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Top Ten Videos – May 12 2025

Alex Newman: Gold Is Inseparable From Freedom - All Other Money Is Slave Money (May 7, 2025)

Liberty and Finance...

Summary

 

Gold is essential for individual freedom and financial security, serving as a safeguard against oppressive financial systems and government overreach.

 

Constitutional and Legal Framework

 

The US Constitution’s Article 1, Section 10 explicitly prohibits states from making anything other than gold or silver legal tender for debt payment, emphasizing the importance of sound money for financial freedom.

 

States like Texas, Utah, Arkansas, and Florida are passing laws to create transactional gold systems, allowing citizens to use gold for everyday transactions and protect savings from inflation.

 

Economic Principles and Historical Context

 

Gold is considered sound money, inseparable from freedom, while other forms of currency are viewed as “slave money”, maintaining its value for thousands of years unlike paper currency.

 

If you had $20,000 in 1970, you could buy a house in Salt Lake City, but the same amount in gold from 1970 could purchase three houses today, demonstrating gold’s value retention.

 

Advocacy and Education

 

The book “Pirate Money” by Kevin Freeman has inspired lawmakers nationwide to pass legislation allowing gold and silver as legal tender, emphasizing citizens’ freedom to choose how they save.

 

The “Liberty and Finance” podcast hosted by Dunagun Kaiser provides a platform for discussing sound money, financial freedom, and offers resources for citizens to protect their financial futures.

 

Action Steps

 

Citizens are urged to contact their US representatives and senators to demand a full audit of the Federal Reserve and restoration of the gold standard.

 

The Texas Gold Bullion Depository, established in 2015, allows citizens to store gold and silver and use a debit card for purchases, providing a fee-free way to protect savings.

John Rubino: GOLD vs SILVER...One of these is a SCREAMING BUY (here's which one) (May 9, 2025)

CapitalCOSM...

Summary

 

Silver is currently an excellent investment opportunity due to its favorable market conditions, supply deficit, and potential for price reversion, especially in the context of rising global economic uncertainty and a shift towards mercantilism.

 

Market Dynamics

 

The gold to silver ratio is currently at 100, a historically screaming buy signal for silver that has consistently led to significant profits when the ratio reaches the 90s.

 

In precious metals bull markets, gold typically rises first due to better public understanding, causing the gold to silver ratio to expand into the 80s or 90s before silver catches up.

 

The gold to silver ratio has reached unprecedented levels in nearly 100 years, suggesting an exceptional opportunity to buy silver relative to gold.

 

Industrial and Economic Factors

 

Industrial demand for silver in solar panels, missiles, and electric cars is outpacing mine production, creating a deficit that’s depleting above-ground stocks and increasing the likelihood of a short squeeze.

 

The Basel 3 banking regulation change has elevated gold to a tier one asset, prompting banks to acquire gold without price sensitivity to meet new regulatory requirements.

 

Central banks and governments are accumulating gold regardless of price, preparing for potential currency backing needs in a shifting economic landscape.

 

Investment Strategies

 

Gold mining companies have recently reported improved financial results as gold prices have surpassed cost increases, signaling a positive trend for the mining sector.

 

The gold to silver ratio exhibits an inverse relationship with the GDX (gold miners index), serving as a useful indicator for tracking the precious metals bull market.

 

Economic Outlook

 

Excessive government spending and borrowing are weakening fiat currencies, potentially leading to a currency reset with gold playing a crucial role and being repriced significantly higher.

 

Despite elevated gold prices, silver has underperformed gold in recent time frames, but this gap has historically mean-reverted with silver eventually outperforming gold in percentage terms.

Neil Howe: The Fourth Turning Is Now Raging...And It's Gone Global (May 6, 2025)

Thoughtful Money...

Summary

 

The world is experiencing a fourth turning characterized by rising nationalism, economic challenges, and societal upheaval, necessitating a shift in investment strategies towards tangible assets and wealth preservation.

 

Global Societal Shifts

 

The Fourth Turning, a predictable societal cycle of boom, bust, and rebuilding, has become a global phenomenon, with America in the chaotic “bust” phase according to demographer Neil Howe.

 

Globalization’s decline, which began after the 2008 financial crisis, is accelerating under President Trump, who views it as a bad deal for the United States.

 

The rise of populist, authoritarian, and ethnocentric leaders in Southern and Eastern Europe, South Asia, East Asia, and Latin America since 2008 reflects the global nature of the Fourth Turning.

 

Political and Economic Dynamics

 

Trump’s administration acts as a catalyst in the Fourth Turning, but the outcome remains uncertain, mirroring historical examples like Napoleon and Caesar who unleashed primal forces without fully grasping the consequences.

 

Trump’s vision of a Golden Age includes deregulation, tax cuts, trade deals, manufacturing, and foreign investment, but faces contradictions in balancing trade deficits and capital inflows.

 

The Fourth Turning’s focus on building rather than experiencing will drive demand for materials and shift towards a new order centered on “real things” that transport us, as envisioned by Peter Thiel.

 

Social and Generational Trends

 

The millennial generation’s sensibility of investing in target date funds reflects a belief in community and collective support, contrasting with the individualistic approach of Gen Xers.

 

Fourth Turnings are characterized by a tightening of top-down control as governments impose new frameworks and the populace demands solutions to intractable problems.

 

Investment Strategies

 

In a Fourth Turning, prioritize absolute return and wealth preservation, focusing on risk management and hedging strategies rather than relative returns compared to indexes like the S&P 500.

 

Defense ETFs and gold have performed well in the new era and are likely to continue doing so as the Fourth Turning unfolds and the U.S. faces potential homefront problems.

 

Volatility will be continually underrated, presenting opportunities for tail hedging strategies and straddles, with sudden, huge market moves both up and down likely to occur.

 

Future Challenges and Opportunities

 

Conflict, both internal and external, is historically necessary to reshape institutions during a Fourth Turning, with potential scenarios including a Supreme Court confrontation or threats from Iran, India-Pakistan, or China.

 

The U.S. may face unprecedented homefront problems in future conflicts, such as cyber warfare, EMP attacks, or satellite strikes, unlike in previous wars.

 

Inflation is a long-term concern over the next 10 years, potentially equalizing burdens during a crisis by reducing the impact on creditors holding nominal bonds.

Chris Vermeulen: Why Everyone’s Rushing Into Gold, Is It Too Late? Gold Price Today | Silver Rally Ahead? (May 9, 2025)

Sprott Money...

Summary

 

Investors should be cautious with gold and silver trading amid current market volatility, as a significant downturn is expected despite short-term bullishness.

 

Market Outlook

 

The stock market is in a bear market phase with a long-term bearish signal, expecting a dead cat bounce rally before a much bigger correction.

 

Despite the bearish outlook, there’s a short-term bullish trend in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, with the market likely to attempt breaking its highs before selling off.

 

Gold and Silver Analysis

 

Gold has rallied 22-24% in each of its 6 measured moves since 2020, with the current rally potentially being a crowded FOMO trade that could lead to a sharp pullback to $2400-$2200.

 

Gold’s bull flag pattern indicates a strong uptrend with a potential $3750 target, but it’s in nosebleed territory with high risk for sudden reversal.

 

Silver’s daily chart shows extreme volatility, with potential to rally to $38 in an explosive move, but it’s a tough trade due to its small market and tendency to wipe out growth quickly.

 

Market Sentiment and Indicators

 

Google trend searches for inverse ETFs reveal a shift from bottom-picking in February-March to betting on falling prices after the April 3rd sell-off.

 

The gold-silver ratio exceeding 100 indicates gold outperforming silver, but silver’s bullish chart patterns make it a favorable asset for long-term holding.

 

Economic Factors

 

The Fed’s interest rate decision on May 7th is expected to cause huge moves in bondsgold, and stocks, potentially triggering significant market reactions.

Peter St. Onge: Trump releases his budget (May 8, 2025)

Peter St. Onge...

Summary

 

Trump’s budget proposal seeks to significantly cut non-defense spending while increasing military and border security funding, reflecting a push for reform amidst rising government expenditure and political challenges.

 

Budget Realities

 

Trump’s proposed $160 billion increase in spending, despite cuts to non-defense programs, highlights the challenge of reducing overall federal expenditure.

With entitlements and interest consuming ~75% of the $7 trillion budget, only $1 trillion remains for potential cuts, severely limiting the impact of proposed reductions.

 

Political Constraints

 

Entitlement programs are considered the “third rail” of politics, making substantial reforms politically unfeasible.

Even with a “dream team” of budget cutters, Congress consistently rejects proposed cuts, demonstrating the need for fundamental reform in the budgeting process.

 

Spending Priorities

 

Increased military spending and border security offset cuts to non-defense programs, reflecting the administration’s priorities in resource allocation.

Catherine Austin Fitts: Stop the Digital Control Grid (April 26, 2025)

USA Watchdog...

Summary


Catherine Austin Fitts (CAF), publisher of The Solari Report, warns that a global digital control grid is quietly being built—piece by piece—through digital IDs, CBDCs, social credit systems, and data control. While these measures appear harmless individually, together they form a system capable of financial and personal control, threatening liberty and constitutional rights.

 

Government Actions & Trump’s Role


CAF highlights that under the Trump Administration, initiatives like Stargate AI and the rollout of mRNA vaccines signal a shift toward the “Internet of Bodies.” She also lists red-flag actions—from crypto promotion to central bank consolidation—that accelerate control grid infrastructure, without addressing massive fraud or the $21 trillion in missing government funds.

 

Financial Obscurity


FASAB 56, adopted under Trump, allows the U.S. government to keep financial records secret, removing transparency from public financial statements. CAF argues this secrecy renders U.S. markets unreliable, as there’s no clear view into government or contractor finances.

 

Investment Outlook


Despite concerns, CAF is bullish on gold and silver, citing the historically wide gold-to-silver ratio as a major investment opportunity.

 

Final Call to Action


CAF urges Americans to pressure elected officials—including Trump—to dismantle the emerging control grid. “If we can face it,” she says, “God can fix it all.”

JP Sears: Celebrities on the Diddy List - News Update! (May 7, 2025)

AwakenwithJP...

Summary

 

Satire. 

Tom DiLorenzo: Public Enemies: Government Bureaucrats as Societal Parasites (May 7, 2025)

Mises Media...

Summary

 

Bureaucracy distorts individual preferences and efficiency by prioritizing self-interest and budget maximization among bureaucrats, leading to inefficiency, waste, and a disconnect between taxpayers and tax consumers, ultimately harming American businesses and individuals.

 

Bureaucratic Incentives and Government Dysfunction

 

Bureaucratic status is tied to subordinate count, incentivizing excessive hiring to secure higher-paying positions.

 

In government, failure leads to increased funding, unlike the market where it results in business closure.

 

Government bureaucracies are cost maximizers, contrasting with private businesses that aim to minimize costs for profit.

 

Deep State and Civil Service Reform

 

The Deep State, a product of civil service reform, has created a permanent Washington DC bureaucracy that functions as a centrally planned society.

 

Civil service reform eliminated the spoils system but led to lifetime tenure for bureaucrats, making it nearly impossible to fire them without facing legal and union challenges.

 

Historical Perspective and Cultural Influence

 

Presidents Andrew Jackson and John Tyler fired 41% and 50% of federal bureaucrats respectively in the 1800s, demonstrating the feasibility of bureaucrat removal before civil service reform.

 

The New England Yankees who championed civil service reform were driven by a neopuritan Yankee culture and a belief in their inherent right to rule.

 

Legislative Impact

 

The Pendleton Act of 1883, signed by President Chester Arthur, established the civil service system as a Republican strategy to secure party bureaucrats before Democrat Grover Cleveland’s election.

Michael Howell: How to Survive the Coming Liquidity Crisis (May 1, 2025)

GoldRepublic Global...

Summary

 

A looming global liquidity crisis, exacerbated by the US-China capital war and rising debt refinancing needs, is prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold and Bitcoin as central banks struggle to maintain financial stability.

 

Global Liquidity and Debt Dynamics

 

Liquidity, not interest rates, drives economies, defined as the flow of cash, savings, and credit through global financial markets, with $70 trillion of $350 trillion global debt maturing annually requiring refinancing.

 

Excessive debt relative to liquidity triggers refinancing crises, as seen in the 1997-98 emerging market crisis2008 Lehman crisis, and Eurozone banking crisis.

 

Repo markets are central to the financial system, with collateral shortages signaling refinancing tensions and potential crises.

 

Financial System Vulnerabilities

 

The pro-cyclical modern financial system amplifies recessions as private debt becomes less valuable collateral, necessitating central bank intervention to ensure adequate liquidity flow.

 

Bond market volatility near 14% per annum, double the normal 7%, causes collateral haircuts, reducing collateral multipliers and increasing credit risk.

 

A looming $70 trillion debt refinancing wall between 2025-2028 could trigger a systemic financial crisis, warns Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital.

 

Gold and Bitcoin as Hedges

 

Gold and Bitcoin are monetary inflation hedges rising with 7-9% annual liquidity expansion, with gold shining as alluring collateral while Bitcoin’s 40% global liquidity composition may drive long-term value.

 

China’s devaluation of the yuan against gold helps reduce its real debt burden, with the yuan gold price more than doubling from 11,000 in early 2022 to nearly 25,000 now.

 

Revaluing US gold reserves from $42/oz to current market levels could generate a $1 trillion windfall gain, potentially easing the debt funding burden.

 

Market Indicators and Trends

 

The term premium, responsible for 90% of bond market return swings since 2008, is rising, indicating the US Treasury has lost control of the long-end bond market.

 

Risk appetite has plunged significantly in the last three months, with a substantial drop in world and US investor exposure to risk assets.

 

World economic growth has slowed significantly since December 2022, based on AI monitoring of global economic activity.

 

US Treasuries and German bonds were main collateral in 2025, but gold’s allure as collateral has increased while government bonds’ appeal has dimmed.

George Gammon: How to Rebel Against the Fed with Gold (May 6, 2025)

Monetary Metals...

Summary

 

Investors should consider gold and silver as safe assets to protect their wealth amid economic uncertainty, potential recession, and the influence of central bank policies.

Economic Indicators and Market Dynamics

Inverted yield curves and steepening are reliable recession indicators, while NBER announcements lag, making real-time reliance misleading.

Oil prices dropping to $57-58 from $70s signal recession as they decline due to demand expectations, potentially pushing next CPI print to Fed’s 2% target.

The two-year Treasury yield consistently leads the Fed funds rate, indicating markets are always ahead of the Fed’s decisions.

Investment Strategies

GoldBitcoin, and farmland are top picks for conservative investors, with gold expected to outperform due to economic uncertainty and liquidity events.

Gold’s performance varies based on recession type: balance sheet recessions may quickly bottom gold, while systemic liquidity events could cause further drops before rebounding.

Long volatility positions provide true diversification, hedging against simultaneous declines in commodities, equities, and real estate during increasing volatility.

Federal Reserve and Market Psychology

The Fed distorts markets psychologically by creating a self-fulfilling prophecy, leading to malinvestment and misallocation of resources into financial markets.

Bailing out banks plays into market psychology but isn’t necessary for lending; allowing banks to fail and depositors to take haircuts would restore a free market economy.

The Fed manipulates rates but doesn’t control them; the real economy is driven by factors like consumer saving and AI, not just interest rates.

Economic Cycles and Policy

In recessions, deficits skyrocket due to plummeting tax receipts tied to equities, enabling the Fed to cut rates without CPI skyrocketing.

Tariffs aren’t the sole cause of recession, but uncertainty leads businesses to tighten spending, reducing aggregate demand and impacting GDP.

Political will to end financialization is fleeting, with quick bailouts and stimulus at first signs of recession, despite initial focus on the real economy.

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