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Top Three Videos – August 23, 2024

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Matthew Piepenburg: Bigger Banking Crisis Than '08 When Amid Dollar Crisis (Aug 16, 2024)

Liberty and Finance...

Summary

 

The current financial system is facing a severe currency crisis driven by unsustainable debt, rising interest rates, and a devalued dollar, which disproportionately impacts the middle class and could lead to significant economic turmoil.

 

Impacts of Currency and Debt on Society

 
  • “The endgame here is going to be debasing the currency through expanding the broad money supply to put that oil in the engine that the world relies on.”
  • The middle class is getting crushed by a perfect storm of higher costs of debt, a devalued dollar, and rising interest rates.
  • “The dollar is unsustainable and this debt is unsustainable, and the only way out of it is to debase it as every country throughout history has done.”
  • “The average American’s credit card interest rate is 22 or 23% — that’s not devious, that’s immoral.”
  • “For the middle class or the working poor, that’s devastating; it means they’re out of the game.”
  • “The problem today isn’t a market crisis; it’s a currency crisis because it’s a debt crisis.”
  • “What gold does that the dollar cannot do is hold its value over time.”
     

Critique of Financial System and Institutions

 
  • The entire financial system is a “house of cards of derivatives” that can magnify even small market perturbations into huge repercussions.
  • “If the dollar gets too expensive, we’re talking about a bigger banking crisis in my mind than 2008.”
  • “The official CPI number is just dishonest; it’s whatever the FED says, and it’s never right.”
  • “We’re misreporting inflation and we’re saying we’re fighting inflation… we’ve lost the war on inflation.”
  • “You can’t fix the real underlying problem and we’re still going to see a bitter end to this system that’s well past its Natural Life.”
  • “We are just one crisis away from full-on Q to the Moon,” highlighting the precarious state of American banks amid unrealized losses.
     

Global Economic Shifts and Trends

 
  • “China and Russia are net settling in gold, not Bitcoin, signaling a strategic move away from the dollar in international trade.”
  • “Ray Dalio calls a 50% Civil War risk, highlighting the immense distrust and resentment in America.”
  • “What we’re facing is empirically undeniable, with central banks in the East repatriating their gold and recognizing its new Reserve status.”

Chris Vermeulen: ‘Dead Cat Bounce’; Stocks To ‘Slow Bleed’ But Bonds Could ‘Rocket Higher’ (Aug 20, 2024)

David Lin...

Summary

 

The current market rebound may be temporary, suggesting a shift towards bonds and cash for stability and potential gains, while cautioning against buying dips in a bearish environment.

 

Market Trends and Predictions in Stocks

 
  • Chris Mullen questions whether the recent market rebound is a genuine recovery or merely a “dead cat bounce.”
  • The stock market is currently at a major resistance area, indicating significant consolidation and potential volatility ahead.
  • Understanding traders and money flow is crucial: “You can just gauge okay. We should probably see a very strong bounce here because it’s a massive gap down at support.”
  • “I think we’re going to see the stock market start to sell off; it’s going to be a slow bleed.”
  • “If the stock market starts to go down, we could actually maybe move to bonds and actually continue to grow our money.”
  • “As stocks collapse, bonds could actually rocket higher and the FED start to cut rates.”
  • “The trend follows the money; the money knows more than the talking heads on TV.”
     

Investment Strategies and Asset Allocation

 
  • “You have to have a strategy and follow rules because if you don’t, you’re going to get left behind in this market.”
  • “If you’re an active trader technically right now, you should be in cash.”
  • “Cash is one of the safest plays and one of the best positions when everything is falling apart.”
  • “It’s a very comfortable alternate asset to move into, as you’re not going to wake up down 10% or 5% or 3%.”
  • “Gold is the best one… if you just want a low volatility high probability trade, something that will make you money and not make you sweat bullets.”

Andy Schectman: 'Harris Price Controls Would Send Inflation Soaring' (Aug 20, 2024)

Arcadia Economics...

Summary

 
 

Price controls have historically led to negative economic consequences, including shortages and inflation, and that the solution lies in addressing excessive government spending rather than imposing artificial price limits.

 

Historical Consequences of Price Controls

 
  • Price controls led to disastrous results in the past, including farmers killing over 1 million baby chicks due to unsustainable prices.
  • “Wage and price controls have consistently failed for 2,000 years, resulting in the same disastrous inflationary outcomes.”
  • “Price controls led to food predictability to disastrous results under Nixon’s price controls.”
  • “Nixon’s price control gambit ended in utter failure and led to the emergence of suppressed inflation.”
  • “You vote for Kamala Harris and her new economic agenda and you’ll be voting for bread lines.”
  • “An artificially low price will create a shortage,” highlighting the unintended consequences of price controls during Nixon’s era.
     

Economic Principles and Inflation Dynamics

 
  • “Inflation is a monetary event, and blaming it on price gouging shows a lack of understanding of the real causes.”
  • “We’re creating $100,000 of debt per second, and that’s the real problem — we’re like a junkie addicted to spending.”
  • “Capping prices in an environment with expensive inputs eviscerates the whole free market and the ability to bring goods and services to the market at a fair price.”
  • “Price controls are not the answer; the answer is to stop spending and make the hard decisions.”

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