Government intervention in money and banking is the primary cause of business cycles, asset crises, and stock market crashes throughout modern history.
Monetary expansions by central banks, inflationary policies, and reckless government spending set the stage for financial collapses, contradicting mainstream economists’ explanations of “animal spirits” or capitalism itself.
The Dutch Tulip Bubble of 1637, South Sea Bubble, Mississippi Bubble, and subsequent stock market crashes all followed the same pattern of state-induced increases in money supply and credit leverage.
Bureaucratic rules have consistently failed to prevent crashes or crises, instead intensifying their impacts on economies.
Only economies free of state intervention, particularly in money and banking, can truly avoid monetary and macroeconomic disturbances.
The Federal Reserve’s practice of monetizing government debt creates a vicious cycle of increasing money supply, leading to inflation and destruction of purchasing power.
Central bank policies, particularly “Fiat policy”, effectively cannibalize half of everyone’s earnings, savings, and retirements every 9 years, as evidenced by record low home affordability and plunging real incomes.
The Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation target is misleading, as they “cook the books” to underreport inflation, while true stable prices require 0% inflation.
The US government’s $2 trillion deficit spending and $36.5 trillion debt (123% of GDP) are unsustainable and driven by government spending habits, not public welfare.
A profound reverse wealth effect is occurring due to declining home prices, S&P 500, and NASDAQ, combined with the drying up of $6 trillion in post-COVID liquidity.
The “Fed put” is a false narrative, as the Federal Reserve acts on lagging economic data, always being “behind the curve” in addressing economic problems.
Government stimulus plans through deficit spending, like Germany’s plan to borrow trillions for defense, are ineffective and destructive, creating intractable inflation and depression in the long run.
When considering GDP growth, it’s crucial to differentiate between nominal and real terms, as high inflation can mask actual economic contraction.
Trump’s first 58 days in 2025 focused on implementing Agenda 47 through executive actions, aiming for rapid but potentially less permanent changes.
A planned short, deep recession is part of Trump’s strategy to rewire the US economy, aiming for a historic boom afterward despite the pain of creative destruction.
The US has vast assets including 640 million acres of prime real estate and billions of offshore acres, which could be monetized to fund deficits and growth.
Zero-based budgeting could potentially cut half of federal spending with minimal impact, targeting widespread waste and fraud even in Medicare and Social Security.
A mix of tax increases, tariffs, spending cuts, asset revaluations, and balance sheet monetization is hoped to lower rates and enable a rolling loan strategy.
Trump’s Ukraine strategy aims to cut defense spending by ending the war, forcing Europe to rearm and buy US weapons, potentially reducing the Pentagon budget.
Canada’s Carney, with strong globalist ties, may negotiate a tariff settlement with Trump pre-election, potentially restoring a Liberal majority in Canada.
The appointment of Chris Wright as Energy Secretary signals pro-business energy policies, including lifting the LG export ban to enable more LG plants and supply.
Europe’s consumption of 40 exajoules of hydrocarbon energy annually, with only 6 exajoules produced domestically, puts European industry at a huge disadvantage.
NATO withdrawal is unlikely due to 2023 law, but Trump may deemphasize the US role, effectively ending the alliance as 75% of NATO spending is in the US.
The UK’s military spending of 2.3% of GDP is mostly on nuclear maintenance and pensions, not active forces, while facing energy challenges.
The strongest European army outside Russia is Ukraine, which has been fighting Russia for 3 years and performing better than expected.
Media frenzies are often fabricated, with Canada’s Carney presented as a perfect candidate to unite Liberals and distract from Trump’s tariff negotiations.
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