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Top Ten Videos – March 4, 2024

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Jordan Roy Byrne: Gold is Inches from Huge Breakout (March. 2 2024)

The Daily Gold...

Summary

 

Gold is on the verge of a significant breakout, potentially reaching $2500, and this could have implications for the stock market.

 

  • Gold is on the verge of a breakout, with a potential cup and handle pattern forming.
  • Gold is on the verge of a breakout, and it’s likely to happen next week.
  • The cup and handle pattern indicates a potential breakout in gold prices.
  • Gold is projected to reach 2350 based on closing prices, indicating a bullish trend.
  • Regardless of the stock market, betting on 2350 and maybe 2500 for gold seems like a good move.
  • Gold and silver are on the verge of a huge breakout, with the daily highest close exceeding the all-time highest close.
  • Despite macro concerns with the stock market, the setup for Gold suggests a really good year ahead.

Doomberg: The Year of Sound Money (Feb. 25, 2024)

What Bitcoin Did...

Summary

 

Gold may regain its place as a neutral reserve asset, with potential for higher prices if manipulation is proven, while the speaker emphasizes the importance of objective analysis and transparency in their successful newsletter business.

 

Financial Success and Bitcoin Investment

 
  • “It’s important to try to understand what’s true to the best that you can, even if what you discover to be true goes against something you have said publicly or something you have previously believed.”
  • Insight: Doomberg became the number one paid Finance substack in the world with less than $10,000 investment.
  • The overlap between Bitcoin advocates and those concerned about preserving their wealth and the quality of leaders in the western world highlights a shared worry about the future and the inevitable debt crisis.
  • The volatility of Bitcoin can lead to massive gains and losses, as seen in the speaker’s experience with a 25k investment turning into 15 million and then back to zero.
  • The year 2024 will be pivotal for Bitcoin, especially with the introduction of ETFs and Michael Sailor’s actions with MicroStrategy.
  • The price of Bitcoin is driven by passive inflows and new money coming into an asset with a limited supply, not just the fiscal situation in the US.
     

Geopolitical Concerns and Global Threats

 
  • The difference between what’s going on on the ground and what’s being reported in the media shows the chasm between reality and the way it’s portrayed in the west.
  • The fentanyl issue is seen as a biochemical act of war by China, with the precursors made in China causing significant harm in the US and Canada.
  • The high chance of death from casual recreational drugs like cocaine laced with fentanyl is a terrifying reality for many young people.
  • The Chinese are killing 100,000 Americans a year knowingly with fentanyl, it’s outrageous.
  • “It’s scary actually that we’re sleepwalking towards World War II with a guy who’s clearly being handled by somebody who knows.”

Peter Boockvar and Joe Mazumdar: The Economic Environment And Investing In Resources Stocks (March 2, 2024)

The KE Radio...

Summary

 

The macroeconomic environment and markets are facing challenges, but there are still opportunities for investors in areas such as infrastructure, energy stocks, and mining operations.

 

Macroeconomic Analysis and Market Insights

 
  • Peter Boockvar discusses the macro environment and markets, providing valuable insights for investors.
  • Peter breaks down all the key data, making it easier for investors to understand and analyze.
  • Peter Boockvar highlights the notable backup in interest rates, reinforcing the “higher for longer” situation and dispelling hopes of magically returning to 0% interest rates.
  • Long-term interest rates are expected to trend higher and possibly retest the 5% level, despite central banks not raising rates.
  • Europe, China, and Japan are facing economic challenges, creating a difficult macroeconomic environment for multinational companies.
  • Gold has traded like a champ since the beginning of 2022, despite the dollar rally and aggressive monetary tightening.
  • The uncertainty around the potential confiscation of Russian reserves could impact the legal and financial implications, causing concern for foreign investors about the safety of their assets.
     

Impact of Infrastructure Spending on Resource Stocks

 
  • The industrial side is benefiting from infrastructure spending, with companies involved in manufacturing facilities, EV batteries, and chips doing well.
  • The amount of infrastructure spend in India, including highway, road, and bridge construction, is extraordinary and will create a significant demand for commodities in the coming years.
  • He is also very bullish on energy stocks, especially those that have remained stagnant despite oil prices staying between 75 and 80.
  • Natural gas in the US at a buck 60 which is astonishing to see, with potential for a supply response that could firm up pricing.
  • Visiting different projects in Australia provided new insights into the mining operations and potential opportunities in the resource sector.
  • Rising drilling costs are impacting the amount of information obtained from drilling, leading to decreased meters drilled.
     

Government Funding and Jurisdictional Stability in Resource Sector

 
  • “You want to look for jurisdictional stability when you have these multi-year assets.”
  • The Australian government funds regional geophysical surveys and gives the information to everyone, leveling the playing field for juniors.
  • The Canadian government should provide funding for geophysical surveys instead of funding lifestyle companies.

John Rubino: Libertarianism Unleashed in Latin America and the World (Feb.27, 2024)

Financial Survival Network...

Summary

 

The rise of libertarianism, the potential for technological advancements, and the unpredictability of the market are shaping the future of the world.

 

  • It’s a big deal because so few things like that have ever happened in the world.
  • Libertarianism has gone from being a theoretical system to actually being implemented, causing optimism for the future.
  • “In El Salvador, they made Bitcoin legal tender and then they rounded up all the gang members and just put them in a supermax prison and so El Salvador went from being one of the most dangerous places in Latin America to having one of the lowest crime rates.”
  • The rise of libertarianism in Latin America is adding to the list of things that can be cobbled together into a somewhat libertarian political platform.
  • The function of Democracy in America was to have states as laboratories for ideas, but somehow we’ve gone totally astray.
  • The earlier version of the United States was closer to the libertarian ideal with a smaller government, allowing for more individual freedom and economic autonomy.
  • The combination of artificial intelligence and quantum computers will lead to superhuman computing power and a very interesting world.
  • “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent” – highlighting the unpredictability of the market and the importance of staying financially solvent.

Lyn Alden: The 60/40 Portfolio Will Fail, Here's Why (Feb. 29, 2024)

Liberty and Finance...

Summary

 

The current energy crisis and geopolitical concerns could lead to significant upside surprises in the oil market, and investors should consider adding assets that provide inflation protection such as energy producers and real assets like gold and copper to their portfolios.

 

  • The cycle of oil and other commodities going through periods of scarcity and abundance is a multi-year significant bull market.
  • Rising energy prices and geopolitical concerns could lead to more upside surprises in the oil market in the coming years.
  • Energy crisis can cause abrupt shifts in energy sources, such as Germany pivoting heavily into coal during the European natural gas crisis.
  • Certain geopolitical events or disruptions could cause major dislocations to the upside in energy prices or overall inflation measures.
  • The Federal Reserve’s liquidity injections and balance sheet expansion are a net positive liquidity inflationary force, resembling industrial policy from the 1940s.
  • The 60/40 portfolio is based on the expectation of disinflation, but now that interest rates have hit zero, the juice has been squeezed out of that positioning.
  • Instead of a traditional 60/40 stock-bond portfolio, consider adding assets that provide inflation protection such as energy producers and real assets like gold and copper.

Nick Gerli: Unaffordable Housing Market Still Due To Correct By 30-40% (Feb.25 2024)

Thoughtful Money...

Summary

 

The current financial system is broken, and individuals should consider holding their reserves in assets like gold and Bitcoin to protect their wealth from government and corporate control.

 

Housing Market Overvaluation and Potential Correction

 
  • Home prices remain 30 to 40% overvalued from their long-term norms, despite a collapse in buyer demand.
  • The 13-year average of inflation-adjusted home prices in America shows that we are still in a massive bubble on prices, 80% above the long-term average.
  • The exponential rise in home prices deviates so far from historical norms that waiting for a correction is the rational choice.
  • Home prices in certain cities like Austin, Texas are already down 17% from peak in just a year and a half, indicating a potential correction of 30-40% in the housing market.
  • If prices go up way above the growth in income historically, it’s not a sustainable situation and either prices need to go down or incomes need to go up.
  • The number of single family units actively under construction is a leading indicator of the economic cycle, with a potential 30-40% correction in the housing market.
  • Nick Gerli believes the housing market is 30 to 40% overvalued, calling it the biggest bubble of all time.
  • “I think it’s within months. I think it could be before the election. It’s risky to predict that. But that’s what the tea leaves tell us and Cycles tell us and history tells us that all bubbles burst.”
  • The housing market correction could be as high as 30-40%.
     

Economic Indicators and Influences on Housing Market

 
  • Property insurance costs have gone up 50% in Florida and insurers are dropping out in California, theoretically reducing demand and increasing supply, yet home sales are at the lowest level of all time.
  • “To hear that the work is starting to dry up for contractors is a really interesting potential leading indicator of where things are going economically.”
  • “The stock market has to have one more vertical move and then it rolls over and crashes, all bubbles end in crashes.”
  • The dramatic lowering of interest rates through QE and the artificial push down by the FED printing money had a significant effect on lowering the price of a home by lowering the cost of a mortgage.
 

Peter St.Onge: Economic Collapse: Japan Falls into Recession! (March.3, 2024)

Wall Street Silver...

Summary

 

Japan has entered a recession, causing concerns about a global economic downturn due to weak domestic demand, consumer spending, and wages, as well as rising inflation.

 
  • Japan’s recession is so bad that it’s losing its spot as the world’s third largest economy, joining the UK, Germany, and the rest of Europe in recession.
  • “Two negative quarters of GDP is the definition of a recession of course here in America.”
  • Japanese wages failed to keep up in short as in America, Japanese are falling behind in real incomes and they’re not buying anymore for them.
  • Japanese people import 2/3 of the food they eat and 94% of their energy, which is a major problem for consumers in Japan.
  • Japan’s recession is part of a global economic downturn, with Germany, Europe, China, the UK, Australia, and Canada all facing their own economic challenges.
  • The covid spending orgy by governments and central banks could have a detrimental impact on the economy.

Doomberg: Long Gold, Short Energy, Cautious Uranium, Suspicious Copper (Feb.29, 2024)

Resource Talks...

Summary

 

The world has more than enough primary energy, and the US has become a major energy powerhouse, making it a unique Petro state with the potential for significant re-rating of gold.

 

Energy Market Insights

 
  • Peak cheap oil is a myth, and the upward sloping S wave of energy consumption of humanity continues unabated regardless of the crises that may present themselves.
  • The harder you stretch the rubber band, the more violent the reaction would be, because there’s way more than enough hydrocarbons under the Earth for way more than long enough.
  • The price of oil is influenced by the capital expansion cycle of the commodity sector, sentiment, risk premiums, and geopolitics in the short and medium term, while technology is the primary driver in the long term.
  • The US has become a major energy powerhouse, adding two and a half Saudi Arabia to its energy mix in just 15 years, despite facing political restrictions on drilling.
  • The inelasticity of demand for Commodities makes $200 or $300 oil totally possible, and we just saw it in Europe.
  • The market is signaling that a US war with Iran is unlikely, despite what’s going on in the Middle East.
  • “The world has more than enough primary energy which is why you see natural gas where it is, coal where it is, and oil would be lower.”
  • The evolution of controlled production among US operators in the Shell patch is phenomenal, making them more flexible and able to toggle on and off, ultimately leading to a supply response.
  • The US benefits from both long and short energy positions, making it a unique Petro state.
  • “Energy is not influenced by the economy. Energy is the economy.”
  • Uranium has the potential to triple or quadruple in price without significantly impacting the cost of running a nuclear power plant, making it a sound long-term investment.
     

Precious Metals Analysis

 
  • The price of gold has been suppressed by the paper markets, and the US dollar dominance is coming to an end, setting up for a very interesting 2024.
  • A major oil producer pricing product in ounces of gold could lead to a significant re-rating of gold, potentially reaching $2500, $3000, or even $5000.

Rafi Farber: The 1970s are Repeating for Silver Exactly, And It's Now 1978 (March 1, 2024)

Arcadia Economics...

Summary

 

The speaker believes that silver is repeating the pattern of the 1970s, and that it is a great time to buy undervalued silver stocks as they are predicted to hit all-time highs, potentially reaching $240 and being remonetized by the public.

 

  • “Commercial real estate buildings are changing hands for $1 which isn’t a sign at all of the commercial mortgage back securities crisis currently ongoing but it actually is according to the Wall Street Journal.”
  • Silver stocks are at an all-time low relative to the silver price, signaling a potential repeat of the 1970s trend.
  • Interest rates have gone through the roof, with 30-year mortgages back at 7%, leading to the downfall of real estate investments.
  • The treasury is experiencing record-breaking auctions in size, with half of all record issuances for all denominations coming in 2024, indicating a need for money.
  • The recession in 15 European countries, including Germany, is a sign that they will need to print more money soon, leading to a potential crash.
  • As the dollar takes its final plunge of death, things are going to be repriced in silver terms, indicating a potential shift in the value of silver.
  • “This time I think the dollar will spiral completely out of control.”
  • The 1970s pattern is repeating for silver, and it’s going to end exactly when, I don’t know, but we are four years into this and the 1970s it took five years.

Catherine Austin Fitts: Transaction Freedom And The Building Wealth Reset (Feb. 27, 2024)

Underground Revolution...

Summary

 

The move to centralize control in financial institutions poses a threat to financial transaction freedom and could lead to total control of financial transactions and assets.

 

  • The move to centralize control in financial institutions is a threat to financial transaction freedom.
  • The federal government has been in massive violation of financial management laws and the Constitution since 1998, leading to significant problems.
  • The globalized dollar system may lead to the breakup of the United States and the European Union, as small states are more beneficial for those who control and run the system.
  • “You have to understand okay what can permit a man and a woman to have children and be healthy and be successful because it starts with creating healthy people and growing healthy people and educating them.”
  • We need a Building Wealth reset to take responsibility for a pro-human reset.
  • Digital IDs, CBDCs, and the WHO treaty are taking everything – not just your bank account and assets, but also your kids if you don’t comply.
  • Catherine Austin Fitts believes that the banking system could use financial transaction control to assert total control of your financial transactions and take everything.
  • The battle for real assets will be fought through financial transaction control, with gold and silver at the heart of the fight.

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