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Top Three Videos – November 22, 2024

BOB MORIARTY: Bold Predictions on Trump's Second Term (November 18, 2024)

Proven and Probable...

Summary

 

Investors are concerned about potential economic instability and geopolitical challenges during Trump’s second term, leading to a focus on precious metals and resource stocks as viable investment opportunities.

 

Economic Challenges and Policy Impacts

 

Trump’s second term faces out-of-control spendingrising interest ratesinflation, and $36 trillion in unsustainable debt, setting the stage for significant economic challenges.

 

Tariffs are counterproductive, penalizing ordinary citizens rather than investors, and fail to encourage local production, similar to ineffective wage and price controls.

 

Geopolitical Concerns and Deep State Influence

 

The Deep State, described as a “51st state” controlling media and government, is viewed as dangerous, with Trump potentially acting as its puppet.

 

The UN’s declaration requiring Israel to remove 675,000 illegal settlers from the West Bank is considered international law but lacks coverage in Western mainstream media.

 

Investment Strategies and Market Insights

 

The daily sentiment indicator (DSI) is crucial for predicting 95% of market movements, offering valuable trading information based on human behavior patterns.

 

Junk silver coins like Mercury dimes are currently the best investment proposition, offering lower costs than Silver Eagles but similar premiums during high sentiment periods.

 

Resource Sector Outlook

 

The Trump administration is expected to make mining in the United States more favorable, while global resource nationalism will rise due to geopolitical tensions.

 

Energy stocks, particularly in oil and gas, are poised to benefit under Trump, with uranium remaining a “slam dunk” investment despite potential near-term market corrections.

Clive Thompson: 'We've Passed the Point of No Return' - Debt Bomb Will Ignite GOLD (November 20, 2024)

Commodity Culture...

Summary

 

Rising government debt and supply shortages are driving gold and silver into a long-term bull market, making them essential for wealth protection and investment, while caution is advised in the broader market.

 

Economic Outlook and Investment Strategies

 

The US has passed the point of no return on debt, with debt exceeding 20% of GDP and interest costs rising due to maturing 12-15 year bonds from 2009-2019 now at 4-5%, causing a double whammy of rising interest costs and widening deficits.

 

To preserve wealth, invest 12% in precious metals like gold and silver for crisis situations, and buy tangible assets like REITs specializing in assisted housing with government-funded rent, providing a safe and high yield.

 

Precious Metals and Mining

 

Gold is in the early stages of a bull market, likely to rise long-term due to government debt and deficits, with monetary expansion and unsustainable debt levels driving prices higher.

 

Silver supply has been dropping for a decade while industrial demand is rising, particularly from electronics and photovoltaic industries, causing a supply-demand imbalance and likely leading to higher prices.

 

Global Investment Opportunities

 

Attractive companies can be found globally, particularly in Hong Kong and China, offering dividend yields of 5-6% compared to the US, with China presenting three to four times the value of the US for the same allocation despite potential sanctions.

 

Uranium is a promising investment due to increasing use of nuclear power to reduce emissions, with expected high demand in the future.

 

Alternative Investment Strategies

 

REITs managing an ecosystem around railway stations or hubs, consistently buying more properties in the area, offer a good strategy for optimizing returns.

 

Dividend Aristocrats funds, holding 50-100 stocks that have consistently increased dividends for 10+ years, provide a rising income stream suitable for retirement, with virtually assured annual dividend growth.

ZipRecruiter’s Julia Pollak: Will Layoffs Surge Soon? What Real-Time Data Reveals (November 20, 2024)

David Lin...

Summary

 
 

Employers are shifting focus from aggressive hiring to employee retention amid a cautious labor market, resulting in a surplus of skilled workers in certain sectors, while economic factors like inflation, immigration, and automation continue to shape employment dynamics.

 

Labor Market Trends

 

The US unemployment rate peaked at 4.3% in July 2024 and decreased to 4.1% in October, with job growth below pre-pandemic levels for the past two quarters, indicating a slowing labor market despite overall improvement.

 

A significant shift has occurred from labor shortages to surpluses in some industries, with employers now focusing on retention and offering long-term incentives rather than paying premiums for new hires.

 

Immigration and Workforce Dynamics

 

Immigration policies under Trump have created uncertainty, with unauthorized entries significantly increasing while authorized visa-eligible workforce remains relatively unchanged, impacting industries like construction and manufacturing.

 

Structural Changes and Automation

 

Automation has created new workforce needs, contributing to the highest-ever women’s participation rate and a very high prime age employment population ratio.

 

Housing and Inflation

 

Housing policy is identified as a major source of inflation, with proposals from the Economic Innovation Group suggesting federal incentives for local municipalities to adopt best practice building and zoning codes to allow more construction.

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