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Top Three Videos – December 22, 2023

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This is a MUST-Read...

George Gammon: Holy Sh*t! The Next Banking Crisis May Have Just Started (Dec.21, 2023)

Rebel Capitalist...

Summary

 

The banking system is facing increasing risk and potential crisis due to the spike in the BTFP chart and the 10-year treasury yield, which may lead to the FED becoming the only source of liquidity for banks.

 

  • The next wave of the banking crisis is imminent.
  • The banking crisis of 2023 went completely under the radar, unnoticed by mainstream media and financial news.
  • We are headed straight for a GFC 2.0, and Jerome with his Superman cape come flying into the rescue, setting up a clever BTFP to solve the problem.
  • The recent move in the 10-year Treasury market signals a hard landing that we should expect in 2024.
  • I would argue there’s far more systemic risk today in the banking system in the global monetary system than there was in 2008 and 2007.
  • The paradox of treasuries increasing in value, despite being the initial cause of the banking crisis, raises questions about the stability of the financial system.
  • The warning signs from the chart and the price action of the 10-year treasury indicate that the next banking crisis may be right at the front door.

Year-End Foreign Policy Predictions (Dec. 20, 2023)...

War, Economy, and State Podcast...

Summary

 

The use of low yield tactical nuclear weapons by Russia in response to threats to Crimea, the aggressive recruitment campaign and military-industrial base ramping up, and the potential consequences of Israel’s actions in Gaza are all concerning and have significant implications for global politics and security.

 

Russian Military and Geopolitical Strategy

 
  • The possibility of Russia using low yield tactical nuclear weapons in response to any threat to Crimea is a very real and concerning possibility.
  • Russia’s aggressive recruitment campaign and ramping up of their military-industrial base could change the dynamics in the region.
  • Russia’s attempt to claim the whole Black Sea Coast, especially Odessa, is a strategic and controversial move.
  • NATO expansion and integration of Ukraine and Georgia are provoking Russia and causing problems, with the belief that the West will come to their rescue being too optimistic.
  • “This is like an IQ test for a foreign leader. At this point you. The US says oh we’ll back you indefinitely we’ll help you defeat these guys. No they won’t.”
     

Israel-Palestine Conflict and Global Perception

 
  • The war against Gaza is nothing other than ethnic cleansing, with close to 20,000 dead in Gaza and only 1300 in Israel.
  • Israel’s long-term strategy may involve taking action now, as support for Israel in America is declining, especially among younger generations.
  • Ethnic cleansing is a common and incentivized practice in global politics, as highlighted by the history of the last century.
  • The potential long-term consequences of Israel’s actions in Gaza could lead to further alienation of Palestinians and the Arab world, potentially creating future terrorists.
  • Equating all Jews with the state of Israel is a dangerous and unfair assumption that leads to harmful stereotypes and misunderstandings.
  •  

John Rubino: Debt Death Spiral Ignites Opportunity In The Miners (Dec.20, 2023)...

Pallisades Gold Radio...

Summary

 
 

Amidst potential economic chaos and market imbalances, there are significant investment opportunities in Junior Gold Miners and undervalued mining stocks, with potential for significant profit in the next few years.

 

Investment Opportunities in Mining

 
  • John Rubino, former Wall Street financial analyst, sees opportunity in the miners amidst the debt death spiral.
  • The FED is politically predisposed to start panic cutting interest rates, similar to what happened in 2000 and 2008.
  • Realistically, gold would be $5,000 an ounce in a completely free market, based on the amount of fiat currency being pumped into the banking system.
  • Gold at $2,000 means wider margins for miners, leading to the possibility of legit free cash flow and making miners more attractive.
  • The Feeding Frenzy in the mining industry can lead to major buyouts and huge rewards for investors in junior miners.
  • Great Bear resources saw a 100x increase in price in just three years, making it a rare but lucrative opportunity for investors.
  • The initial undervaluation of miners presents a great opportunity for investors to capitalize on the potential buyouts and price increases.
  • A lot of the pieces are falling into place from a macro standpoint that might give us a year like that where there’s 10 Baggers everywhere.
  • “Crises create opportunities and some of those opportunities are life-changing.”
     

Economic Outlook and Risk Factors

 
  • The economy is at risk of falling apart if interest rates continue to rise, leading to recession and bankrupting larger sections of the economy.
  • “Second half of 2024 could be worse than 2008 and 2008 was like a near-death experience for the financial markets.”
  • The consensus is frequently way too optimistic, so it’s possible that the fourth quarter will be when the recession actually starts in retrospect.
  • Artificially low interest rates have kept things too easy for too long, leading to the need for urgent education about economic concepts like price controls.
     

Impact of Monetary Policy on Markets

 
  • The FED sees that it better get back to zero to negative interest rates as soon as possible or else we’ve got something that’s going to metastasize into an economy that’s worse than the Great Recession.
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