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Top Three Videos – June 10 2023

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John Rubino Identifies “the Canary in the Coal Mine”

Key Insights

Predictions of Financial Crisis

  • John Rubino believes that the global financial system is a mess due to excessive borrowing, and things will only get worse and more chaotic for the rest of the decade.
  • John Rubino predicts a crisis is imminent due to years of monetary tightening and debt rollover, and the only question is the timing.
  • The FED can’t let major governments default or let the banking system collapse because it would cause a domino effect that would lead to a global financial collapse.
  • The overvaluation of real estate on bank books in cities like San Francisco, New York, and Chicago will eventually lead to losses being taken and a new, lower valuation being realized.
  • The short-circuiting of the failure process in the 1990s by bailing out every big bank that got into trouble has created a system where banks know they will always be bailed out, regardless of their mistakes.
  • When the handful of big stocks that have been pulling the market up roll over, that’s when everything cracks and a bear market begins.
  • Based on history, the current bull market is close to breaking and by the end of this year, we’ll be talking about a very different economy and stock market.

Global Financial System and Government Policies

  • The government is not serious about cutting spending and is exempting Social Security, Medicare, and military from potential spending cuts, leading to bigger booms and busts until a massive bout of inflation forces a currency reset.
  • The investment thesis for gold bugs is to be in precious metals when the global currency markets collapse due to the tsunami of liquidity coming back in.
  • The BRICs Coalition is turning into a major force in global finance, representing half of the world’s GDP and potentially starting a competing currency and bank settlement system.
  • John Rubino explains the historical context of gold confiscation and how it could potentially happen again if states start setting up their own gold-backed currencies, which would be seen as a threat to the federal government.

FedWatch Podcast: The Fed Is Insolvent, and That's a Bad Thing

Key insights

Fed’s Policies and Actions Impacting the Economy and Markets

  • The Fed’s policies are causing market bubbles: “The Fed’s policies are creating these market bubbles, and they’re creating these distortions in the economy that are going to have to be corrected at some point.”
  • The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet has become a “gigantic interest rate risk of speculation,” which is an unprecedented situation in history.
  • The Fed is printing money to pay its own expenses and interest on its deposits, which exceed its income by $100 billion per year.
  • The FED’s purchase of long-term Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities has left them with over $5 trillion in assets that could potentially crash the market if sold.
  • The Fed’s decision to become a Housing Bank and buy trillions of dollars of mortgages has completely distorted the housing market and contributed to the non-sustainable bubble in housing prices.
  • The Fed’s insolvency leads to creating more money, which devalues the dollar and hurts everyone’s pocketbook.

Controversy and Stability of the US Financial System

  • The idea that the Federal Reserve might be insolvent is controversial and raises questions about the stability of the US financial system.
  • The Federal Reserve’s power combined with their inability to know everything makes them a dangerous financial institution that can make huge mistakes and contribute to crises.
  • The Federal Reserve is insolvent and its current centralized nature is completely different from its original intent as a decentralized system of regional Reserve Banks.
  • The Fed’s decision to commit the country to perpetual inflation without the approval of Congress raises serious political and constitutional issues.
 

Robert Greene Speaks at Yale University: Change Your View on Power

Key Insights

The Importance of Understanding Machiavellian Intelligence for Power

  • Robert Greene rejects the idea of a simple answer to becoming powerful and instead emphasizes the philosophy shared by the figures he has studied.
  • Understanding and accepting the realities of life, including Machiavellian intelligence, is key to success and power.
  • The theory of mind, a power possessed by primates, allows them to understand and manipulate the thoughts and intentions of others.
  • The reason why humans have evolved so rapidly and are so clever is because we are inherently social creatures and have to navigate the deep levels of manipulation, deception, and cooperation that go into what is known as Machiavellian intelligence.
  • There are three types of people in dealing with social reality: deniers, passive aggressors, and those who love the Machiavellian part of our nature and revel in it.
  • Robert Greene believes that studying human nature and Machiavellian intelligence can give individuals power and freedom in navigating the power game.
  • The sense of powerlessness is much worse and more debilitating on the human spirit than the few people who are corrupted by having power.

Developing Social Skills and Observational Mastery for Power

  • By becoming a master observer of the game of power, Robert Greene gained power by having emotional distance and the ability to deal with things objectively.
  • The Art of Seduction can teach you how to be charming and charismatic, but having inner conviction and a burning mission is essential for true charisma.
  • Charm is about knowing how to please others and making them feel great about themselves, which is a powerful social skill that anyone can learn.
  • Robert Greene’s philosophy on seizing opportunities: “What separates people in life are a good thing will happen to you and you let it pass…opportunities come and you work like a fiend in order to make it happen.”

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