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Top Three Videos – August 19, 2023

“This is going to be worse than the Great Depression” Andrew Maguire and Rob Kientz
Kinesis Money

Quick Summary Bullets:

Economic Crisis and Debt Concerns

  • “We’re just adding trillions on top of what’s quickly developing into a Commercial Bank dumpster fire here in the U.S and this is starting to spiral pretty quickly.”
  • “This is going to be worse than the Great Depression.”
  • The escalating debt crisis in the US banking system, including mortgage debt, is rapidly turning into a dangerous situation that the Federal Reserve is deeply concerned about.
  • The free money era has created a massive bubble in the United States, leading to a potential multi-trillion dollar failure in the loan market.
  • The speaker suggests that the current economic situation may be worse than the Great Depression.
  • “This is going to be worse than the Great Depression” – Rob Kientz suggests that the current economic situation will have severe consequences, surpassing the impact of the Great Depression.
  • The current economic situation could potentially be worse than the Great Depression, as more people are highly indebted and live in cities without access to farming or self-sustaining resources.
  • The retraction in the money supply caused by the FED can lead to a depression, as seen in the Great Depression.
  • The current financial system is unsustainable and will eventually collapse, leading to a crisis worse than the Great Depression.
  • The speaker believes that the markets need to crash before we can have true markets again in the U.S, and that we may be beyond the point of no return, based on research by Reinhardt and Rogoff on debt and the system.

Shift in Global Economic Power and Gold Reserves

  • The increasing government deficit and devaluation of currency may lead to a crisis worse than the Great Depression, highlighting the importance of owning gold and silver as a hedge against economic instability.
  • The Sino-Russia alliance likely holds significantly more physical gold than the US treasury, suggesting a potential shift in global economic power.
  • The Russians strategically pegged the ruble to gold to prevent hyperinflation and increase their gold reserves, while other countries are also buying gold in light of the financial mess, indicating a potential decrease in currency value.
  • Once the world challenges the US dollar as the world reserve currency, it is likely to be pegged to gold, causing the value of gold to shoot up.

Potential Impact on Society and Anger

  • “We’re going to have a recession. We’re going to have corporate defaults there’s going to be major issues and you know. This is going to be across the Spectrum and I imagine. The amount of anger that we saw in 2008 is going to be eclipsed by a factor of 10.”
  • “The anger that you’re going to have from the people 350 million people and the US is going to be deafening. It’s going to be unlike anything we probably have seen since the Great Depression.”

Transcript Summary:

The key idea of the video is that the United States is facing a severe economic crisis, with potential major bank failures and a decline in the value of the dollar, highlighting the importance of gold and silver as alternative investments.

  • 00:00 The US is facing a worsening economic crisis with bank failures at a record pace, putting depositors at risk, highlighting the importance of gold and silver as alternative investments.
    • The US is facing a worsening economic crisis as trillions of dollars are being printed to address the commercial bank crisis, and in this episode, Andrew McGuire and Robert Keens discuss the impact on the precious metals industry and the global economy.
    • Rob Kientz, author and gold enthusiast, discusses the current economic situation and the importance of gold and silver.
    • Bank failures in the US are occurring at a record pace, with small and medium banks experiencing issues, highlighting the need for alternative media to point out these problems.
    • Major commercial banks in the US have low liquidity ratios, high leverage, questionable assets, and over 50% of cash deposits are uninsured, putting depositors at risk in the event of a bank failure.
    • If there is another banking crisis in the United States, most people will lose their money deposited in big banks, which is a scary situation given the current state of troubled banks and uninsured consumer deposits.
    • Kientz emphasizes the importance of analyzing numbers and taking notice of them, especially for someone with an audit background.
  • 07:41 Small regional banks are struggling with the commercial real estate market due to the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise rates, causing consumers to withdraw money from banks and leading to a liquidity crisis.
    • Kientz discusses the potential issue with the commercial real estate market, which is primarily held by small regional banks, and questions the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise rates as it may have caused the initial problem.
    • Consumers have withdrawn almost a trillion dollars from commercial banks in the past year due to the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, causing banks to struggle with balancing higher investment rates and maintaining consumer deposit returns.
    • When banks have higher borrowing costs, they pass those costs onto consumers, resulting in a deposit gap where consumers pay high rates while receiving low interest on their deposits, causing them to withdraw their money from banks and leading to issues for banks with high loan-to-value ratios.
    • When people withdraw their funds from banks, it reduces the available capital and causes a squeeze situation where banks cannot raise interest rates or fund operations, leading to a worsening liquidity crisis.
    • Banks are borrowing money for operations but not passing it on to consumers, leading to a downward spiral of loan evaluations, while the US is facing a student loan debt crisis and the Biden administration has promised student loan forgiveness.
  • 12:45 The United States is facing a severe banking crisis due to a massive bubble created by the free money era, with potential multi-trillion dollar failures in the loan market, while the current political system is failing due to a lack of common sense and a focus on maintaining vested interests.
    • Navient, one of the largest servicers, has stopped offering forgiveness, and the Supreme Court has ruled that executive action cannot be used to change payment terms, limiting the current Administration’s options.
    • Around student loans, there are concerns about confusion regarding payment and potential scams, as well as the possibility of default, with research showing that 34% of borrowers currently cannot repay their debt and an additional 37% will have to reduce spending in other areas of the economy.
    • Delinquencies on credit products, including homes, autos, and credit cards, have already spiked and there is a warning that retailers above the base level may face severe pressure, potentially leading to corporate defaults in the retail sector, while the default on student loan debt could further trouble the already struggling banks.
    • The potential for bad debt and liquidity issues in banks, along with the additional 1.5 trillion of mortgage debt, is causing a dangerous situation that is quickly spiraling and concerning the Federal Reserve.
    • Kientz warns that the United States is facing a severe banking crisis due to a massive bubble created by the free money era, with potential multi-trillion dollar failures in the loan market, which is a situation that has not been widely recognized.
    • The current political system in the United States is failing due to a lack of common sense and a focus on maintaining vested interests, resulting in a disregard for the bigger picture.
  • 18:15 Kientz predicts a worse economic crisis than the Great Depression, with major bank failures leading to the consolidation of smaller banks into “super banks” to handle bad debt, potentially causing a crash in the dollar and the end of many political careers.
    • The speaker predicts that there will be a worse economic crisis than the Great Depression, with major bank failures leading to the consolidation of smaller banks into “super banks” to handle the bad debt.
    • The speaker warns that the current economic crisis will be worse than the Great Depression, as political figures fail to understand the severity of the problem and big banks are poised to benefit from the situation.
    • Yield curve inversion indicates an oncoming recession, which will lead to corporate defaults and major issues, causing a level of anger and political realization of the fiscal problem that will surpass that of the 2008 recession, potentially leading to a United States government default.
    • The speaker predicts that the current economic crisis will lead to a crash in the dollar, a reordering of financial powers, and the end of many political careers, causing widespread anger and a situation similar to the Great Depression.
    • America was built on small regional banks where farmers would go to their local bank manager, but the current economic situation is concerning and could be worse than the Great Depression.
    • The current economic situation is going to be worse than the Great Depression, with the potential for mass bankruptcies and only a few super banks left to absorb the debt, which is ultimately the result of a fiat currency system without checks and balances.
  • 24:24 The upcoming economic crisis could be worse than the Great Depression due to challenges faced by urban dwellers, the blame on the Federal Reserve, negative impact of government policies, high national debt, decline in standard of living, partial closure of the American economy during the pandemic, high inflation, increased deficits, astounding government deficit and increasing debt, devaluation of currency, and shift towards gold-backed digital currencies by other countries.
    • The speaker discusses how the upcoming economic crisis could be worse than the Great Depression, highlighting the challenges faced by urban dwellers who lack the means to grow their own food and the importance of making preparations to help each other out during tough times.
    • The speaker blames the Federal Reserve for the potential worsening of the economy, as a retraction in the money supply caused the Great Depression and the current restriction of money supply is causing banks to fail and people to struggle with loan repayments.
    • The speaker discusses the negative impact of government policies, high national debt, and the decline in standard of living, suggesting that the current economic situation will be worse than the Great Depression.
    • The partial closure of the American economy during the pandemic prevented hyperinflation in 2020, but high inflation and increased deficits have posed challenges in the recovery.
    • The United States government’s astounding deficit and increasing debt, combined with the devaluation of the currency and the shift towards gold-backed digital currencies by other countries, suggests that the upcoming economic crisis will be worse than the Great Depression.
  • 29:32 Central banks are buying gold and competing against US treasuries, while the availability of gold reserves at Fort Knox and the New York Fed is questioned, and it is predicted that gold and silver will increase in value once the US dollar is no longer the world reserve currency.
    • Central banks are buying gold and it is suggested that others should consider doing the same, as they are the most powerful financial entities in the world and likely have more gold than the US treasury.
    • The US downgrade of its debt and the selling of gold by central banks to intervene in the foreign exchange crisis suggests that gold is increasingly competing against US treasuries as an asset class, which is seen as absolute craziness and reminiscent of past interventions in the market.
    • The speaker questions the existence and availability of the gold reserves at Fort Knox and the New York Fed, suggesting that China may have hoarded at least 20,000 tons of gold.
    • Russia used the ruble to trade oil for gold, causing their gold reserves to increase, and now many countries and central banks are buying gold as currencies decrease in value, while the American market, particularly the commodities exchange, is highly manipulated.
    • Once the US dollar is no longer the world reserve currency, it is predicted that gold and silver will increase in value due to their historical use, industrial demand, and decreasing mine reserves, which will drive up the value of precious metals.
    • Russia is accumulating physical gold by paying a better price than London, while the Fed is causing the selling of gold, but since Basel III turned gold into a thirsty asset, the Fed is now competing against central banks and sovereigns by ditching treasuries for physical gold, making them the only central bank globally selling paper gold into this situation.
  • 39:51 Gold and silver prices are being manipulated by big banks like JP Morgan, causing small people to go bankrupt, and this will lead to a financial collapse worse than the Great Depression, as the markets are likely to crash before they can be controlled again.
    • Commodities markets were originally created for legitimate hedging and speculation, but now they primarily consist of paper trading rather than physical delivery.
    • Gold and silver prices are being manipulated by derivative trades and financialization, with little connection to actual commodities.
    • The speaker discusses how analyzing options data can reveal price targets and the manipulation of prices by bullion banks using futures prices to benefit from options trading.
    • Companies like JP Morgan manipulate markets for their own profit, causing small people in the system to go bankrupt, and this will eventually lead to a financial collapse worse than the Great Depression.
    • The financial system is a zero-sum game where big banks take money from everyone else, and it’s concerning that they can operate as criminal enterprises without consequences.
    • The speaker believes that the bullion banks shield us from knowing who is manipulating the markets, and due to the vested interests of various countries, the markets are likely to crash before they can be controlled again, as we are beyond the point of recovery according to Harvard researchers.
  • 45:06 The US pension funds are declining and will likely be worthless in the future, unions are bankrupting companies, and the speaker predicts a painful future for the US due to economic mistakes, corruption, and the erosion of cultural and political unity, emphasizing the importance of accumulating gold and silver.
    • The value of pension funds in the US is declining and will likely be close to zero in the future due to the removal of valuable assets and the addition of worthless paper, and the overall state of the US industry is also concerning.
    • Unions and union bosses are taking advantage of the current economic situation, bankrupting companies like Yellow and potentially UPS, while ensuring they get their money before the crash, leaving thousands of employees without jobs.
    • The speaker discusses the current state of the US, highlighting the negative effects of bankers’ mistakes on the economy, the erosion of cultural and political unity, and the decline of the Constitution, ultimately predicting a painful future for the country.
    • The speaker discusses the corruption of money, politics, and culture, and how this pattern has led to the downfall of major civilizations throughout history, including America, and emphasizes the importance of accumulating gold and silver as a solution to the current economic crisis.
    • The speaker emphasizes the importance of using the current economic situation to acquire undervalued bullion and expresses gratitude for the content and research provided by the host.
    • Spread the word about the channel, understand the difference between physical and paper gold and silver markets, and subscribe to be notified of future episodes.

Tom Luongo- Gold Will Return to the Monetary System, But Not Without a Fight
Commodity Culture

Quick Summary Bullets:

Geopolitical Implications and Monetary System Shifts

  • If Christine Lagarde doesn’t follow Powell’s lead, Europe could face a massive capital outflow, putting the Euro and credit spreads at risk.
  • Gold will return to the monetary system, but not without a fight.
  • Inflation is inevitable and will continue to rise, as evidenced by the fluctuating prices in the commodity space.
  • The current monetary system is like a game of Texas Hold’em, with central banks holding aces and manipulating the deck, while others blindly pile into the pot, unaware of the rigged game.
  • The offshore euro dollar market has been leveraged to undermine the United States from within and its monetary policy.
  • The division between Yellen and Powell represents a clash between the old Davos money and Wall Street, highlighting different interests at play in the monetary system.
  • “We have 80,133.5 tons of gold that we can throw out on the yield curve and refinance the entire United States, making gold worth $6,000.”
  • The US dollar may no longer need to be the world’s reserve currency, opening up the possibility for gold to return to the monetary system.
  • “The Russians, Chinese, Africa, South America, and the Middle East are tired of the dollar hegemony.”
  • The transition to gold returning to the monetary system may require a series of catastrophic events and resistance from certain factions.
  • “The most manipulated Market on the planet right now is oil…if you can keep the gold price under control, then you can hide the monetary inflation and all the rest of it.”
  • The process of returning gold to the monetary system will take time and multiple iterations, but it is inevitable and cannot be avoided.

Career Paths and Unconventional Transitions

  • Tom Luongo’s transition from being a research chemist to a financial commentator highlights the unconventional paths that individuals can take in their careers based on their interests and experiences.

Transcript Summary:

  • 00:00 Tom Luongo, a financial commentator and advocate for gold, discovered the value of gold after losing money in the markets and turned to writing and independent work after facing employment difficulties.
    • Investor Tom Luongo discovered gold as a result of losing money in the markets during the dot-com bubble and subsequently delved into research and learning from the Mises Institute, leading him to become a financial commentator and advocate for gold.
    • After facing difficulties in finding employment, the speaker turned to writing and eventually found a job with Newsmax, but also continued to work independently.
  • 02:11 The ECB is at risk due to its inability to print money like the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan, and inflation is inevitable and rising, causing concerns about Europe’s energy dependence and the stability of the EU.
    • The ECB is in a dangerous position as it cannot print money like the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, which puts them at risk if they don’t follow Powell’s lead in raising rates and addressing inflation.
    • Commodity inflation is returning, with oil prices rising and the Biden Administration refusing to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, causing concerns about Europe’s energy dependence and the stability of the EU.
    • Inflation is inevitable and will continue to rise due to the fluctuation in commodity prices, particularly in the United States.
    • Lagarde is preventing European bond yields from rising, manipulating headlines and job reports to keep them low, but they need to rise and this manipulation is causing fluctuations in the market.
    • The sudden decrease in the U.S. 30-year bond yield is likely due to market manipulation by the ECB and the Treasury Department, with Jerome Powell working for Wall Street and Janet Yellen working for Davos.
  • 07:19 Gold will return to the monetary system as the European Union’s manipulation of the offshore euro dollar market becomes unsustainable, leading to a problem for socialism and the need to protect Wall Street.
    • Legard is trapped in multiple Chinese finger traps and there is no way out, especially with Japan ending yield curve control, which will disrupt the ability to use the Japanese bond market as a source of capital to buy US treasuries.
    • The speaker describes a game of Texas Hold’em where the Federal Reserve (FED) consistently holds strong cards but is not believed, while other central banks like the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) manipulate the game in their favor, leading to the current situation where the ECB is caught.
    • The European Union’s idea of using the offshore euro dollar market to undermine the United States’ monetary policy is no longer sustainable, as the Federal Reserve is no longer compliant and is raising rates, leading to a return of gold to the monetary system.
    • The European bond market is being supported by money that will eventually run out, causing a problem for socialism as they will have to keep raiding the piggy bank until it’s empty.
    • Powell understands the need to protect Wall Street and is successfully handling the situation, while Janet Allen continues to resist and throw tantrums.
  • 12:59 The hope to gain political and monetary control through Biden’s presidency failed, Powell may have his own agenda, influential figures in banking may not support extreme ideas, and the implementation of SOFR has caused financial instability.
    • The hope was to extend and pretend the current system, gain political control through Biden’s presidency, and then use that control to gain monetary control over the United States, but it ultimately failed.
    • Powell is not necessarily against the globalists, but rather he may have his own agenda and is not backing certain individuals who want to be globalists.
    • Luongo doubts that influential figures in the banking industry would support the idea of implementing AI, controlling people’s lives, and living in pods, and believes that they did not have a choice to go along with such ideas before Trump.
    • He discusses how the implementation of SOFR and the end of Libor has caused the financial system to become unstable, with Powell working for Wall Street’s benefit.
  • 16:52 Gold will return to the monetary system, but there will be resistance, and it is not worth investing in Bitcoin or gold because the bear market could be 200 years away.
    • Gold and Bitcoin will not solve the current economic issues, as there are powerful individuals who will not relinquish their power, but the math does work if the argument is reframed.
    • The US can use its gold reserves to refinance its debt and reduce unfunded liabilities, leading to a stronger economy in the future.
    • The Federal Reserve may actually want a higher gold price in order to attract capital and maintain the dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency.
    • Gold will return to the monetary system, but there will be resistance and it is not worth investing in Bitcoin or gold because the bear market could be 200 years away.
    • The speaker emphasizes the importance of perseverance and fighting for what is right, using a personal anecdote to illustrate the point.
  • 22:54 Gold could disrupt the US dollar’s reserve currency status, but the dedolarization process is slow, and sanctions against countries like Russia and China may push them to create a gold-backed trade settlement currency.
    • The potential release of a brics currency partially backed by gold could disrupt the US dollar’s reserve currency status, but some believe the US dollar is more resilient than given credit for.
    • The infrastructure for gold to return to the monetary system must be established and the convenience premium of the US dollar must be negative for a critical mass of people, which is not currently the case, and every time sanctions are extended and the dollar becomes more expensive for certain countries, it ultimately benefits Davos and the Euro by lowering dollar demand.
    • The dedolarization process is not happening as quickly as some believe, and the speaker argues that Pepe Escobar, while passionate, lacks expertise in understanding the capital markets and is an unwitting tool for those who want to see the downfall of the Empire of chaos.
    • Luongo discusses the influence of the European Union and the British pound on the dollarization system, highlighting the control of media and intelligence services by Europeans and the desire of various regions, including Russia, China, Africa, South America, and the Middle East, to challenge the dominance of the US dollar.
    • Sanctions against countries like Russia and China are counterproductive for the United States, as it pushes them to create a trade settlement currency based on gold, which could eventually replace the US dollar.
    • Gold will be reintroduced into the monetary system through an accounting system where trade balances will be settled in digital gold credits and debits, with the World Gold Council tracking the movement of gold.
  • 29:53 Gold will eventually return to the monetary system, but it will face resistance and may require catastrophic events, while oil becomes the most manipulated market and rising prices pose challenges for managing credit spreads and inflation.
    • Gold will return to the monetary system, but it will take a long time to implement unless there is a catastrophic event, and the transition may require a series of catastrophic events where certain factions refuse to submit.
    • Oil is now the most manipulated market, replacing gold, and its rising prices pose a problem for managing credit spreads and inflation, as it is a commodity cost push environment that cannot be fixed with interest rates.
    • The supply side problem with a demand side tool will not be solved by raising interest rates, as there is an incipient inflation caused by the cost push inflationary problem due to COVID, resulting in waves of inflation that will come and go.
    • Luongo explains that the return of gold to the monetary system will face resistance, but it is inevitable due to the interconnectedness of various commodities and the absence of new energy technologies.
    • Oil will continue to be the primary energy source for the next 50 years until alternative nuclear technology, such as the thorium-232 uranium-233 cycle, becomes more developed and funded, potentially eliminating the concept of peak oil.
    • Commodity costs will continue to rise, with oil reaching over $100 a barrel, leading to a bull market and potential supply breakdowns, while complex systems are being built in the third world, and the demand for oil in the United States declining is insignificant compared to the growing middle class in Asia, Africa, and South America.
  • 38:10 Luongo discusses the importance of being forward-looking in their newsletter and encourages viewers to subscribe for more content on commodities and natural resources.
    • The gold goats and Guns website offers a Patreon service with a blog, podcast, private blog posts, and a monthly newsletter for retail investors, providing investment advice and forward-looking insights.
    • Luongo discusses the importance of being forward-looking in their newsletter and encourages viewers to subscribe for more content on commodities and natural resources.

Neil Oliver: ‘Are you afraid?’
Neil Oliver

Oliver discusses how media and official sources of information are filled with propaganda and misinformation, leading to confusion and speculation among the public.

Quick Summary Bullets:

Key insights

  • The ongoing shock of realizing that we’ve been fed a distorted version of events is similar to the shock of realizing that the mass-produced food we consume is bad for us.
  • Those in authority dismiss and belittle our questions, implying that we are too stupid to understand, further eroding trust in the information they provide.
  • The official sources of information tend to focus on the narrative of a world catching fire due to climate change, while disregarding the simple fact that weather can vary and summers can be good or bad.
  • The official sources of information and mainstream media often provide sensationalized narratives, while alternative sources may reveal a different perspective.
  • The fires in Maui’s historic town of Lahaina have raised speculation about the motives behind them and the potential connection to desired real estate.
  • Imran Khan’s imprisonment and barring from seeking office raises questions about the lack of speculation and coverage surrounding the situation, suggesting potential political motivations behind his downfall.
  • “Are we your slaves? What do you think of us that we are your slaves and that we will do whatever you ask of us.”
  • The fear stories about the climate crisis and a world on fire demand further investigation and questioning.

Transcript Summary:

  • 00:00 We have been consuming a version of events without questioning it, just like how we were unaware of the harmful nature of the mass-produced food we consume.
  • 01:36 The news and official sources of information are filled with harmful propaganda and nonsense, leaving us confused about why inflation is supposedly coming down but prices remain high and why those in authority dismiss our questions as if we’re too stupid to understand.
  • 03:07 The speaker dismisses the idea that recent bad summer weather in Britain is a result of climate change, stating that it is simply the unpredictable nature of weather.
    • Mainstream media hyped up predictions of terrifying temperatures, but they often missed the mark, as evidenced by the mild summer in Britain.
    • The speaker dismisses the idea that the recent bad summer weather in Britain is a result of climate change, stating that it is simply the unpredictable nature of weather.
  • 04:54 Arsonists may have deliberately started wildfires in Crete, but the media fails to report on this possibility, leaving people to speculate about hidden agendas and panic about climate change.
    • Temperatures in Crete were expected to reach the high 40s, causing wildfires, but the reality was much milder, and there are reports of arsonists being arrested for starting fires.
    • The speaker suggests that the wildfires may have been deliberately set, but the media fails to report on this possibility, leaving people to speculate and think the worst about whether the arsonists acted alone or if there was a hidden agenda to stoke panic about climate change.
  • 07:20 There are suspicions that fires in Lahaina, Hawaii were intentionally set to acquire valuable land, while important geopolitical events are being overlooked by the media.
    • The speaker raises questions about whether fires were intentionally set to stoke fear and discusses the speculation surrounding the recent fires in Lahaina, Hawaii, which destroyed prime real estate and suggests that there may be a connection between the desire to acquire the land and the devastation caused by the fires.
    • Geopolitically significant events are unfolding, but they are not receiving much attention in the media.
  • 09:12 Europe is questioned for being submissive to other countries and not aligned with any specific alliance, while Imran Khan faces imprisonment and erasure from Pakistan’s cricket history, and a military Junta takes over the government in Niger.
    • Imran Khan, former prime minister of Pakistan, has been jailed and barred from seeking office due to alleged wrongdoing, possibly because he did not take a strong stance against Russia in the war in Ukraine.
    • The speaker questions whether Europe is seen as a submissive servant to other countries and emphasizes that Europe is not aligned with any specific alliance.
    • Imran Khan, a former cricket captain of Pakistan, has been erased from the country’s cricket history, raising questions about why no one is speaking up in his defense, while a military Junta has taken over the government in Niger.
  • 13:01 France and the West support the unconstitutional takeover of the government in Niger due to their economic interests, while factions within the West African economic community also back the junta.
    • The unconstitutional takeover of the government in Niger is supported by the population and favored by France and the West, according to a freelance journalist and analyst.
    • France wants the return of a government in Niger that will provide access to uranium, which is crucial for its nuclear power stations and the French economy, while there are factions within the West African economic community that support the junta in Niger.
  • 15:31 Victoria Newland’s involvement in political machinations and regime change in Ukraine and Niger suggests a pattern of her influence leading to war and regime change wherever she goes.

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