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Top Three Videos – May 14, 2024

Michael Pento: Deflation As Economy Comes To A Halt (May 13, 2024)

Liberty and Finance...

Summary

 
 

The global economy is heading towards a period of disinflation, potential deflation, and stagflation, leading to a loss of faith in currency and a shift towards real assets like gold and commodities.

 

  • “I think we’re going to have another bout of disinflation and perhaps even head into a truncated period of deflation as just everything just shuts down in the economy.”
  • The Japanese stock market peaked 35 years ago and is still lower in nominal terms today, painting a grim picture of the country’s economic situation.
  • The FED’s takeover of the bond market could lead to stagflation, marking a major economic shift.
  • Gold is up 35-40% in Yen terms this year, indicating it as a potential asset to protect purchasing power in a stagflationary environment.
  • “Other than the fact that the US is insolvent, a quarter of all our Revenue now is being spent on interest payments, so it’s an insolvent Nation.”
  • Nations are turning away from the dollar and relying on real assets, like commodities, due to loss of faith in currency’s purchasing power.
  • Home prices need to fall, not go up more slowly, as they have already increased by 50% in the last four years.
  • A very long and dangerous battle with stagflation is coming forward, despite the lies about the real goal being full employment and low inflation.

 

Dave Skarica: ALL PARABOLIC CURVES COLLAPSE! (May 13, 2024)...

StockChartoftheDay...

Summary

 

The collapse of parabolic curves in stock prices can have long-lasting effects on the market and may indicate the possibility of entering another bubble.

 

  • The rebound and subsequent crash of RCA stock highlights the volatility of parabolic curves in stock prices.
  • The collapse of parabolic curves in companies like Nvidia and Microsoft in the past raises questions about the future of these tech giants.
  • The prediction of a large market correction this summer or fall is causing a stir in the financial world.
  • Home builders fell 80-90% due to a once in a 100-year event, raising questions about the stability of the market.
  • The NASDAQ had a big base where basically went nowhere for 12 years after the top, showing the aftermath of parabolic curves.
  • The collapse of parabolic curves can have long-lasting effects on stock performance, as seen with Amazon taking years to reach all-time highs again.
  • The collapse of parabolic curves like home builders is attributed to the printing of money and financial engineering, leading to the possibility of entering another bubble.
  • All parabolic curves collapse, even if they seem to go higher and longer than expected.

Stephanie Pomboy: Exhausted Consumers Are "Spent Up & Lent Up", So Economy Will Slow (May 12, 2024)...

Thoughtful Money...

Summary

 

Stephanie Pomboy believes that the economy is at risk of a substantial slowdown due to exhausted consumers, the end of direct fiscal stimulus, and the overvalued stock market, and recommends investing in hard assets like gold and real estate while being conservative and defensive in the current market outlook.

 

Economic Slowdown Predictions

 
  • The labor assessment has deteriorated dramatically, contradicting the narrative of a strong economy with low unemployment.
  • Stephanie Pomboy believes that exhausted consumers are “spent up & lent up”, indicating a slowing economy.
  • Stephanie Pomboy predicts a substantial slowdown in economic activity due to the fastest interest rate hikes in history.
  • The consumer is spent up and lent up, leading to a sea change in consumer spending and a potential slowdown in the economy.
  • Corporate America may have pushed the entire cost of inflation onto the consumer, which can only work for a certain amount of time before it starts impacting the economy.
  • Stephanie Pomboy believes that exhausted consumers and the end of direct fiscal stimulus will lead to a slowdown in the economy.
  • The massive pile of excessive consumer savings has been depleted, indicating that the impact of stimulus programs may be running out of steam.
  • Stephanie Pomboy believes that the stock market is overvalued and consumer-driven economic growth is at risk.
     

Investment Recommendations

 
  • Stephanie Pomboy is steering away from paper assets and favoring hard assets like gold and real estate, while being defensive in the current market outlook.
  • Stephanie Pomboy recommends investing in hard assets like gold and real estate, as well as dabbling in the long bond and energy.
  • “There is great reason to be biased towards being conservative and defensive.”

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