Trump’s tariffs primarily target the EU, not China, revealing a strategy to uncover trade weaknesses and identify US allies and enemies in the global economic landscape.
China manages its currency relative to a basket of Asian currencies, not the US dollar, with a high correlation for 15 years, indicating a shift away from dollar dependence.
EU central banks controlled nearly $3.3T in US treasuries as of January 2023, up from $1.1T in 2019, demonstrating their significant role in the Eurodollar system.
The war in Ukraine serves as an excuse for the EU to devalue their currency, default on debt, and disrupt tariffs, while France and Germany consolidate power in Europe.
Southern European countries like Italy are breaking away from the EU, with Italy’s Giorgia Meloni negotiating a bilateral trade agreement with the US outside of EU structures.
The digital euro could be either a tool of tyranny by EU elites or a last-ditch effort to maintain control, highlighting the complex power dynamics within the EU.
Trump’s geopolitical strategy includes relocating US assets from Germany and Poland to Greece, supporting Erdogan’s Syria policy, and initiating indirect talks with Iran.
Trump’s approach targets tariffs, currency manipulation, capital controls, and regulations to address comprehensive trade issues, not just tariff-related problems.
Basis trades by hedge funds like Citadel and Millennium faced challenges, reminiscent of the 2019 SOFR crisis and 2020 repo crisis, raising questions about their funding sources.
Europeans dumped US treasuries while buying euros and German bunds, maintaining a 2.62% yield on bunds, indicating a coordinated effort to shift away from dollar dominance.
The potential election of Mark Carney as Canadian Prime Minister could lead to a trade war with the US over access to Canadian mineral and oil wealth, potentially making Carney a major pipeline builder.
Armstrong’s computer models accurately predicted a market correction on April 7th, 2023, two months in advance, demonstrating the power of data-driven forecasting in navigating market volatility.
Gold prices are expected to rise due to geopolitical instability and declining government trust globally, with historical correlation between gold and war/uncertainty.
Lower interest rates can paradoxically reduce economic activity by undermining lending incentives, as evidenced by negative rates in Europe in 2014 leading to cash hoarding and threatening the banking system.
The concept of comparative advantage by economist David Ricardo suggests focusing on strengths rather than protecting overvalued jobs, exemplified by Toyota’s successful U.S. plant outperforming Japanese productivity.
Tariffs don’t cause economic collapses but can lead to trade wars, with historical context from the 1930s providing insight into their misunderstood nature and potential consequences.
Lowering US corporate tax to 15% and ending worldwide taxation could boost competitiveness against foreign companies not paying tax on overseas earnings.
A global trend of declining trust in governments is attributed to progressive agendas, with examples like Germany’s shift toward far-right parties and Europe’s struggles with migration.
Censorship and free speech restrictions in Europe and the US pose dangers to objective analysis and non-emotional reactions to market trends.
Europe faces a debt crisis and potential collapse without war, as leaders like Macron believe taking down Russia, the world’s richest country in natural resources, will allow Europe to rise again like the Roman Empire.
Consumption tax is considered fairer than income tax, taxing spending regardless of income source and preventing tax lawyers from negotiating lower rates.
Income tax is described as a Marxist dream requiring reporting all income to the government, contrasting with the simplicity and fairness of consumption-based taxation.
American consumers spend one out of four dollars compared to European consumers, despite Europe’s larger population, indicating higher living standards in the US despite socialistic agendas with high tariffs and regulations.
The Senate holds exclusive power to halt Trump’s tariffs, as the Constitution designates interstate, intrastate, and tariff policy as congressional purview, not executive branch authority.
A bipartisan effort in the Senate has introduced the Trade Act of 2025, aiming to repeal the Trade Act of 1974 that granted presidents tariff authority, but requires a veto-proof majority to overcome potential presidential opposition.
Senator Chuck Grassley from Iowa, a rule of law advocate, is co-sponsoring the bill to repeal the Trade Act of 1974, marking a significant shift in his stance on Trump’s tariff policies.
Repealing the decades-old tariff authority granted by the Trade Act of 1974 is a lengthy and complex process, likely requiring a severe economic downturn to generate sufficient pressure for presidential approval.
The Trade Act of 1974 bestowed tariff authority to the president, a power Trump has extensively utilized to impose tariffs, highlighting the long-standing nature of this executive capability.
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