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so You'll Thrive and Profit, In Spite of It... "

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Top Three Videos – February 14, 2025

Bob Moriarty: US Economy 'Breaking Into 1,000 Pieces' as BRICS Smells Blood (February 12, 2025)

Commodity Culture...

Summary

 

The rise of BRICS nations and their accumulation of gold, coupled with U.S. political and economic instability, signals a potential shift in global power dynamics and investment strategies.

 

Economic Threats and Global Shifts

 

The US economy faces an insurmountable debt crisis, potentially leading to a global financial meltdown as BRICS nations capitalize on the situation.

 

Gold and silver are viewed as the only viable solution to the current economic predicament, offering an honest monetary system and being significantly undervalued.

 

A resource-based system led by BRICS nations, particularly China, is expected to outcompete the West’s debt-based system, potentially causing a global economic shift.

 

Market Insights

 

The world’s financial system is dangerously overvalued and concentrated in seven tech stocks, making it highly vulnerable to collapse.

 

The oil and gas sector is undervalued and underinvested despite increasing demand, due to ESG concerns and narratives about a new green economy.

 

The resource market is currently at its cheapest relative value in history, presenting a prime opportunity for investment in resource stocks.

 

Geopolitical Tensions

 

BRICS nations are increasingly frustrated with US attempts to dominate them, potentially leading to negative reactions and global conflict.

 

US tariff threats against Mexico, Canada, and Panama are likely political posturing but could still have serious economic consequences.

 

Domestic Issues

 

The US military procurement program is described as fatally flawed and excessively costly, with the F35 fighter cited as the worst aircraft ever designed.

 

US politicians are ignoring critical debt and deficit issues, focusing instead on short-term gains and populist policies, potentially exacerbating the looming financial crisis.

Peter St. Onge: $516 Billion spent on expired programs (February 13, 2025)

Peter St. Onge...

Summary

 

$516 billion in federal spending is wasted annually on outdated programs with expired legal authority, indicating a major failure in budget management and accountability by Congress.

 

Government Spending and Accountability

 

$516 billion of annual federal spending goes to expired programs, roughly 7 times the income tax paid by the bottom half of Americans, according to a nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office study.

 

2,500 expired appropriations continue getting funded like “zombies” by Congress, despite their legal authority having expired in some cases 40 years ago.

 

Potential for Budget Cuts

 

If Trump refuses to spend money on expired programs, he could potentially save hundreds of billions of dollars in waste and fraud, as legally any program without authorization lacks legislative intent.

 

If Democrats block a budget, an additional $900 billion of spending authorization, including the entire military budget, would also expire, leaving almost the entire discretionary budget without legislative intent.

 

Public Opinion

 

3/4 of Americans polled say they would be okay with historic cuts to the federal government if Trump and Elon successfully lawyer this right.

Matt Smith: Trump's Economic Reset Explained: Gold, Tariffs, Dollar Devaluation, Sovereign Wealth Fund, and more... (February 12, 2025)

Doug Casey's Take...

Summary

 
 

Trump’s economic reset seeks to reshape the U.S. economy through gold accumulation, dollar devaluation, and protectionist policies, while addressing fiscal challenges and promoting personal financial responsibility amidst a changing global landscape.

 

Economic Reset and Gold Strategy

 

The US Treasury or Fed acquired 30 million ounces of gold in 2023, representing 10% of US reserves, for physical possession amid rising COMEX margin requirements, suggesting a potential gold audit and reshoring.

 

Trump’s economic plan includes devaluing the dollar to boost US exports, countering currency manipulation by countries like China, which achieved an economic miracle through 30 years of policies including a two-tiered currency system.

 

The proposed economic reset, comparable to the 1971 gold standard abandonment and 1985 Plaza Accord, aims to reshape the global monetary and trade order using tariffs as leverage for currency value renegotiations.

 

Global Economic Strategies

 

China’s economic policies, including repatriation of profits and investment in US productive capacity, may serve as a model for future US economic strategies under Trump’s administration.

 

A potential US sovereign wealth fund could actively develop US resources and engage in foreign exchange markets, selling dollars and buying currencies like the Japanese yen to enhance US export competitiveness.

 

The plan involves reshoring US gold inventory for audit and establishing a sovereign wealth fund, with tariffs used as a threat to shape the economic environment.

 

Financial Implications and Predictions

 

Gold prices could potentially reach $21,000 per ounce if priced according to the current money supply, making gold ownership crucial for wealth preservation during dollar devaluation.

 

Capital controls in the US may be implemented to weaken the dollar and support industrial policy, potentially leading to trade wars and economic adjustment periods.

 

The Triffin Dilemma of the US dollar as a global reserve currency has transformed the US into a consumer economy with an unnaturally high dollar, which Trump plans to address through economic reset.

 

Technological and Social Implications

 

AI-driven productivity gains promise massive increases and new industries but require capital reinvestment in America to prevent benefits from being stripped away, as observed in China.

 

Digital currency is seen as inevitable, with privacy concerns as payments increasingly go through devices like phones and hand sensors.

 

Political and Economic Power Dynamics

 

A civil war at the top of US government, with factions like the PayPal Mafia supporting the MAGA movement, could lead to radical changes in the economic system.

 

The Mara Lago Accord, establishing new trade relationships, is expected within the first two years of Trump’s presidency, potentially outlasting his term if a sovereign wealth fund is established.

 

Education and Personal Development

 

The book “The Preparation” by Doug Casey and Matt Smith aims to provide young men with practical, real-world experiences as an alternative to traditional university education.

 

Trump’s economic reset may lead to a two-tiered dollar system and potential inflation, but public appetite for change might support it despite possible loss of purchasing power.

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