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Top Three Videos – December 28, 2024

Doug Casey: Argentina is Booming: Why The U.S. May Be Next (December 27, 2024)

Doug Casey's Take...

Summary

 

The U.S. is poised for a transformative economic shift driven by technological advancements and resource utilization strategies, drawing inspiration from Argentina’s recent reforms and highlighting the need for regulatory improvements.

 

Economic Deregulation and Growth

 

Deregulation can drive real economic growth by removing regulatory hurdles, as evidenced by the US creating numerous $10+ billion companies over 50 years compared to the heavily regulated EU.

 

The US experiences a boom-bust cycle in regulations, with periods of deregulation leading to economic growth, followed by over-regulation causing stagnation.

 

Technological Advancements and Economic Impact

 

Data centers, consuming 20% of US electricity by 2030, are the backbone of the new economy, driving productivity gains and industrial revolution-level changes through AI and quantum computing.

 

Robotics and automation may make paid labor uneconomic, potentially leading to a super disruption in the workforce as machines become capable of thinking and working.

 

Government Spending and Regulation

 

Abolishing Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security could help balance the US budget by eliminating unfunded liabilities, allowing focus on critical areas like defense spending.

 

Elon Musk’s success with companies like SpaceX and Starlink, despite complex regulations, demonstrates the potential for navigating the US regulatory system with the right approach and connections.

Peter St.Onge: Javier Milei is Doubling Down (December 26, 2024)

Peter St. Onge...

Summary

 

Javier Milei’s radical economic reforms in Argentina, characterized by significant government spending cuts, tax reductions, and deregulation, have led to notable economic growth and a decrease in inflation, despite facing criticism from some media outlets.

 

Economic Impact

Milei’s reforms in Argentina led to an 85% increase in bonds125% increase in stocks, and inflation decreasing from 133% per month to 2.4%, despite initial 3.1% economic contraction.

 

The private sector grew enough to cover 50% of the GDP hit from government cuts, with JP Morgan forecasting 8.5% growth a year later.

 

Policy Reforms

 

Milei implemented a 90% tax reduction (from 41 to 4 federal taxes), introduced a dollar standard, and conducted a ruthless audit of regulations to free up the economy.

 

He eliminated unnecessary agencies, public companies, and state institutions, while also cracking down on crime inspired by El Salvador’s Nayib Bukele.

 

Public Perception

 

Despite initial economic contraction, Milei became one of the world’s most popular leaders, with people trusting their improved financial situations over hostile media coverage.

Steve Hanke: 'Everything Has Me Concerned' - Trump, Putin, China and GOLD (December 24, 2024)

VRIC Media..

Summary

 

Steve Hanke critiques Trump’s economic policies and discusses the implications of inflation, geopolitical tensions, and market dynamics, emphasizing the potential for a gold bull market and the need for free market reforms.

 

Geopolitics and Global Economy

 

The US-China trade war pits the world’s two largest economies against each other, causing global instability and potentially reshaping economic alliances.

 

China’s strategic policies on rare earth and critical materials could disrupt supply chains, leading to price spikes and geopolitical tensions, with the US lagging in understanding China’s dominance in these fields.

 

Economic Insights

 

The US stock market is in a bubble, with 70% of global market capitalization compared to 30% in 1980, suggesting potential benefits in a contrarian approach to investing in emerging economies.

 

Waiting (deferred consumption) is a crucial factor of production that generates loanable funds for banks, increasing the money supply and playing a key role in capital and interest theory.

 

Policy and Inflation

 

Abolishing daylight saving time could address enormous health problemsconfusion, and disruption caused by switching clocks.

 

Inflation is primarily caused by increases in the money supply over 12-36 months, rather than government spending, contradicting claims by figures like Elon Musk.

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