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Top Three Videos – October 17, 2024

Bob Moriarty: BRICS Nations Plot New Gold-Backed Currency: What It Means for the US Dollar (Oct 12, 2024)

The Market Sniper...

Summary

 

The potential introduction of a gold-backed currency by BRICS nations could significantly challenge the dominance of the US dollar and reshape global finance amid rising inflation and economic instability.

 

Economic and Monetary Shifts

 

The US abandoned the gold standard in 1971, enabling unlimited money printing and potentially leading to a hyperinflationary crisis, as evidenced by the 10-year note yield increasing from 3.68% to 4.5% in one month.

 

BRICS nations are planning a new gold-backed currency to challenge the US dollar’s dominance, with Russia controlling 45% of platinum, palladium, and rhodium markets.

 

Precious Metals Outlook

 

Gold, silver, and platinum are expected to benefit from the collapse of the debt system, with potential record highs of $502 for silver and $900 for platinum due to industrial demand shifts.

 

Russia is allocating significant rubles to precious metals like palladium, platinum, and silver, potentially causing financial shocks in these markets.

 

Immigration and Social Issues

 

The US is reportedly importing tens of thousands of Haitians and convicted criminals, which some view as a deliberate attempt to destabilize Western society and lower living standards.

 

Global Financial Strategy

 

The bond market collapse and increasing yields indicate an imminent hyperinflationary crisis, potentially benefiting gold and mining stocks.

 

South Africa’s control of 55% of platinum production, combined with Russia’s market share, could lead to significant disruptions in precious metals markets.

 

Geopolitical Implications

 

The creation of a BRICS gold-backed currency could significantly impact the global financial system and challenge the US dollar’s reserve currency status.

Chris Vermeulen: Year-End Market Forecast: What The Trend Says Will Happen Next (October 15, 2024)

David Lin...

Summary

 
 

Chris Vermeulen forecasts a significant market decline of 20-50% over the next year, urging investors to navigate impending financial volatility strategically while prioritizing cash and defensive assets amidst recession fears.

 

Market Outlook and Predictions

 

Technical analyst Chris Vermeulen predicts the S&P 500 could reach 6,300-6,000 by end of 2024, a 4-5% gain from current levels, driven by stronger earnings expectationsseasonality, and the election cycle.

 

Vermeulen warns of a potential 30-50% stock market decline in the next year, comparing the current rally to the 2008 financial crisis and Tech bubble, with the possibility of a “lost decade” and “Black Swan event”.

 

Technical Analysis Insights

 

The weekly chart of the S&P 500 is reportedly identical to the setup before the 2022 bear market, signaling a potential turning point and reversal.

 

Gold’s monthly chart at a max target of $27.75 is considered a “war warning sign” that the stock market may be nearing a top, reminiscent of the 2007 stock market rally.

 

Sector-Specific Observations

 

Oil’s divergence from the S&P 500, falling while stocks rise, could signal recessionary conditions if it breaks down to $40-$50/barrel, potentially triggering a global economic slowdown.

 

While real estate is historically stable, buying at peak prices risks 20-30% losses and negative cash flow if interest rates rise and rents fall.

 

Investment Strategies

 

Vermeulen’s “Asset Reves” strategy focuses on rotating between 4 key asset classes (stocks, bonds, currencies, cash) based on trendsrisk, and momentum, with 5-12 trades per year.

 

Vermeulen advises against shorting stocks at all-time highs due to unlimited risk and going against the trend, emphasizing the importance of technical analysis for identifying trend changes and support levels.

Dave Skarica: Could the Market See a Election Melt Up? (October 14, 2024)

Stock Chart of the Day...

Summary

 
 

Historical trends suggest a potential stock market rally leading up to the upcoming election, particularly if Trump gains traction, with expectations of strong performances from high beta and tech stocks.

 

Market Trends and Election Cycles

 

US stock markets have historically shown a pattern of rallying into presidential elections, peaking a few months after, and then declining, as evidenced by stock charts spanning 100 years and specific examples from 1968, 1972, 1976, and 1980.

 

If Trump wins the 2024 election, the stock market could experience a significant rally, particularly in October and November, as portfolio managers chase stocks to boost year-end returns.

 

Technical Analysis and Market Indicators

 

The S&P 500 and Dow Industrials are breaking out of recent ranges, with transports close behind, potentially signaling positive short-term economic outlook according to Dow Theory.

 

The current market cap to GDP ratio is slightly above the 2021 highs, reaching “nose B levels“, raising questions about the market’s potential for further growth.

 

Sector-Specific Trends

 

Junior mining stocks may be breaking out of their long-term downtrend, based on century-long stock chart analysis.

 

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