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Top Three Videos – August 16, 2024

George Gammon: “Dedollarisation?” 🛑 THIS is what EVERYONE is MISSING (Aug 11, 2024)

The Jay Martin Show...

Summary

 
 

The treasury curve is a powerful economic indicator, and the current market correction confirms the potential for a severe recession and significant impact on purchasing power.

 

Economic indicators and market corrections

 
  • The treasury curve is the most powerful economic indicator we have, and the recent market correction confirms what I’ve been looking at.
  • The idea of “This Time It’s Different” is more dangerous than it seems, especially when looking at historical cycles and patterns.
  • The yield curve and interest rates are more about future growth and inflation expectations than supply and debt outstanding.
  • The 10-year treasury yield would be a whopping 25 basis points higher than it is today, even if they normalized everything.
  • When currency is lent into existence, it creates demand for that currency in the future, and if demand goes down, the debt that created those currency units is extinguished.
  • George Gammon believes we are in the beginning innings of a long-term commodity super cycle, with prices never going up in a straight line.
     

Global financial system and potential risks

 
  • The significance of early warnings and information sharing in the financial world cannot be overstated, as seen in the example of the Wuhan lab leak.
  • Big players with insider information will move their funds into the safest and most liquid assets, such as treasuries, in the event of big risks.
  • The smartest money hedges their bets early based on insider information and resources, getting ahead of the game.
  • The majority of debt created outside the United States is extremely short term, which could lead to potential hyperinflation and a skyrocketing value of the dollar outside the US.
  • Japanese banks being forced to take on higher risk assets due to low dollar funding costs could have widespread implications for the global financial system.
     

Government interventions and their economic impact

 
  • The rebound from 2020 to 2024 was a result of artificial government interventions during the covid period, and now we’re paying the economic Fiddler.
  • The FED dropping rates in response to a recession, not to prevent it, adds insult to injury and pours gas on the fire.
  • The next recession could be the worst of our lifetime, similar to a 1930s type scenario.
  • The average Joe and Jane’s purchasing power has gone down significantly, even though their nominal wages have gone up, leading to a night and day difference in standard of living since 2019.

 

Which Countries Are Not a Part of the Great Reset? (July 17, 2024)

Nomad Capitalist...

Summary

 

Individuals should consider exploring other countries for potential citizenship, investment, and business opportunities in order to have more options in case of unforeseen events and to align with countries that are resisting the Great Reset and prioritizing their own interests over America.

 

  • “I’ve told you some places where you can go if that’s not the kind of life that you want to live… I left the United States in part. It’s why I gave up US citizenship in part I didn’t want part of that system.”
  • Investing in up-and-coming places now could be like moving to Singapore in the 1970s, before it became a major global hub.
  • Africa has standout countries like Kenya, Rwanda, Botswana, and Namibia that are not part of the Great Reset.
  • Many countries are turning away from the West and prioritizing their own interests over Western influence.
  • The culture of “don’t tell me what to do” in Eastern Europe is leading to a sense of freedom and independence for those seeking alternative citizenship options.
  • The idea that 99% of the population would resist if the elite 1% took control is reminiscent of historical revolutions and the resistance of the underdog mindset in certain Western countries.
  • The idea of “America first” raises the question of whether other countries get to put themselves first as well, leading to a rebellion against the unipolar system.
  • Investing in a portfolio of different countries can prepare you for potential growth and success in the future.

Ronnie Stoeferle: GOLD: "$4.800 Is Our Target" (Aug 13, 2024)

Soar Financially...

Summary

 
 

Gold’s long-term target of $4,800 is still a possibility, and understanding gold culture in emerging markets is crucial for understanding gold demand and market trends.

 

Gold Market Analysis and Trends

 
  • Gold’s long-term target of $4,800 is still a possibility, as it is way below the all-time highs on an inflation-adjusted basis.
  • “We’re in a bull market.” – Ronnie Stoeferle
  • The marginal Gold Buyer isn’t the Western Financial investor, but rather the physical gold buyer in emerging markets, highlighting the importance of understanding gold culture in these markets.
  • The shift from a soft landing scenario to a hard landing scenario is leading to reevaluation of economic trends that could influence the gold price.
  • The recession is clearly happening, confirmed by signs like the ISM, yield curve, and PMI.
  • Historical data shows that gold, silver, and mining stocks have performed well after the first rate cut, indicating a positive setup for the future.
     

Geopolitical and Monetary Influences on Gold

 
  • Geopolitical long-term development and central banks from emerging markets are the most important drivers of gold demand.
  • The fragility in the western world, especially in the United States, is a growing concern that will reappear once everyone is back from the beaches.
  • The reorganization of the monetary system may happen sooner than expected.
  • Gold as a neutral monetary asset will continue to play a major role in a world of de-globalization, making central banks from Emerging Markets decisive players in the market.
  • The decoupling of the US dollar from gold in 1971 led to the first oil shock and inflation wave, showing the impact of monetary decisions on commodities.
  • In the book, the Mexican president cancels all debt and introduces a gold-backed currency, reflecting a potential future monetary regime.
 

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