unequal economy has a standard of living that dwarfs that of royalty from just a few hundred years ago.
  • The surge of global standards of living has led to a remarkable doubling of life expectancy and a 300% increase in world population.
  • Increasing economic inequality is associated with Rising standards of living for all, lifting all boats and not only increasing the size of the economic pie but also cutting everyone larger pieces of pie.

Jason Purcell: Does the Fed Push Interest Rates Down? History Says Yes (July 21, 2024)

Human Action Podcast...

Summary

 

The historical relationship between central banks and interest rates has had a significant impact on the yield curve and economic cycles.

 

  • The NBR macro history database provides a historical approach to understanding the central bank’s influence over interest rates.
  • The comparison of privately issued commercial paper rates to the yield on long-term US government bonds provides insight into the historical relationship between the Fed and interest rates.
  • The upward sloping nature of the yield curve, where short-term securities pay lower interest rates than long-term securities, didn’t come about until the early 1930s.
  • The Bank of England maintained a 5% bank rate for the entire 25-year period, despite the constant inversion of the term structure.
  • The central bank jacking up their policy rate inverts the yield curve and leads to a recession, but by and large, the norm is for a positive spread between bank rate and console yields.
  • The existence and activity of modern central banks pushes down interest rates to artificially low levels, leading to a widening spread between long-term and short-term rates.
  • The influx of extra credit pushes down short-term rates for borrowers, leading to a “normal” upward sloping yield curve during an unsustainable boom period.
  • Banks can profit by borrowing short and lending long without taking credit risk, thanks to the Fed’s pegging of short-term and long-term rates during the crucial period from 1930 to 1950.

David Hunter: Market Melt-Up Before BIG CRASH (June 29, 2024)

The Jay Martin Show...

Summary

 

The speaker predicts a market melt-up followed by a big crash, and advises investment in the commodity sector to hedge against global economic uncertainty.

 

Economic Implications and Consequences

 
  • The decision by Saudi Arabia not to renew the Petrodollar agreement may have significant implications for the dollar’s status as the global reserve currency.
  • David Hunter predicts a global bust next year, more dramatic than 2008, but still not a depression.
  • The inflation breakout is imminent, with potential 25% inflation and interest rates between 15 and 20% or higher by the end of the decade.
  • The government’s ability to print money and kick the can down the road is reaching its limit, and we may be approaching the end of that ability.
  • The unsustainable debt issue, with $34 trillion of debt in the United States alone, is a number that nobody can wrap their head around and could lead to a collapse of the financial system.
  • The global bust is something much less than a recession, but the 320 trillion in debt and quadrillions in notional value of derivatives could exacerbate the situation.
  • The massive ramp up in both monetary expansion and fiscal expansion to save the system could result in a doubling of the current 34 trillion debt, leading to further economic challenges.
     

Investment Opportunities and Risks

 
  • Despite the short-term outlook, he remains very bullish on gold, with a target of $3,000.
  • I think we can see 3,000 this year. Um I think you can see 60 on Silver and I’ve said if it gets to 60. It may push through and go to 75 uh so those are big runs.
  • David Hunter predicts $20,000 gold and $500 oil, with a 25% inflation rate by 2030.
  • “There’s likely going to be a couple generational wealth creation opportunities that we’ll see just once in our lifetime.”
     

Market Predictions and Timing

 
  • David Hunter predicts a market melt-up before a big crash, staying consistent with his macro thesis.
  • David Hunter predicts a much broader market rally with the Russell outperforming the other major averages, targeting a 60-65% advance.
  • The market could see a 30 to 60% upside before a big crash, creating a dilemma for investors on when to get out.

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