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Top Three Videos – July 17, 2024

► Searching for the Best Gold IRA Company?
This is a MUST-Read...

Dave Skarica: Market Cap to GDP Nears All Time Highs, Stock Future Position As Well (July 16, 2024)

StockChartoftheDay...

Summary

 

Warren Buffett’s favorite indicators, the buffet indicator and price-to-sales ratio, are showing that the stock market is currently overvalued and it’s time to be defensive.

 

  • Warren Buffett’s favorite indicators are the buffet indicator and price-to-sales ratio, as they provide a more accurate picture of a company’s financial health.
  • Nearing 200% of GDP is significant because it’s the all-time high, last seen in 2021 when the FED printed trillions of dollars and rates were zero.
  • The stock market is currently pricing in perfection, which is always dangerous.
  • With quantitative easing and financialization of the economy, the stock market has reached levels not seen since 1929.
  • Market Cap to GDP is nearing all-time highs, raising concerns about stock market valuation.
  • “At these nose bleed levels. It looks to me like we’re going to see some kind of top here and I know the breath is widening on the market.”
  • Buying at the bottom of the market in 2009 would have resulted in a 20-year predicted return of 177% a year, showing the effectiveness of long-term indicators.
  • The mass overvaluation has only been seen once in history, and it’s time to be defensive in the stock market. 

Peter St. Onge: Japan’s Dollar Fire Sale (July 16, 2024)...

Peter St.Onge...

Summary

 

Japan’s government pension investment fund is planning to sell off its $800 billion stack of dollar assets and redirect the money to domestic bonds and equities, potentially causing a crash in treasury markets and sparking a potential economic crisis.

 

  • Japan’s government pension investment fund is set to sell down its $800 billion stack of dollar assets and direct the money to domestic bonds and equities, potentially causing a crash in treasury markets.
  • Japan’s postbank could face even bigger dollar sell-offs due to its risky portfolio, potentially causing a financial crisis.
  • The ongoing dollar fire sales in Japan indicate a potential economic crisis.
  • Japan’s debt ratio of 264 is the highest of any major country, equivalent to about 70 trillion in US terms.
  • Tokyo’s approach to government spending and small business taxes is interesting and could spark debate on economic strategies.
  • If Japan becomes a mass seller of US debt, it could lead to a crash in prices and soaring interest rates, potentially causing a recession.
 

John Rubino: What If A Coming Recession & Bear Market Are The LEAST Of Our Worries? (July 16, 2024)

Thoughtful Money...

Summary

 

 
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