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so You'll Thrive and Profit, In Spite of It... "

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Top Three Videos – July 23, 2024

Jim Rickards: We're Probably Already In A Civil War (July 20, 2024)

The Julia La Roche Show...

Summary

 

Societal changes, potential for civil war, economic indicators, and the use of AI in warfare all point to a world on the brink of major upheaval and potential disaster.

 

  • Post-traumatic stress syndrome is real and can change a person forever, even for the better, with a little more perspective and humility.
  • The concept of phase transitions in physics can be applied to societal changes, like the potential for a civil war.
  • The potential for escalation and violence is not far off, as people can only be pushed so far before reaching a breaking point.
  • The Democrats and The laware advocates are playing with fire and they don’t seem to care.
  • The inverted yield curve is a signal that a recession is coming, as investors take lower rates on longer maturities in a world of lower interest rates.
  • Nothing is easier than spotting a bubble in the stock market, but knowing when it will burst is the difficult part.
  • The stock market is being influenced by a recursive function or feedback loop, leading to a concentration risk that could result in a fast and hard market crash.
  • The use of AI in nuclear war fighting could make the likelihood of a nuclear war and the annihilation of civilization more likely, with specific examples and historical metrics.
 

Tavi Costa: Major BANK COLLAPSE To Trigger ECONOMIC Domino Effect (July 19, 2024)

Wall Street Silver...

Summary

 

The policy response to the pandemic has caused a macro regime shift in the economy, leading to central banks initiating a move towards precious metals, potentially causing a significant increase in gold prices and changing the dynamic of treasury liquidity.

 

  • Major bank collapse could trigger an economic domino effect.
  • The policy response to the pandemic has caused a pivotal moment in history, leading to a macro regime shift in the economy.
  • Central banks are initiating a move towards precious metals, which will ultimately force other institutions to follow suit due to globalization and inflationary trends.
  • The reserves being used to sell projects are based on prices like $1600 gold, which is overly conservative and unrealistic.
  • Imagine a world where we see three axes four axes in prices of the majors. What would that cause in terms of an m&a cycle and speculation wave into the the junior Bing which I I really think that that’s going to be the case.
  • The US’s fiscal dominance is causing growth to be different and driving capital influx, potentially leading to multiple rate cuts in the FED rates and a major impact on the dollar.
  • The next two to three years will see a major change in the macro regime, potentially leading to a significant increase in gold prices.
  • The rush towards gold by central banks is the most important development, changing the dynamic of treasury liquidity.

Rafi Farber: Signs of Serious Financial Plumbing Stress Are Now Obvious (July 19, 2024)

Arcadia Economics...

Summary

 

There are multiple indicators of serious financial stress in the banking and financial systems, including repo numbers, open interest, sofr rates, and China’s accumulation of gold, pointing towards potential impending financial crisis.

 

  • The repo numbers and QT continue to show signs of serious financial plumbing stress, pointing towards an impending endgame in the financial system.
  • The rapid rise in open interest from 440,000 to 610,000 contracts in a short amount of time suggests unusual activity in the banking system, signaling potential financial stress.
  • Whether silver rises parabolically or the S&P 500 falls, either way, you gain the same amount of purchasing power.
  • The sofr rate went to 5 and a half% overnight on September 17th 2019, indicating serious financial plumbing stress.
  • The repo volume in the market is consistently above $2 trillion, suggesting that things are getting pretty tight in the repo market.
  • China’s low yields and liquidity crunch could be a sign of serious financial stress, impacting both China and the US.
  • China is accumulating gold at its most sustained pace, reflecting evidence of a growing dollar crunch in the US.
 

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