Tokenizing life insurance policies on blockchain enables investors to buy fractional shares of whole life policies, providing liquidity and allowing insurance companies to securitize policies and raise capital more efficiently.
The US dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency is likely to end by the 2040s, with its share in forex reserves trending down since 2000 and potentially falling below 50% in 2042.
The US government’s record $35 trillion debt and deficits over $1 trillion per year have been temporarily managed through quantitative easing, but will eventually lead to significant economic problems.
Bob Murphy’s book challenges conventional wisdom on the Great Depression, arguing that FDR’s New Deal policies were ineffective and Herbert Hoover’s spending was greater than commonly believed.
The Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes in 2022, pushing the fed funds rate from 0.40% to 5.00%, coupled with an inverted yield curve, indicate potential economic instability and recession risk.
Government statistics may not accurately capture the true state of the economy, failing to account for changes in consumer behavior and the increasing use of decentralized finance and blockchain technology.
Low interest rates lead to malinvestment and allow bad businesses to survive, causing economic distortions and inefficiencies, as seen during the 7-year period of near-zero rates from 2008 to 2015.
Price controls and wage freezes can lead to shortages and inflation, as evidenced by recent economic policies under the Biden administration, highlighting the unintended consequences of government intervention in markets.
Technical analyst Chris Vermeulen predicts a potential 25-30% pullback in gold prices in the coming months, reminiscent of the 34% drop in 2008.
Vermeulen forecasts a 30-50% correction in the S&P 500, with the stock market showing signs of topping out despite being camouflaged by big tech companies.
The stage three topping phase of the stock market is characterized by worsening economic data, rising unemployment, downgrading business sales, skyrocketing credit card debt, and increasing mortgage delinquencies.
Utility stocks are signaling a potential stock market correction, as their recent surge is often followed by a significant downturn within a month.
Following the anticipated market correction, Vermeulen expects a multi-year huge run in gold up to $4,500, presenting a big opportunity in gold and mining stocks similar to the 2007-2008 crisis.
The reopening of Three Mile Island is bullish for the nuclear sector and uranium, with potential for expansion at sites with existing licenses or new greenfield sites.
Despite rising tensions in the Middle East, oil markets are behaving as if a wider war will be avoided, with no premium in the price of oil based on geopolitical risk measurements.
A Harris Administration could paradoxically benefit oil equities by imposing industry discipline through EPA regulations, potentially leading to higher profits for oil and gas companies.
China’s debt crisis has triggered a credit boom reminiscent of the Fed’s actions after the 2008 financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic, potentially alleviating recession concerns.
The upcoming BRICS meeting in Kazakhstan is crucial for announcements on trade balances, a potential new currency basket backed by gold, and the approval of the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline.
China’s diversification of energy sources is impacting global oil demand, with its credit expansion potentially reshaping energy markets and geopolitical dynamics.
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