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Top Ten Videos – October 21 2024

Robert Murphy: What Was Mises's Position on Fractional Reserve Banking? (Oct 18, 2024)

Human Action Podcast...

Summary

 

Mises critiques fractional reserve banking for its potential to create economic instability and distort interest rates, advocating instead for a free banking system with limited fiduciary media issuance to better manage reserves and mitigate the risks associated with fractional reserves.

 

Fractional Reserve Banking Critique

 

Rothbard argues fractional reserve banking is fraudulent and destabilizes the economy by causing boom and bust cycles due to the mismatch between depositors’ perceptions and banks’ actual reserves.

 

In Rothbard’s view, fractional reserve banking leads to distorted interest rates, causing businesses to borrow more than they otherwise would, resulting in unsustainable booms as previously unprofitable projects become viable.

 

Alternative Banking Systems

 

Rothbard advocates for a 100% reserve system for checking accounts, where banks charge fees for holding money rather than lending it out, preventing bank runs and allowing banks to act as credit intermediaries.

 

Mises favored free banking with normal contract enforcement, believing market forces would lead to high reserve ratios through competition, as banks would strive to maintain reserves to avoid bankruptcy.

 

Economic Implications

 

Both Rothbard and Mises argue that fractional reserve banking leads to inefficient allocation of resources, causing inefficient investment and production compared to a 100% reserve system.

 

Mises acknowledged that fractional reserve banking allows for economizing on gold resources by simulating gold services without using as much physical gold, but still believed it would lead to unsustainable booms and crashes.

 

Broader Economic Considerations

 

Mises posited that even with 100% reserve banking, the influx of new gold could trigger a boom and bust cycle by lowering interest rates and subsequently raising wages and prices.

 

According to Mises, fractional reserve banking, even with high reserve ratios, can lead to unsustainable economic growth and crashes as newly issued fiduciary media distort interest rates and wages before permeating the economy.

BT/TV 16: Marc Morano - CBDC's Are About Creating a Permission-Based Society (October 17, 2024)

BT TV...

Summary

 
 

Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are being used as instruments to establish a permission-based society that restricts individual freedoms and enforces government control under the pretext of emergencies and societal issues.

 

Censorship and Control

 

Governments and big tech are colluding to control narratives, censor information, and suppress dissent, with even Harvard epidemiologists and Nobel laureates being silenced for questioning official COVID-19 narratives.

 

The UN and Google have partnered to suppress dissenting views by only showing consensus search results, declaring “we own the science” in 2023 and labeling disagreement with their climate agenda as misinformation.

 

Digital Currencies and Surveillance

 

Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) are being developed to create a permission-based society, controlling spending on items like net zero and covid health plans, while tracking individual carbon footprints.

 

The Patriot Act and surveillance state are used to justify restrictions on free speech and individual rights, with government and tech companies monitoring and censoring as a form of tyranny and control.

 

Climate Science and Consensus

 

The “97% consensus” claim in climate science is based on flawed methodology, with studies showing that any data would produce a hockey stick graph, yet it’s still cited by media and politicians as “99% consensus“.

 

Climate agenda is being used to justify CBDCs and permission-based societies, with government and tech companies working together to impose “carbon communism” and totalitarian control.

 

Technological Control and Manipulation

 

Naval Harari of the World Economic Forum, advisor to Klaus Schwab, discusses using psychotropic drugs and video games to control people when AI takes over their jobs.

 

Mastercard and Visa have partnered with the United Nations for a CO2 monitoring card that cuts off spending when limits are exceeded, currently voluntary but potentially mandatory in the future.

Mimetic Desire: "I See Satan Fall Like Lightning" (October 11, 2024)

Robert Breedlove...

Summary

 

Human behavior is profoundly influenced by unconscious mimesis, leading to rivalry and scapegoating, but through Christ’s teachings and self-awareness, individuals can break this cycle and promote love and personal growth.

 

Mimetic Theory and Human Nature

 

Mimetic theory posits that humans acquire desires through unconscious imitation of others, challenging the notion of innate individual desires and highlighting our fundamentally social nature.

 

The discovery of mirror neurons in the 1990s provides neurological evidence for Girard’s theory, demonstrating that our brains are wired for imitation and empathy.

 

Social Dynamics and Cultural Transmission

 

Role models and influencers, including celebrities and social media personalities, serve as powerful mediators of desire, shaping cultural norms and behaviors through their imitation-worthy status.

 

Mimesis is the primary mechanism for transmitting cultural information across time and space, with those at the top of cultural hierarchies wielding significant influence over societal values and trends.

 

Conflict and Scapegoating

 

Mimetic rivalry and scandal arise when desires are blocked, leading to phenomena like crab mentality and tall poppy syndrome, where individuals attempt to hinder others’ success out of envy or spite.

 

The single victim mechanism or scapegoating is a process where collective violence is directed towards a single individual, blamed for problems caused by mimetic contagion, temporarily restoring social order.

 

Religious Perspectives and Transcendence

 

In Girard’s theory, Satan represents the reciprocal process of victimization, embodying both the first law of disorder (rivalry) and the first law of order (scapegoating).

 

Imitating Christ, rather than participating in mimetic violence, offers a path to transcend destructive social patterns by standing apart from mob mentality and choosing to love one’s neighbor.

Bob Moriarty: BRICS Gobbling Up Gold as '500 Black Swans' Circle the West (Oct. 18, 2024)

Commodity Culture...

Summary

 
 

The surge in gold buying by China and Russia reflects BRICS’ strategy to establish a new currency system that challenges the dominance of the US dollar amid rising global economic uncertainties.

 

Global Economic Shift

 

BRICS nations, led by China and Russia, have been aggressively accumulating gold over the past decade, accounting for 80-90% of central bank gold purchases in the last 2 years, preparing for a potential monetary system reset.

 

An alternate currency system to replace the US dollar is being developed by BRICS nations, potentially to be announced at the upcoming BRICS Summit, challenging the dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency.

 

US Economic Challenges

 

The US dollar’s fiat system, which began in 1971 after the removal of gold backing, may be nearing its end, as reserve currencies historically last 60-100 years on average.

 

The US is heading for economic collapse with soaring inflation, decreasing dollar utility, and a dysfunctional financial system, regardless of election outcomes, according to Bob Moriarty.

 

Historical Context and Future Predictions

 

The Fourth Turning, a crisis phase predicted by William Strauss to start around 2005 and last 20-25 years, could lead to either totalitarianism or new freedoms.

 

Russia and China are positioned to establish a long-lasting reign as global superpowers in the new monetary system, based on their significant gold accumulation and economic strategies.

Douglas Macgregor: Is Blackrock bankrolling the WAR in Ukraine & Middle East? (Oct. 17, 2024)

The Jay Martin Show...

Summary

 

Today on the Jay Martin Show, retired army colonel Douglas Macgregor offers a critical analysis of U.S. foreign policy, highlighting the influence of wealthy donors and oligarchs in shaping national decisions. He argues that America’s involvement in conflicts like Ukraine and the Middle East is driven not by public interest but by the financial incentives of a few powerful figures.

 

Macgregor emphasizes that American democracy is compromised by this donor control, and that wars in Ukraine and the Middle East serve the interests of corporate elites rather than the American public.

 

He also discusses how media manipulation and government corruption further perpetuate this system, leading to unnecessary military interventions.

 

Finally, Macgregor touches on the geopolitical implications of these conflicts, suggesting that the U.S. is courting major wars while ignoring its own domestic issues, and warns of the possible financial collapse looming on the horizon.

Andy Schectman: Reset Coming: New One-World System to Revalue Gold to $150k, Is BRICS the Trigger? (Oct. 17, 2024)

Kitco News...

Summary

 
 

A new global financial system may emerge, supported by BRICS nations and a gold-backed currency, potentially leading to a significant revaluation of gold and a reduced reliance on the US dollar amid geopolitical changes.

 

Global Economic Shift

 

BRICS countries are developing a new common currency called the “Unit“, backed by 40% gold and 60% basket of currencies, challenging the US dollar’s dominance in global trade.

 

Central banks are buying gold at record levels while reducing dollar reserves, with global dollar reserves falling to 57%, the lowest in 25 years.

 

Over 30 prospective nations are expected to join BRICS discussions, including Turkey and Thailand, representing 75% of world population and 50% of global GDP.

 

New Currency System

 

The “Unit” will be used for inter-nation transactions, not replacing local currencies, with strict penalties for non-compliance and continuous auditing visible on the blockchain.

 

Gold used to mint unit settlement tokens will be held within the jurisdiction of possessing countries, as advised by the BIS, making gold a tier one asset backing the new system.

 

Gold Revaluation

 

For BRICS’ mBridge and Unit currencies to fully roll out, gold needs to be revalued to $150,000 per ounce to provide necessary liquidity.

 

Revaluing US gold holdings could neutralize global desire to move away from the dollar if tied to gold, potentially offsetting indebted countries’ balance sheets.

 

US Dollar Challenges

 

The US faces massive fiscal irresponsibility with 7% annual money creation, losing half of purchasing power since 2010 and accumulating trillion-dollar debt every 90 days.

 

Former President Trump warns that losing dollar’s reserve currency status is equivalent to losing a war, proposing 100% tariffs on countries not honoring the dollar.

 

Future Implications

 

If the US dollar is devalued and gold revalued, it could lead to a dumping of dollars and treasuries, potentially causing the implosion of overleveraged financial markets.

Rick Rule: Gold Going HIGHER Is Unavoidable (Here's Why) (Oct. 17, 2024)

CapitalCOSM...

Summary

 
 

Gold is a crucial long-term investment due to persistent inflation and declining fiat currency value, while also highlighting the importance of high-quality natural resource projects amidst economic instability.

 

Economic Outlook

 

Inflation is stubbornly high at 7.5% vs. 2.6% CPI, with key costs like taxesgasolinefoodhealth insurance, and housing increasing much more than wages over the past 5 years.

 

The US faces a $35 trillion on-balance-sheet debt and $100 trillion off-balance-sheet liabilities for entitlements, with the deficit growing by $3-4 trillion annually.

 

The next 10 years will likely see lower investment returnshigher cost of capitalpersistent inflation, and a social war between those who believe their work is rewarded and those who believe society owes them a living.

 

Investment Strategies

 

Warren Buffett has trimmed positions in Apple and financial services companies due to concerns over inflationcredit quality issues, and the transition to a 10-year period of higher volatility.

 

Gold and silver serve as insurance against financial disruptions, with prices increasing during times of inflation and debt.

 

Mining Industry Insights

 

Tier one mining assets are the most underrated and important for investing, being largelong-livedhigh-margin deposits that can overcome operating mistakes and provide exploration upside.

 

The uranium market is transitioning from a spot market to a long-term contract market, benefiting 10-12 junior uranium companies with economic deposits.

 

The money made in natural resources is concentrated in a very few companies and projects that are largelong-lived, and high-margin, capable of amortizing mistakes and providing exploration upside.

Vince Lanci: Gold Surges To Another Record High Ahead Of BRICS Meeting (October 18, 2024)

Arcadia Economics...

Summary

 

Gold prices are surging due to increased investor interest driven by concerns over US debt, central bank actions in China, and the upcoming BRICS meeting, which is expected to reshape global financial dynamics.

 

Global Economic Shifts

 

The BRICS Summit is expected to drive gold and silver prices higher, with China’s BRICS Pay system potentially enabling cross-border gold payments.

 

As the US national debt approaches $35 trillion, analysts question whether US Treasury bonds can still provide stability, leading to gold being viewed as the ultimate safe haven asset.

 

Precious Metals Market

 

Bank of America’s commodity strategist predicts gold could reach $3,000 by year-end due to concerns over US funding needs and their impact on the US Treasury Market.

 

Despite higher volatility, silver is matching gold’s year-to-date gains of +30%, driven by growing solar demand and increasing ETF holdings.

 

China’s Economic Strategy

 

China’s People’s Bank is making it cheaper for select entities to pledge government bonds and central bank bills to buy stocks, aiming to liquefy markets and reduce financial risks.

Peter St. Onge: Why Liberty Will Win (October 18, 2024)

Peter St. Onge...

Summary

 

The struggle for liberty against government overreach is essential, as history demonstrates the fragility of liberal values, but the rise of populist movements and the power of the internet signal a potential triumph for the Liberty Movement.

 

Liberty vs Authoritarianism

 

Liberty has gained a significant head start over authoritarianism in recent years, thanks to the internet and support from influential figures like Elon Musk.

 

Authoritarianism is often the default state for humanity, with natural advantages in moneyresource seizure, and institutional control, while liberty remains an unstable equilibrium.

 

Preparing for Authoritarianism

 

The costs of preparing for authoritarianism (e.g., leaving the countryadjusting investments) increase with success and embeddedness, making it challenging for the elite to leave early.

 

During authoritarian times, people protected themselves by adjusting stock portfoliosstockpiling foodpacking emergency bags, and leaving the country.

 

Natural Advantages of Liberty

 

Liberty possesses natural advantages over authoritarianism, including the fact that humans are not inherently slaves, and slavery is an unstable equilibrium waiting for the right push to collapse.

Michael Oliver: Market Is In A Minefield, Expect Rush Into Gold (October 17, 2024)

Liberty and Finance...

Summary

 

Market instability and political tensions are driving a significant shift towards gold and silver as safe-haven investments, with expectations of rising prices amid potential downturns in the stock market.

 

Market Dynamics and Vulnerabilities

 

Momentum Structural Analysis (MSA) suggests that stock market crashes are often preceded by breaks in momentum structures, not price, indicating the US market is currently the biggest stock market bubble globally.

 

Recent headline-driven price action with new highs by just a few points signals weak momentum and unsustainable growth, potentially leading to a sudden 5-10% drop if daily momentum breaks.

 

Financial Sector Concerns

 

Despite recent strength, banks’ technical momentum is weak, with MSA warning of a possible 30-35% drop in a month if momentum breaks, mirroring the March 2023 banking sector decline.

 

Political and Social Factors

 

The upcoming US election could trigger social unrest and violence, acting as a catalyst for stock market shifts and precious metals performance, according to a University of Virginia Department of Politics poll.

 

Investment Strategies

 

A stock market break may prompt portfolio managers to shift funds into gold and silver, historically rising during major stock market downturns, while also triggering monetary policy easing and increased money supply.

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