Gold and Bitcoin are emerging as viable alternatives to flawed government-controlled currencies, with potential for significant growth and stability in the face of economic turmoil and central bank interventions.
Economic Implications
Gold would need to reach $80,000/oz to balance with dollars outstanding at 1971 levels, indicating massive fiat creation and price suppression.
The Federal Reserve and current monetary system, not corporations, are responsible for inflation that benefits the wealthy and harms working people.
The 2008 financial crisis and subsequent money printing built the current “everything bubble”, potentially leading to a painful transition period.
Sound Money and Technology
Sound money like gold and Bitcoin prevents bubbles and busts, allowing for greater prosperity through productivity and efficiency, as demonstrated by 5,000 years of history.
The internet and decentralized information are breaking down centralized control of money, enabling market-based pricing of currencies.
Gold and Bitcoin are the only forms of money the government can’t control or print due to their natural supply limit.
Bitcoin and Investment Opportunities
Bitcoin is a technological innovation creating an immutable, distributed system of digital scarcity with a limited supply of 21 million coins.
Bitcoin’s market cap is currently less than 2% of the $900 trillion in global financial assets, but could reach $1 million per coin in 4-5 years if it reaches 2% market share.
Bitcoin has potential to reach $1-5 million per coin in 10-15 years as it could ultimately replace currencies.
Gold Mining Investments
Gold mining stocks present an asymmetrical opportunity for investors, with potential 5-20x returns for well-managed companies with positive cash flow and growth projects.
The sweet spot in gold mining investments is finding producers that are cash flow positive, trading at a reasonable multiple, and having a pipeline of new projects.
Agnico Eagle Mines is a top-tier gold major, while B2Gold and Lundin Gold are smaller names with potential for 5-10x returns if they execute their growth plans.