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so You'll Thrive and Profit, In Spite of It... "

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Top Three Videos – March 21, 2025

Chris Irons: Gold Outpacing the S&P, Just the Start? (March 19, 2025)

Palisades Gold Radio...

Summary

 

Economic challenges and declining trust in mainstream media are driving a shift towards independent media and a focus on gold as a safe investment, while emphasizing the need for diverse viewpoints, personal responsibility, and fiscal reforms to navigate market risks and improve quality of life.

 

Media and Information Landscape

 

The internet has democratized news, enabling people to find objective truth across endless podcasts and content creators, challenging mainstream media’s control over narratives.

 

Independent media creators like Joe Rogan have gained massive audiences by challenging mainstream narratives, potentially outrunning major broadcast stations in influence.

 

Economic and Monetary Policy

 

Perpetual QEdollar debasement, and endless money printing have negative consequences, widening the inequality gap, inflating asset prices, and increasing cost of living for everyday people.

 

The nefarious monetary system transfers power and purchasing power from the bottom 90% to the top 10% and 1%, accelerating with each money printing episode.

 

Government and Private Sector

 

Government spending is often wasteful and inefficient compared to the private sector, lacking profit motive to drive efficiency and accountability.

 

Privatizing government services like air traffic control and road paving can lead to increased efficiency and accountability due to profit motive and shareholder oversight.

 

Personal Finance and Investing

 

In investing, knowing the best short case against a company and weighing both sides objectively, while dropping ego, is essential for making informed decisions.

 

1099 employees like gig workers face a tax bill at year-end, making the impact of taxes more immediate compared to W2 employees with withheld taxes.

 

Market Dynamics

 

Options and ETF flows now drive equity prices more than underlying fundamentals, potentially leading to unprecedented whipsaw market moves.

 

Personal Development and Resilience

 

Mental preparednessresilience, and practicing discomfort are essential coping mechanisms against societal overindulgence and the culture of instant gratification.

 

Delayed gratification and personal responsibility are crucial for navigating economic and personal challenges, drawing parallels between economic discomfort and personal well-being.

 

Societal Trends and Quality of Life

 

Quality of life indicators like public services efficiency show that the US is no longer a global leader since World War II, exemplified by the comparison between Philadelphia’s dirty subway and Montreal’s clean system.

 

Inflation and the decline in quality of life often go unnoticed until reaching a critical point, similar to how addiction recovery requires hitting rock bottom before change occurs.

 

Government bailouts and monetary policy have conditioned people to expect comfort and stability at all times, potentially leading to psychological issues during market crashes.

Ed Dowd: The Gold Market is Sending a TERRIFYING Signal (here's what it is) (March 15, 2025)

CapitalCOSM...

Summary

 

The gold market is signaling impending economic weakness and recession fears, driven by declining traditional indicators, government spending distortions, and geopolitical tensions, while highlighting the need for economic restructuring.

 

Economic Indicators

 

The gold market anticipates a recession and widening deficits, especially as 25% of tax receipts come from stock market gains.

 

The Fed may consider QE as deficits could blow out, potentially affecting discretionary spending by up to $1 trillion during a recession.

 

The real economy struggles with minus 2% real wage growth, reminiscent of 1980 and 1992 election periods with weak economies.

 

Market Reactions and Predictions

 

The stock market is factoring in recession risks, with airlines and consultants reporting 50% drops in government bookings.

 

The housing market is fragile, with home prices set to decline as the economy rapidly slows and the stock market foresees a recession.

 

The Fed’s funds rate needs further cuts to 2-3% to address manifesting economic weaknesses.

 

Global Economic Context

 

The US trade deficit with Canada is $60 billion, a small fraction compared to the US GDP of $29 trillion, giving the US leverage in trade talks.

 

The European economy faces issues with unresolved banking problems, spotlighted by the UBS-Credit Suisse merger absorbing toxic derivatives.

 

Despite market corrections, gold is rallying to $3,000 and silver to $34 as investors seek safety.

 

Global Economic Challenges

 

The Chinese economy faces a demographic and housing crisis, prompting liquidity injections to support banks.

Doug Casey: Trump's Economic Policies: A New World Order? (March 15, 2025)

Doug Casey's Take...

Summary

 

Trump’s economic policies could significantly reshape global dynamics and U.S. involvement in international affairs, while also posing risks of economic disruption and challenges to the dollar’s dominance.

 

Economic Insights

 

The EU’s GDP per capita is only 70% of the US, with $2 trillion of new US companies created in the last 25 years compared to only $50 billion in Europe, highlighting the EU’s economic stagnation.

 

Trump’s economic policies aim to devalue the US dollar to boost manufacturing, but this could cause massive disruption as $20-30 trillion of foreign-held US currency could be unloaded for real goods.

 

The Mar-a-Lago Accord, a theoretical idea to reset the global trading system, would cause significant economic dislocation but aims to reform the current system.

 

Global Politics and Military

 

The EU’s military buildup under Ursula von der Leyen will drain capital from the productive economy, potentially leading to bankruptcy while also provoking Russia.

 

Argentina offers one of the easiest and cheapest paths to citizenship with a passport that may soon become visa-free for US travel, making it an attractive investment opportunity.

 

Technological Advancements

 

Robots and blockchain technology will radically change the world in the coming years, enabling massive productivity gains but raising concerns about potential societal impacts.

 

Water scarcity is not a future problem, as demonstrated by Israel’s desert management and the potential of nuclear-powered desalination plants.

 

Financial Strategies

 

Gold prices over $3,000 make it a reasonably priced investment, with potential for gold-backed currencies like goldbacks to gain traction despite high premiums.

 

Geopolitical Shifts

 

The EU’s bureaucracy and regulations may lead to its breakup, potentially making it economically vulnerable to China and Africa.

 

Future Outlook

 

Despite current economic challenges, technological advancements are expected to continue liberating individuals, leading to increased personal freedom and individualism in the long run.

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