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Stablecoins Will Not Save the US Dollar

Written by Bryan Lutz, Editor at Dollarcollapse.com:

 

There is a lot of hope for stablecoins – digital dollars backed by short-term US Treasury debt.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has been behind stablecoins since the beginning. He’s made several “mega-statements” claiming that stablecoins will maintain the status of the USD. By issuing stablecoins, which will most likely be purchasable by buying US Treasury bonds, or via USD, Bessent increases demand for the dollar.

Here’s Bessent earlier this year:

Bessent’s hope in stablecoins comes the power of distribution.

Instead of centralized distribution from the Federal Reserve to the US Treasury to the banks, to businesses and consumers, distribution of a stablecoin valued at $1 USD decentralizes the process. Decentralizing distribution would allow businesses everywhere to bypass the traditional fee-filled banking system and get straight to payment.

So banks, and credit cards companies have been some of the first to hop on board. They want to integrate their debt-driven credit businesses with the new stablecoin system.

CNBC reports:

Stablecoins go mainstream: Why banks and credit card firms are issuing their own crypto tokens

“Stablecoins — once a niche corner of the cryptocurrency world — are entering the corporate and policy mainstream, potentially reshaping how money moves in the United States and around the world…

…USDC issuer Circle’s long-awaited public debut exposed a wave of pent-up demand for digital dollars as investors sent the stock soaring as much as 750% in June. Partnerships, and competition, quickly followed.

Coinbase announced a deal with e-commerce platform Shopify to bring USDC payments to merchants. Payments firm Fiserv announced a stablecoin to pair with the 90 billion transactions it processes every year…

Mastercard this week announced support for four stablecoins on its Multi-Token Network. The private blockchain is targeted toward institutions and promises 24-hour settlement.

Visa’s CEO told CNBC the payment processor is modernizing its infrastructure with the help of stablecoins.

“Visa and MasterCard are leaning into the disruption,” said Nic Carter, founding partner at Castle Island Ventures. “They’re trying to disrupt themselves, so they seem to be ahead of the curve.”

 

The nation’s biggest retailers are also making plans to get in on the distribution of stablecoins, which depends on the GENIUS Act passing(up for votes this week), or the STABLE Act, which isn’t as further along in the House.

 

Wall Street Journal reports:

Walmart and Amazon Are Exploring Issuing Their Own Stablecoins

“A move to launch crypto-based payments by Walmart or Amazon that bypasses the traditional payments system would send shivers through the nation’s banks and card-network giants.

With vast networks of customers and employees, troves of data and far lighter regulations, retail and technology companies have long been viewed as particular threats to banks, including regional and community lenders.

Stablecoins are currently used to store cash or purchase other cryptocurrency tokens. They are supposed to maintain a one-to-one exchange ratio with dollars or other government currencies, and are backed by reserves of cash or cashlike assets such as Treasurys.

The retailers’ final decisions would depend on a bill, called the Genius Act, which would begin to establish a regulatory framework for stablecoins. The bill recently passed another procedural hurdle but still needs to clear the Senate and House.”

 

If the GENIUS Act passes, Bessent sees huge demand for US Treasury bonds.

Somewhere in the realm of $2 Trillion. That’s convenient because it would open the possibility that maybe…

Maybe the US Treasury could pay for government deficit spending, or at least reduce it.

And that’s attractive to Bessent.

 

Here’s how they work:

1. Issuer Creates the Stablecoin

A private company or consortium (e.g. Circle, PayPal, or a bank) acts as the issuer. This issuer:

  • Receives U.S. dollars from customers (investors, companies, crypto users).

  • Uses those dollars to buy U.S. Treasury securities—typically short-term T-bills or very liquid bonds.

2. Treasury Assets Held as Reserves

  • The purchased Treasuries are held in custody (often by a regulated financial institution or trust).

  • These Treasuries back the stablecoin 1:1 in value, or close to it.

3. Stablecoins Minted

  • Once the Treasuries are secured, the issuer mints a corresponding amount of stablecoins (often pegged to $1 per token).

  • These stablecoins are issued on a blockchain (Ethereum, Solana, etc.) and circulated to users.

 

However, the same problem persists.

Interest payments on federal debt are growing…

 

 

And that means, even after the swath of initial demand for US Treasuries floods the market to back stablecoins everywhere, a certain amount of demand will need to be maintained to pay for this…

The Federal Debt.

 

 

In the end, stablecoins backed by US Treasuries will not solve the debt problem. They are another form of the same fiat money that supports the current system. So, if stablecoins are issued, we might expect the money bubble to get bigger for a little while longer.

6 thoughts on "Stablecoins Will Not Save the US Dollar"

  1. Our fake digital stable coin is backed by our fake treasuries, giving us a double fakeout. Got it. It certainly sounds like something Trump could get behind and pump.

  2. John Rubino said in an interview that CBDC’s and all cryptos will eventually be able to be hacked as AI advances. I’m sorry I do not remember which interview I saw him on that he said this but I think I am remembering correctly he was the source of this. I wondered if you agree that AI threatens the future security of crypto and if this makes the stable coin move a dead end.

    1. Hey Robert,

      Thanks for your input. The interview you are referring to is a recent one.

      https://youtu.be/FivX_oFfEBw

      In the interview, he said there is the threat. I haven’t looked into that deeply yet, but I have seen headlines that read along the same lines. I’ll keep you updated if I find out anything more about it.

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